Toronto is playing well with its new parts and now catches Dallas after a gut-wrenching loss to the Cavs. I think the Raptors win, but I’ll take the points.

Playing an NBA game earlier than normal on the hopes the Mavs end up resting Luka Doncic (although it's his birthday) and/or Kyrie Irving after both played mega-minutes in Tuesday's one-of-a-kind loss in Cleveland. If the Mavs come out and play great after that crushing defeat plus having to travel, kudos to them. The Raptors stunk entering the All-Star break but are 3-0 out of it.

The Raptors have become a track team the last few weeks (6th in avg speed the last 5 games and 6th in pace). The Mavs are playing a 3rd straight road game in a 4-day span, are sagging defensively and are 28th in avg speed the last 5 games. Mavs allow 118+ in 8 of last 11 road games; Raptors scored 121+ in 4 straight. Pacers pace drove Mavs nuts Sun (IND scored 133); TOR will replicate. Potentially losing starting C Jacob Poeltl (ankle) not great but Kelly Olynyk scoring at almost identical to Poeltl in Pts/Min in his 6 games since joining TOR. Raptors seem to be having fun and playing loose in late playoff push. I expect scoring boost to continue tonight .

Barnes has 22 assists over 2 games and averages 7.8/G over the last 10 games. The Mavs are in the midst of a brutal schedule and have defensive issues and forwards kill them on the boards. Barnes combined for 21 REB+AST in first meeting. He's over this in 5 of his last 7 games and has 15 in the other two. I feel very comfortable with him at 10+ rebounds in this match-up and Raptors have gelled recently - shooting 49% over last 5 games, boosting assist totals (6th in NBA in AST/G in that span). Mavs are 27th in opponent AST/G by forwards in that span (19/G). Barnes may have a triple double in his sights against a weary opponent at home.

The Mavs are 27th in opposing rebounding the last 10 games and are 28th in rebounds allowed to opposing guards in February (29/G). They are playing back-to-back and for a 3rd time in 4 nights. Getting above the rim with tired leg is tough. Barnes grabbed 14 boards in the first meeting, he averages 9/G at home, he has 9+ boards in 5 straight home games and 9+ in 13 of his last 18 home games. I'll be playing this 10+ in alt markets with Barnes fresh off a triple double Monday night.

Scottie Barnes is averaging 8.2 rebounds per game for the season. Since the trade deadline, he has hauled in at least nine rebounds in six of seven games. The Raptors have been rolling with more small lineups, which has helped Barnes record more rebounds. Jakob Poeltl (ankle) is listed as questionable, so they could be forced to play small even more if he can’t take the floor. The Mavericks have already given up the fourth-most rebounds per game in the league, so I love this over for Barnes.

This is a hefty combo line for Quickley who averages a combined 23 PRA on the season, however that number is 26.8 since being acquired by the Raptors back in January. Quickley and the Raptors are facing a Mavericks squad that hasn't exactly been playing great defense recently but their perimeter defense has been solid and they've had success limiting opposing guards. The Raptors are also healthy for the first time since Quickley has joined the team has are deploying a 9 man rotation. Even in a plus matchup I believe this line is too high for Quickley and there is value fading him.