If you watch my show you know I often follow Walker Kessler around like he’s Phish or the Dead and I have a trunk full of tie dyed tshirts. I look to see where he is, who he will be guarding and I fade like those same tshirts after 212 washes. Walker is back so I’m Under.

The Jazz are going to be thin at guard with Jordan Clarkson (groin) and Kris Dunn (rest) having been ruled out. Lauri Markkanen (quadriceps) is also out again. In the two full games that George has played since Markkanen went down, he combined for 35 and 32 points and assists, despite tough matchups against the Nuggets and Celtics. The same can’t be said about the Hawks, who have played at the fourth-fastest pace and have the fourth-worst defensive rating in the league. Give me the over here.

The Atlanta Hawks seek to end their two game losing streak on the road against the Utah Jazz. This should be a favorable matchup for the Hawks who won in lopsided fashion by twenty seven points against Utah on February 27th. It was their best game post All Star break, and when the Jazz were relatively healthy with Lauri Markannen available. Back the Hawks as the slight road favorites.

This is a big RA line for John Collins who averages a combined 9.7 RA on the season. This also isn't nearly as good of a matchup as it was for the majority of the season, as the Hawks are playing at a significantly slower pace recently. Collins is also losing minutes to Walker Kessler who is playing upwards of 25+ minutes at Center. Collins averages only 9.4 RA with Kessler active, compared to 10.7 with Kessler on the shelf. If this game was played in January it would have a minimum of a 240 point total, but with a sparse total of just 222 points, expect possessions to be at a minimum tonight in Utah.

This is a huge line for Keyonte George who is making 2.1 threes per game, while shooting right around the league average of 36.4%. Ordinarily this would be an excellent matchup against a Hawks team that has been playing up tempo, however Utah has played a lot slower without Trae Young in the lineup, in addition to playing much better defense as well. Utah also deploys a deep guard rotation as well.

We keep riding the wave of overs in Utah here. The Jazz have not had a total lower than this since 12/2 vs POR (that game went way over). They've played 24 home games since Thanksgiving and 21 went over this total; 19 of them went over 230. 16 of the last 17 Jazz home games are over this total. Jazz are 4th in NBA scoring avergagin 123/home game. ATL is 10th in NBA in road scoring (116). That's trended down some without Trae Young, but their lower totals lately have been against top D teams (CLE, MEM, NO). Utah wants to run at home, can't defend, and both teams are top 10 in pace. total way too low for me. Both teams rested.