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Freddy Peralta spent much of this season as the Milwaukee ace and will have to reprise that form tonight in Game 2, though his efforts in the NLDS vs. the Cubs were not overwhelming (4.65 ERA in two starts). On the plus side, at home this season, Peralta was very good, with a 9-1 record and 1.77 ERA. Meanwhile, the Dodgers continue to get strong work from their rotation, though tonight's starter Yoshinobu Yamamoto might be the weaker link after a subpar effort vs. the Phils in the NLDS (3 runs and 6 hits in 4 IP in Game 3). LA's recurring bullpen issues might also have resurfaced last night when almost blowing a 2-0 lead in the ninth inning. Play Brewers on Money Line

Same angle here on fading Yoshinobu Yamamoto and seven strikeouts won't be an easy task if he's not able to finish six innings here. If he follows up Blake Snell with another incredible performance, I'll just have to tip my cap to him. He's allowed 10 hits in 10.2 innings this postseason, lasting just 67 pitches and four innings last time out against the Phillies. The bullpen is highly rested here and the matchup game should be in full effect here for Dave Roberts as the Dodgers try to steal both games before heading home to LA.
The Brewers had beaten the Dodgers in eight consecutive games until Game 1 of the NLCS, when Blake Snell mowed them down, allowing one hit over eight innings in a 2-1 Dodgers win. Now the Brewers home-field advantage is gone. It's up to Freddy Peralta to even things up, and he's going against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, whom the Brewers defeated 9-1 in July, when he didn't make it out of the first inning, allowing five runs. Peralta faced the Dodgers twice this season, and the Brewers won both games, with both going over the total. Peralta evens the series, Brewers win.

Blake Snell saved the bullpen last night going eight innings with 10 strikeouts in a fantastic effort which helped the Dodgers win a low scoring affair. Yoshinobu Yamamoto now starts for LA tonight and I'll bank on the Milwaukee bats being more lively here, as opposed to the measly two hits they had last night. This number opened at 17.5 before dropping to 16.5 and I wouldn't be surprised to see 15.5's at some point. Through 10.2 innings so far this postseason, Yamamoto has allowed 10 hits, three walks and a hit batsman, amounting to three earned runs. Not great but he's been incredible this year, yet at some point the Brewers bats have to break out, right? At this price, I'll play the under.
The LA Dodgers picked up a pivotal game one NLCS victory over the Milwaukee Brewers on Monday night. Milwaukee has now lost three of its last four playoff games, and has scored three runs or less in all. That could be a big issue tonight with Freddy Peralta on the mound, as he has given up eight home runs over his last six starts. As we know playoff baseball is all about the now, and expect the Dodgers who lost all six regular season games against Milwaukee to go up 2-0 in the series. Take LA.
Pretty solid Monday overall for picks other than Toronto-wise times two. Rough day up there. All I care about here is the Brewers hanging by a run again after last night's very entertaining 2-1 loss. Thought I was toast at +1.5 when Dodgers made it 2-0 in T9. It's Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs. Freddy Peralta tonight, so another 2-1 score would not surprise. Peralta was almost unbeatable at home during the RS with a 1.77 ERA. I think we see The Miz tonight too after not Game 1.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto allowed three earned runs and did not get out of the first inning during a start in Milwaukee on July 7th. The Brewers can draw confidence from their previous success, even if the sample size is small. Freddy Peralta has limited the Dodgers to a .293 xwOBA in 154 plate appearances. He has been more effective at home with a 1.77 ERA compared to a 3.71 ERA on the road this season. I like the Brewers to win at plus money.

Shohei Ohtani has hit two home runs off Freddy Peralta in nine career at-bats. However, he has not hit a home run in his last six games after smashing two dingers against the Reds in the Wild Card round. Hopefully, Peralta will challenge him rather than issuing a free pass.
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