ANALYSIS: The Oilers offer nice value to start the season on home ice as my simulations make them -150 against the Canucks. Look for a hot start to the season for the top line of Nugent-Hopkins/McDavid/Kassian. I also really love the PP unit with Draisaitl and Tyson Barrie. Lay it.

ANALYSIS: I'm also taking the Oilers on the puckline at -1.5 (+230) to open the season as this line is priced as if these teams are much closer than they actually are in this season opener.

ANALYSIS: I like the Nuggets despite the scheduling difficulty of playing three road games in four days. The Nets are without Kyrie Irving, and Nikola Jokic is definitely a matchup problem. My simulations make the Nuggets -1.7 points better in this spot. Look for a big statistical night from Kevin Durant as the Nets come up short.

ANALYSIS: Bowling Green has been a completely different team over the last three weeks, winning (and covering) four consecutive games. Bowling Green has scored 83, 90, 93 in three of their last four games. My simulations make this line -10.2 so I'm taking Bowling Green in what should be another double digit win against Ball State.

ANALYSIS: The Sixers offer nice value with Joel Embiid questionable on the second night of the road back-to-back. The loss of Kevin Durant is significantly more important than Joel Embiid resting or being limited in this matchup. Philadelphia has the defensive depth needed to force someone other than Irving or LeVert. My simulations make the Sixers -3.8 points better as this line is inflated after the Nets blowout win without Durant earlier this week.