Khris Middleton has been productive since returning from injury, averaging 14.8 points, 6.6 rebounds and 7.2 assists over five games. That has included him posting at least 12 combined rebounds and assists in each of the last four games. Damian Lillard (personal) has been ruled out Saturday, which should put the ball in Middleton’s hands even more. The Bucks and Hawks both rank inside the top-six in the league in pace of play, which should afford Middleton with a lot of opportunities to hit this over.

Under Doc Rivers the Milwaukee Bucks have had several mini stretches that make a person scratch their head. They appear to be in the middle of another down turn after blowing a near twenty point fourth quarter lead to the Lakers, and then falling to the Pelicans. Atlanta may be lacking depth but they have won four straight, including two wins over the Celtics. Play the Hawks

The Bucks are 4-2 to the over in their last 6 games, even as unders have been the rule. ATL is over in 6 straight and 7 of their last 8. Both of these teams have a penchant for playing OT, which always helps us get over. They combined for 253 points in their first meeting. The average ATL game over their last 10 has totaled 229 points. The average Bucks game in that span has totaled 232. Both have been getting plenty of points from their primary scorers lately and could see Lillard and Murray trying to out-do one another. MIL is 20th in defensive rating over last 10 games and Hawks are 25th. Let there be points.