Everything went right for the Bucks during their 20-point victory in Game 3. Giannis Antetokounmpo was excellent from the free-throw line, Phoenix's Deandre Ayton was limited by foul trouble and teammate Devin Booker couldn’t get anything going from the field. Don’t expect all three of those things to happen again in Game 4, which should be a closer contest. Still, with how well the Bucks have played at home and the jolt of energy Bobby Portis provides off the bench there, I like them to cover.

It’s crazy when looking at the Game 3 box score and seeing that the Suns shot 48% from the field, but still lost by 20 points. Cam Johnson was great off the bench, Jae Crowder made 6 of 7 3-pointer, but Devin Booker was yanked way early for poor play shooting only 3 of 14 from the field. But Chris Paul (-13) didn’t lead, either. Mikal Bridges was also a no-show. The Bucks did that to them in Milwaukee shooting only 48% themselves. The Bucks won the mental game. Booker will show up in Game 4, but the home vibe will get to the Suns again. Bucks get the Game 4 cover in another high-scoring game.

This will be the first really tight game of the series. Devin Booker will bounce back from his 3-of-14 debacle, Mikal Bridges will be a factor again, and Monty Williams will keep DeAndre Ayton on the floor even if he gets in foul trouble. Williams now knows he can't afford to play extended minutes with Frank Kaminsky (minus-12 in 14 minutes) and Torrey Craig (minus-12 in 15 minutes). Phoenix was in a similar position against the Clippers. After the Suns got blown out in Game 3, cutting their series lead to 2-1, they responded with a gritty four-point win to take command of the series. Look for a similar response Wednesday.

I see no reason why Milwaukee won't win at home again as the Bucks have dominated at Fiserv Forum in these playoffs other than one game vs. Atlanta. I'd certainly feel even better about fading the Suns if Scott Foster was one of the referees again, though. Are you aware that Chris Paul's teams have lost 12 straight playoff games refereed by Foster? More to the point, pun intended: Devin Booker's three-point shooting woes are becoming a real problem -- although I still expect Phoenix to win the series barring injury.