Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Understanding Public and Money
Expert Picks
It appears that every expert agrees on the Rangers tonight. What could go wrong? Playing at -114 on NoVig. I have the Rangers winning 58 percent of sims meaning you should be paying -138.
There was some confusion earlier over whether it would be Patrick Corbin or Tyler Mahle for Texas. Mahle is not Nolan Ryan or anything but he's miles better than Corbin, whose starts have been a national betting holiday the past couple of years -- and he apparently will go Wednesday. Mahle has been really good so far. The Halos' Yusei Kikuchi (0-2, 5.00 ERA) has given up at least three ER in each start. And the Rangers had good numbers against him in 2024 (with another team).
Texas returns home after a six game road trip where the Rangers are 6-1 this season. Meanwhile, the Angels are playing their seventh straight road game and have to face the Tyler Mahle, who sports an impressive 1.32 ERA over 13.2 innings of work this season. Yusei Kikuchi has yet to pitch more than 6.0 innings this season and the Rangers should be able to exploit an Angels bullpen that has the worst ERA in the American League (6.29).
Adolis Garcia is overdue for a long ball, with no homers yet in April. He has good history against Yusei Kikuchi, going 3-for-9 with 2 HRs in his career. This line is closer to +350 at most books, but you can get +450 on FanDuel. We set his fair line at +348, so there’s excellent value on him going yard tonight.
The Rangers are back home after a rough road trip where they went 1-5, but they’ve been excellent in Arlington with a 6-1 record. Tyler Mahle, who starts tonight, was the only winning pitcher on that road trip and has allowed just 1 earned run over his last 12 IP. He’s now 3-0 in starts this year. Meanwhile, Angels starter Yusei Kikuchi has allowed 3+ ER in each of his 3 starts, and LA is 0-3 in those games. This is a solid bounce-back spot for Texas.
I'm fading a sixth strikeout from Yusei Kikuchi at u5.5 (-102) at FanDuel. This number should be -130 in this matchup. The Rangers are a top 10 offense against left-handed pitching on the season.
Team Injuries
