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Fri 05/21 | 12:00 AM UTC | Washington
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Indiana Pacers 35-38, 32-40 ATS
IND +3.5
IND +140
Over 240.5
Washington Wizards 34-39, 42-31 ATS
WAS -3.5
WAS -160
Under 240.5

Expert Picks

Indiana 115 @ Washington 142 | 05/21 | 12:00 AM UTC

Washington -150

WIN

ANALYSIS: Sometimes I am asked why I pick the moneyline often on NBA favorites instead of spreads. See Wednesday's West two games for the reason why -- I would have pushed and lost backing the favorites on the spread but instead went 2-0 on the ML. Home teams are 4-0 in these play-in games SU. Wizards star Bradley Beal isn't 100 percent, but the Pacers have a handful of banged-up guys and no Caris LeVert. Washington is also unbeaten ATS in its past eight following a loss. I'm still going moneyline, though. A lot of people are overreacting to Indiana's blowout of a slumping Charlotte team on Tuesday.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1432 62-30 IN LAST 92 NBA ML PICKS
+726 9-1 IN LAST 10 WAS ML PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 IND ML PICKS

Season Splits

35-38, 32-40 ATS
34-39, 42-31 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
44%
32-40-1
42-31
57%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
52%
19-17
19-17
52%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
44%
15-19-1
12-11
52%
When Spread was +2 to +5
SPREAD
When Spread was -5 to -2
38%
8-13
6-3
66%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
47%
9-10
7-8
46%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
40%
8-12
11-13
45%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
42%
29-40-1
40-30
57%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
36%
20-35-1
31-25
55%
vs WAS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs IND
33%
1-2
2-1
66%