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Tue, Jun 1010:40 pm UTCPNC Park
71 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Miami
Marlins
MIA
Last 5 ML
W/L25-41
ATS35-31
O/U34-31-1
FINAL SCORE
3
-
2
Pittsburgh
Pirates
PIT
Last 5 ML
W/L28-42
ATS32-38
O/U27-40-3
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
25-41
Win /Loss
28-42
35-31
Spread
32-38
34-31-1
Over / Under
27-40-3
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIA @ PIT
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
MIA @ PIT
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

OVER / UNDER
MIA @ PIT
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

3%
PUBLIC
97%
MONEY
21%
PUBLIC
79%
MONEY
Over91%
PUBLIC
Under9%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LinePittsburgh -137
LOSS
Unit0.5
+2321.75
156-79 in Last 235 MLB Picks
+452.75
18-7 in Last 25 MLB ML Picks
+487.5
12-3 in Last 15 PIT ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Bucs starter Mitch Keller is massively due a home win at 0-5 there this year despite pitching pretty well at PNC Park other than last time out vs. Houston. He gets no run support at all. Keller has allowed only 0.59 home runs per 9.0 IP this season overall, fifth-best among NL starters. Pittsburgh is playing much better of late and hitting .264 since May 23, the fourth-best mark in MLB during that stretch. Since Don Kelly took over as manager, the staff ERA of 3.19 ranks fifth in the majors. Miami's Sandy Alcantara is 0-4 with a 12.81 ERA on the road this year.

Pick Made: Tue 7:58 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
To Hit a Home RunOneil Cruz To Hit a Home Run +430
WIN
Unit0.5
Jeff's Analysis:

Oneil Cruz’s advanced metrics show he is among MLB’s hardest hitters, with a 97.2 mph average exit velocity and a 60.2% hard-hit rate in 2025. His barrel rate is an elite 23.6%, indicating frequent hard contact that translates into extra-base hits. Sandy Alcantara has allowed a .480 slugging percentage against left-handed batters as opposed to .378 vs. righties. Cruz has a slugging percentage of .674 against four-seam fastballs and .452 against sinkers, which are the two pitches Alcantara uses most frequently. The Marlins bullpen has allowed the 3rd most hits and 4th most home runs.

Pick Made: Tue 4:59 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total BasesOneil Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases +108
WIN
Unit0.5
Jeff's Analysis:

Oneil Cruz’s advanced metrics show he is among MLB’s hardest hitters, with a 97.2 mph average exit velocity and a 60.2% hard-hit rate in 2025. His barrel rate is an elite 23.6%, indicating frequent hard contact that translates into extra-base hits. Sandy Alcantara has allowed a .480 slugging percentage against left-handed batters as opposed to .378 vs. righties. Cruz has a slugging percentage of .674 against four-seam fastballs and .452 against sinkers, which are the two pitches Alcantara uses most frequently. The Marlins bullpen has allowed the 3rd most hits and 4th most home runs.

Pick Made: Tue 4:58 pm UTC on Caesars
Money LinePittsburgh -139
LOSS
Unit1.0
+340
3-0 in Last 3 MLB ML Picks
+308
3-0 in Last 3 PIT ML Picks
Micah's Analysis:

Sandy Alcantara stopped his streak of six consecutive games allowing 4 runs or more by allowing only two runs in his last start. Maybe it's a sign that he found his Cy Young form again, but the Marlins ended up losing that game to the lowly Rockies. The Marlins have lost eight of his last nine starts, and in the game that they won on May 28th against the Padres, Alcantara allowed six runs. I have to take the Pirates, who have won a season high four games in a row, with Mitch Keller, who started the Pirates last loss. The Pirates are having fun for the first time this season, ride the streak.

Pick Made: Tue 3:51 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
To Hit a Home RunOneil Cruz To Hit a Home Run +440
WIN
Unit0.5
+310
4-8 in Last 12 MLB Player Props Picks
Jake's Analysis:

After a huge power surge to begin the season, Oneil Cruz hasn't homered in his last 9 games, but we think he's due and like the matchup against a struggling Sandy Alcantara. Alcantara has allowed just 2 home runs in his last 5 starts, but he's getting hit hard. His ERA is up to nearly 8, and he has a 2-7 record on the season. Alcantara has particularly struggled against left-handed hitters, who have an .877 OPS against him, largely due to a 23/18 BB-to-K ratio. Cruz is 1-for-3 with a home run against Alcantara in his career. We would set the line for Cruz to homer at +315, so there's strong value at +440.

Pick Made: Tue 3:49 pm UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Miami Marlins
Friday, Jun 13, 2025
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1B
Jay Beshears
UndisclosedIl
Tuesday, Jun 10, 2025
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CF
Derek Hill
WristIl
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RP
Andrew Nardi
BackIl
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SP
Ryan Weathers
LatIl
Friday, Jun 06, 2025
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RP
Jesus Tinoco
ForearmIl
Tuesday, Jun 03, 2025
Avatar
SP
Max Meyer
HipIl
Saturday, May 24, 2025
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C
Rob Brantly
LatIl
Wednesday, Apr 30, 2025
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LF
Griffin Conine
ShoulderIl
Wednesday, Feb 12, 2025
Avatar
SP
Braxton Garrett
ElbowIl
Pittsburgh Pirates
Wednesday, Jun 11, 2025
Avatar
RP
Dauri Moreta
ElbowIl
Avatar
C
Joey Bart
ConcussionIl
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SP
Carlson Reed
BackIl
Sunday, Jun 08, 2025
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3B
Malcom Nunez
UndisclosedIl
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CF
Jase Bowen
UndisclosedIl
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P
Derek Diamond
UndisclosedIl
Saturday, Jun 07, 2025
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1B
Endy Rodriguez
ElbowIl
Thursday, May 29, 2025
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SP
Johan Oviedo
LatIl
Avatar
RP
Colin Holderman
ThumbIl
Wednesday, May 21, 2025
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1B
Enmanuel Valdez
ShoulderIl
Avatar
RP
Justin Lawrence
ElbowIl
Avatar
SP
Jared Jones
ElbowIl
Wednesday, May 07, 2025
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P
Cristofer Melendez
UndisclosedIl
Thursday, Apr 24, 2025
Avatar
RP
Tim Mayza
ShoulderIl
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