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Phoenix goes home knotted up at 2 in the series, but you have to believe the Suns know they let Game 4 slip through the cracks. Now all the pressure is on Phoenix to win this game and protect its home court. I believe the difference in this game will be Jrue Holiday, who finally plays better offensively as the Bucks take control of the series. Fear the deer.
For the first time since the first round of the playoffs, the Suns have lost consecutive games. Game 4 was the Suns' to win until the Bucks dug deep and evened the series. I expect the pendulum to keep swinging toward the Bucks' side as they get their third straight series cover. Take the Bucks.
The home team has won all four games in this series, so Game 5 being in Phoenix could be key for the Suns. They won both of the first two games there by at least 10 points. If not for a bad couple of minutes at the end of fourth quarter, they might have actually won Game 4 in Milwaukee, as well. With the series shifting back to Phoenix, expect the Suns to get back on the winning track, and cover along the way.
Who loses an NBA playoff game when shooting more than 50 percent from the field while the other team shoots less than 41 percent? Phoenix in Game 4, that’s the list, all-time. Lots of turnovers (17) for the Suns -- veteran Chris Paul had five -- were the reason. But the fire and sense of urgency by the Suns and Devin Booker on the road in Game 4 lead me to believe that Game 5 is going to be a double-digit Phoenix win behind the home crowd. I’m on the Suns to cover.
Chris Paul's legacy is on the line after he committed 15 turnovers in the past three games. I believe he'll take better care of possessions at home in Game 5, and that the Suns will get some fast-break points after scoring exactly zero on the break in the Game 4 loss. Outside of Devin Booker (42 points), the Suns' starters accounted for just 38 points in the loss. Look for them to play better at home and back the series trend -- the home team winning and covering -- to continue.
I see no reason why the home team won't win every game of this series barring injury. Another extra day off in the Finals, which may help 36-year-old Chris Paul, who simply wasn't very good in the two games in Milwaukee. Jrue Holiday defensively has given Paul nightmares. However, I like the Suns because they should have won Game 4 and mostly because of the home/road shooting splits of Holiday and Khris Middleton in this postseason. For Holiday, it's 43.7 percent overall and 30.4 percent from deep at home and 37.5/28.3 away. For Middleton, it's an even steeper 46.8/38.0 at home compared to 40.4/31.5 away
Team Injuries











