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Sun, Jul 181:00 am UTCPhoenix Suns Arena
Milwaukee
Bucks
MIL
Last 5 ATS
W/L62-33
ATS49-45
O/U50-43-2
FINAL SCORE
--
-
--
Phoenix
Suns
PHO
Last 5 ATS
W/L65-29
ATS56-36
O/U52-41-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
62-33
Win /Loss
65-29
49-45
Spread
56-36
50-43-2
Over / Under
52-41-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIL @ PHO
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MONEYLINE
MIL @ PHO
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OVER / UNDER
MIL @ PHO
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0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
Over0%
PUBLIC
Under0%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Milwaukee +155
WIN
Unit1.0
+1000
20-9-4 in Last 33 NBA ATS Picks
+233
15-12 in Last 27 NBA ML Picks
Tim's Analysis:

Phoenix goes home knotted up at 2 in the series, but you have to believe the Suns know they let Game 4 slip through the cracks. Now all the pressure is on Phoenix to win this game and protect its home court. I believe the difference in this game will be Jrue Holiday, who finally plays better offensively as the Bucks take control of the series. Fear the deer.

Pick Made: Jul 17, 8:01 pm UTC on whnj
Milwaukee +4 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1775
45-24 in Last 69 NBA Picks
+449
31-24 in Last 55 NBA ATS Picks
Zack's Analysis:

For the first time since the first round of the playoffs, the Suns have lost consecutive games. Game 4 was the Suns' to win until the Bucks dug deep and evened the series. I expect the pendulum to keep swinging toward the Bucks' side as they get their third straight series cover. Take the Bucks.

Pick Made: Jul 17, 7:53 pm UTC on whnj
Phoenix -4 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+4760
140-84-4 in Last 228 NBA Picks
+300
3-0 in Last 3 NBA ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

The home team has won all four games in this series, so Game 5 being in Phoenix could be key for the Suns. They won both of the first two games there by at least 10 points. If not for a bad couple of minutes at the end of fourth quarter, they might have actually won Game 4 in Milwaukee, as well. With the series shifting back to Phoenix, expect the Suns to get back on the winning track, and cover along the way.

Pick Made: Jul 17, 12:55 pm UTC on whnj
Phoenix -4 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
Micah's Analysis:

Who loses an NBA playoff game when shooting more than 50 percent from the field while the other team shoots less than 41 percent? Phoenix in Game 4, that’s the list, all-time. Lots of turnovers (17) for the Suns -- veteran Chris Paul had five -- were the reason. But the fire and sense of urgency by the Suns and Devin Booker on the road in Game 4 lead me to believe that Game 5 is going to be a double-digit Phoenix win behind the home crowd. I’m on the Suns to cover.

Pick Made: Jul 16, 1:45 am UTC on whnj
Phoenix -4 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2039
125-95-7 in Last 227 NBA ATS Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Chris Paul's legacy is on the line after he committed 15 turnovers in the past three games. I believe he'll take better care of possessions at home in Game 5, and that the Suns will get some fast-break points after scoring exactly zero on the break in the Game 4 loss. Outside of Devin Booker (42 points), the Suns' starters accounted for just 38 points in the loss. Look for them to play better at home and back the series trend -- the home team winning and covering -- to continue.

Pick Made: Jul 15, 2:55 pm UTC on whnj
Phoenix -172
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3519.75
168-91-1 in Last 260 NBA Picks
+1460
89-46 in Last 135 NBA ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

I see no reason why the home team won't win every game of this series barring injury. Another extra day off in the Finals, which may help 36-year-old Chris Paul, who simply wasn't very good in the two games in Milwaukee. Jrue Holiday defensively has given Paul nightmares. However, I like the Suns because they should have won Game 4 and mostly because of the home/road shooting splits of Holiday and Khris Middleton in this postseason. For Holiday, it's 43.7 percent overall and 30.4 percent from deep at home and 37.5/28.3 away. For Middleton, it's an even steeper 46.8/38.0 at home compared to 40.4/31.5 away

Pick Made: Jul 15, 1:13 pm UTC on consensus

Team Injuries

Milwaukee Bucks
Monday, Dec 15, 2025
Avatar
SG
AJ Green
ShoulderQuestionable
Sunday, Dec 07, 2025
Avatar
PF
Giannis Antetokounmpo
CalfOut
Thursday, Nov 13, 2025
Avatar
SG
Taurean Prince
NeckOut
Phoenix Suns
Monday, Dec 15, 2025
Avatar
SF
Isaiah Livers
HipQuestionable
Avatar
SG
Koby Brea
ConcussionQuestionable
Avatar
SG
Jalen Green
HamstringQuestionable
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