We picked against the red-hot Utah Jazz on Sunday at a good road opponent (Denver) and Utah's winning streak ended. I believe the Grizzlies' seven-game run ends tonight at a good road opponent as well. It's the second of a back-to-back and Memphis is really going to miss big man Jonas Valanciunas (COVID protocols) against Indiana's very good frontcourt duo of Myles Turner and Domantas Sabonis. The Pacers have won the past four at home in the series -- they will make it five, but I'm not giving the 4.5 points.

Ja Morant only played 22 minutes in the Grizzlies' blowout of San Antonio last night, Memphis' seventh straight win. In fact, 10 Grizzlies played between 20 and 27 minutes. Memphis is 6-1 straight-up on the road, while the Pacers have won just three of their last eight. Take the points.

After being sidelined due to COVID-19, the Grizzlies haven’t skipped a beat since retaking the floor, winning both of the games they played in San Antonio. Each victory came by at least 17 points, improving their road record to 6-1 on the season. Meanwhile, the Pacers are just 4-7 ATS at home, including 3-6 ATS as home favorites. Memphis should at least be able to keep this close, and it wouldn’t be a huge surprise if it won outright.