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Sat 05/21 | 1:00 AM UTC | San Francisco
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Dallas Mavericks 61-38, 56-42 ATS
DAL +6-110
DAL +210
Over 214-110
Golden St. Warriors 68-35, 53-46 ATS
GS -6-110
GS -260
Under 214-110

Expert Picks

Dallas 117 @ Golden St. 126 | 05/21 | 1:00 AM UTC

Golden St. -254

WIN

ANALYSIS: Up front: I'm playing this with Celtics moneyline for their game Saturday at home vs. Miami. I fully expect Dallas to play better tonight, although there's one report out there that Luka Doncic was up all night sick after Game 1 and still was feeling ill Thursday. Obviously, he'll play. I just don't see Dallas winning a game in San Francisco in this series barring a Golden State injury. The Dubs, who are on a nine-game home winning streak, seemed to frustrate Luka in Game 1 with Andrew Wiggins as the primary defender and the occasional zone/box-in-one. Steph Curry didn't even shoot well and it was still a rout.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2847 93-39 IN LAST 132 NBA ML PICKS
+873 17-5 IN LAST 22 DAL ML PICKS
+111 10-6 IN LAST 16 GS ML PICKS

Season Splits

61-38, 56-42 ATS
68-35, 53-46 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
57%
55-40-1
47-43-4
52%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
57%
28-21
28-18-2
60%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
51%
22-21
36-34-4
51%
When Spread was +4.5 to +7.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -7.5 to -4.5
53%
8-7
16-12
57%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
51%
15-14
25-18-2
58%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
67%
31-15
25-17-1
59%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
59%
52-36-1
45-42-4
51%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
59%
49-34-1
38-37-4
50%
vs GS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs DAL
60%
3-2
2-3
40%