Giddey is a bad fit in this series. He’should play less minutes. The best of this number is gone….I loved it at 22.5 but will still go half unit

Murphy played 44 min….made 5 threes….and took 18 shots. All of those are unlikely to happen again. Despite those outliers Murphybonly had 21 points in game one. Go under 17.5

New Orleans nearly pulled off the Game 1 upset despite Brandon Ingram having a horrible game, and CJ McCollum was only 2-for-9 from deep. If both are even a little better here, the Pelicans should not only cover (again) but they might win outright. They have the NBA's second-best road mark and haven't lost B2B away games since January.

Even without Zion Williamson, the Pelicans put up a good fight in Game 1. They only scored 92 points, but their defense held the Thunder to 94 points. They had the sixth-best defensive rating in the league during the regular season, so it shouldn’t come as a huge surprise that they were able to limit the Thunder. Including the playoffs, the Pelicans are 15-6-1 ATS as a road underdog. While I think the Thunder take a 2-0 series lead, I like the Pelicans to keep the game close enough to cover.

Got burned on this prop a bunch in the regular season, when the center would invariably grab like 6 int he first 8 minutes and then sit the rest of the game (slight exaggeration but you get the point). Sometimes he couldn't run with the opposition or needed rest or quick fouls or crappy D. But man can he back down Chet Holmgren and the improved perimeter D lets him catch his breath under the goal and he had 20 easy boards in Game 1. I think 15+ is reasonable in alt markets unless this game gets totally out of hand one way or the other.

Going right back to the official fade Josh Giddey well, even at a significantly lower number. This is what Giddey's number should have been for Game 1 and why I was all over it, but I am still comfortable fading this line at this number. For starters the Pels are a very tough matchup, but beyond that it would surprise me to see Giddey play more than 20 MPG in this series. There is a very good chance if he goes under that we do not see this line in the 20's again during the postseason.