Jose Soriano has been outstanding to begin the year, and projects to top 17 outs once again. We got this at 15.5 in his last start but I'm fine playing the over again here at 16.5 outs, where we don't need to finish six innings to cash. The Reds have the 4th lowest wOBA against right handed pitching so far this year and rookie George Klassen lasted just two innings in this start yesterday. The Angels bullpen will need Soriano to eat up some innings here, and his high ground ball rate will help him pitching in this park, where fly balls become home runs easier. I give LA the F5 advantage as well.

DraftKings / Caesar’s. Jose Soriano has come out of the gate as one of the most impressive pitchers in baseball thus far. With only one run and seven hits allowed across his 20 innings, Soriano has cleared this outs line in all three starts. He’s been able to miss more bats this season while maintaining an elite groundball rate. The Reds are an ideal opponent for his efficiency as they’ve struggled against righties, with a .620 OPS, and against ground ball pitchers (.541 OPS). Soriano should see 5-6 righties today, the side of the platoon that is 1/30 off of him so far this season. I’d bet this to over 17.5 outs.

The Angels have won all three of Jose Soriano's starts, which is no surprise given his 0.45 ERA and 0.65 WHIP. Soriano's dominance appears to be sustainable given his increased velocity and improved knuckle-curve. Andrew Abbott has been solid for the host Reds. But the Halos' offense has performed better lately, ranking 10th in OPS over the past seven days compared to Cincy's 21st ranking. Take the Angels in Sunday's rubber game.