Carlos Correa is 12-for-38 (.316) with 4 home runs against lefties this season. While it's a small sample size, Correa has been very good against lefties and has historically fared better against them. He has just 1 home run in nearly five times as many at-bats against right-handed pitchers this season. Patrick Corbin has been one of the lone bright spots for the Rangers lately, but he still has a high HR/9 rate and is much worse against right-handed batters than left-handed ones. Correa is just 2-for-9 in his career against Corbin, but he has 4 walks to 2 strikeouts—an indication that he sees the ball well out of Corbin's hand. We set the line at +380 for Correa to homer today.

DraftKings. Bailey Ober has failed to clear this line in ten of his 13 starts this season. The Rangers had struggled with strikeouts, but now are trotting out their regular, less K-prone lineup. Over the last week against righties, Texas’s punchout rate has declined to 20%. Ober has below average whiff rates this season, and the Rangers maintain the highest zone swing percentage in baseball. I’m expecting more contact than not today - take the under.

Much like Sinner vs. Alcaraz at Roland Garros last Sunday, this series has swung back-and-forth. Perhaps we shouldn't be surprised that the Rangers were held to two runs in Wednesday's loss after piling up 16 on Tuesday. But if these results are indeed see-sawing, we don't mind backing Texas to square this series behind Patrick Corbin (3.52 ERA), who has been serviceable all season and yet to allow more than three runs in one of his starts. The Rangers also catch the Twins' Bailey Ober off of a shallow effort last Friday vs. Toronto, allowing five runs (two homers) in 7 IP of a 6-4 loss. Play Rangers on Money Line