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    Sat 05/21 | 1:00 AM UTC | San Francisco
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Dallas Mavericks 38-43, 30-47 ATS
    DAL +6-110
    DAL +210
    Over 214-110
    Golden St. Warriors 50-44, 44-49 ATS
    GS -6-110
    GS -260
    Under 214-110

    Expert Picks

    NBA | Dallas 117 @ Golden St. 126 | 05/21 | 1:00 AM UTC

    Golden St. -254

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: Up front: I'm playing this with Celtics moneyline for their game Saturday at home vs. Miami. I fully expect Dallas to play better tonight, although there's one report out there that Luka Doncic was up all night sick after Game 1 and still was feeling ill Thursday. Obviously, he'll play. I just don't see Dallas winning a game in San Francisco in this series barring a Golden State injury. The Dubs, who are on a nine-game home winning streak, seemed to frustrate Luka in Game 1 with Andrew Wiggins as the primary defender and the occasional zone/box-in-one. Steph Curry didn't even shoot well and it was still a rout.

    author-image

    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +3489 106-56-1 IN LAST 163 NBA PICKS
    +2765 86-36 IN LAST 122 NBA ML PICKS
    +1278 27-9 IN LAST 36 DAL ML PICKS
    +235 7-3 IN LAST 10 GS ML PICKS
    +1680 32-12 on NBA Props Picks

    Season Splits

    38-43, 30-47 ATS
    50-44, 44-49 ATS
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    57%
    55-40-1
    47-43-4
    52%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    57%
    28-21
    28-18-2
    60%
    As Underdog or PK
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    51%
    22-21
    36-34-4
    51%
    When Spread was +4.5 to +7.5
    SPREAD
    When Spread was -7.5 to -4.5
    53%
    8-7
    16-12
    57%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Favorite
    51%
    15-14
    25-18-2
    58%
    vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
    67%
    31-15
    25-17-1
    59%
    vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
    59%
    52-36-1
    45-42-4
    51%
    After a Day Off
    REST
    After a Day Off
    59%
    49-34-1
    38-37-4
    50%
    vs GS
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs DAL
    60%
    3-2
    2-3
    40%