Take Mobley here. Indy gives up a ton of double digit rebound games and JAllen is a guy who are all fading and who may not get the stats we expect.

If you are a regular you probably figured we'd lay off this prop vs IND for that TOR game (they can't rebound either) and then get back on it here. In 16 previous Pacers games before Tues, there were 22 instances of an opposing player going for 10+ rebounds vs them. Often 2-3 teammates do it in same game. I chose Mobley because Jarrett Allen looks like he hit a wall to me, Mobley has fresher legs, in better form, and his prop is one rebound lower. Cavs desperate to put something good together before the playoffs. Mobley getting a lot of minutes lately.

Very important game for both as the Cavs look to not slip past No. 4 in the East and keep first-round home-court advantage, while the Pacers want to avoid the play-in. Cleveland has won eight of the past 11 in the series. Teams generally can control tempo on their home court so the Cavs' excellent defense should trump the Pacers' No. 1 offense. Cleveland will have its full starting lineup for just the 28th game this season.

This is simply a very large combo line for Jarrett Allen when the Cavs are at full strength coupled with Evan Mobley being in then lineup. Allen averages 27.9 PRA with Evan Mobley in the lineup, compared to a whopping 32.3 PRA with Mobley inactive. Furthermore Donovan Mitchell is back and seemingly close to full strength which impacts Allen's field goal attempts/usage. While the Pacers fittingly play an up tempo brand of basketball, both teams are separated by just a single game in the Eastern Conference standings and this game is important to both squads. I expect a slow paced game as a result and fewer possessions.