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Thu, Apr 201:00 am UTCFiserv Forum
Miami
Heat
MIA
Last 5 ATS
W/L58-49
ATS46-58
O/U51-54-2
FINAL SCORE
--
-
--
Milwaukee
Bucks
MIL
Last 5 ATS
W/L59-28
ATS43-38
O/U47-40-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
58-49
Win /Loss
59-28
46-58
Spread
43-38
51-54-2
Over / Under
47-40-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIA @ MIL
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!

MONEYLINE
MIA @ MIL
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!

OVER / UNDER
MIA @ MIL
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!

0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
Over0%
PUBLIC
Under0%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Points + AssistsGabe Vincent Over 14.5 Total Points + Assists -123
WIN
Unit1.0
+640.25
28-17 in Last 45 NBA Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Arguably no player benefited more this season on Miami when Tyler Herro was out than Vincent, who averaged 15.8 points and 3.7 assists without him. Herro will miss 4-6 weeks after breaking his hand in Game 1. Vincent had 15 points and six helpers in that victory.

Pick Made: Apr 19, 10:45 pm UTC on WHNJ
Avatar
Total Points + AssistsJrue Holiday Over 25.5 Total Points + Assists -121
WIN
Unit1.0
+77
9-7 in Last 16 NBA Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Even if Giannis plays I doubt he will be 100%. Our SportslineAI is predicting Holiday scores 21.2 points in this game meaning all we need is 5 assists from a player who had 16 in the game 1. If Giannis Antetokounmpo doesn't play I like this even more. Holiday averaged 22.6 points and 9.5 assists in 11 games without Giannis this season. Hear the full breakdown on Early Edge in 5 at 4pm ET.

Pick Made: Apr 19, 6:20 pm UTC on WHNJ
Avatar
Total Rebounds + AssistsBam Adebayo Over 12.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -127
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1245
28-13 in Last 41 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Adebayo played a key role in Game 1, posting 22 points, nine rebounds and seven assists over 33 minutes. He has faced the Bucks five total times this season and he recorded at least 13 combined rebounds and assists in four of the games. The one time he didn’t was when he played just 25 minutes in a blowout loss. Minutes shouldn’t be an issue for him in the playoffs, so give me the over here.

Pick Made: Apr 19, 3:10 pm UTC on WHNJ
Avatar
Total PointsGabe Vincent Over 9.5 Total Points -129
WIN
Unit1.0
+1245
28-13 in Last 41 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

The Heat are up 1-0 in this series, but it hasn’t been all good news for them. They will have to try and advance without one of their best scorers in Tyler Hero (hand), who will be out for at least the next four weeks. Vincent stepped up with Herro going out early in Game 1, scoring 15 points over 33 minutes. Vincent played 12 games without Herro during the regular season and he scored at least 10 points in 10 of them. In eight of those games, he scored at least 15 points. I expect him to at least reach double digits in the scoring column again.

Pick Made: Apr 19, 3:00 pm UTC on WHNJ
Avatar
Total PointsJimmy Butler Under 28.5 Total Points -129
WIN
Unit1.0
Larry's Analysis:

Jimmy Butler dominated the Bucks in Game 1, scoring 35 points on 15 of 27 from the field. It was the most field goals he'd made in any game this season. With Giannis Antetokounmpo doubtful for Game 2 and likely unavailable to guard Butler, look for Mike Budenholzer to adjust defensively by doubling the Heat star and forcing him to pass. Sharpshooter Tyler Herro is out, and Milwaukee should bet against the poor-shooting Heat hitting 60 percent from deep again. Butler can still have a great game and stay Under this number.

Pick Made: Apr 19, 12:15 pm UTC on WHNJ
Avatar
Total Points + Assists + ReboundsMax Strus Over 18.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -129
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1368.5
70-45 in Last 115 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

It will be all hands on deck for the Miami Heat as they try to go up 2-0 against the number one seed Milwaukee Bucks. The Heat find themselves shorthanded after Tyler Herro broke his hand in game 1. Max Strus will be called upon to shoulder some of the offensive load and he has certainly proved capable of stepping up in the past. Strus played 38 minutes in game 1, which is certainly a welcome sight. He is likely to play 40+ mins game 2 barring a blow out. He's also been productive without Herro on the floor. Strus has appeared in 15 games without Herro this season and has eclisped this line 10 times while averaging 16.5 PPG, 4.1 RPG, and 2.3 APG, good for a combined PRA of 22.9 PRA.

Pick Made: Apr 19, 5:28 am UTC on WHNJ

Team Injuries

Miami Heat
Monday, Dec 22, 2025
Avatar
PG
Tyler Herro
ToeOut
Avatar
SG
Pelle Larsson
AnkleOut
Wednesday, Dec 17, 2025
Avatar
PF
Nikola Jovic
ElbowOut
Sunday, Dec 14, 2025
Avatar
SG
Terry Rozier
Not Injury RelatedOut
Milwaukee Bucks
Tuesday, Dec 23, 2025
Avatar
SG
Gary Trent Jr.
CalfQuestionable
Sunday, Dec 07, 2025
Avatar
PF
Giannis Antetokounmpo
CalfOut
Thursday, Nov 13, 2025
Avatar
SG
Taurean Prince
NeckOut
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