Mike McClure

Money

Mike is a professional DFS player and SportsLine predictive data engineer, specializing in player projections and advanced statistical analysis. Mike has over $1 Million in DFS winnings in addition to being recognized in the book ?Fantasy Football (and Baseball) for Smart People: How to Turn your hobby into a Fortune? as a top Daily Fantasy Baseball Player. In 2016, Mike launched the wOBA Projection Model for MLB picks and it returned a whopping $2,738 to $100 bettors over the past two seasons. He also co-hosts the SportsLine DFS Podcast. For Mike McClure media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

11-6-2 IN LAST 19 NFL PICKS | +457

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Mike's
Picks

Kansas City -3.5 KC -3.5

L.A. Chargers 29 @ Kansas City 28
12/14
LAC 29 @ KC 28
12/14
LOSS
Thu 12/13

Both teams are short-handed at running back which provides a meaningful edge to the Chiefs. Losing Gordon and Ekeler is a bigger hit to the Chargers than Kansas City losing Hunt and Ware. Justin Jackson is very talented, but he isn't enough to make up for what the Chargers are missing. This Chiefs team gets the biggest home field bump of any team in the NFL in my model. On a normal Sunday afternoon it's worth 3.2 points. On the short week in primetime it's worth 4.1 points in my model. The current number at -3.5 suggests the Chargers are 0.5 points better on a neutral field without their top two running backs? No thank you. I like Kansas City up to -5.5 in this game.

11-6-2 IN LAST 19 NFL PICKS | +457

Indianapolis +4.5 IND +4.5

Indianapolis 24 @ Houston 21
12/09
IND 24 @ HOU 21
12/09
WIN
Sat 12/8

I'm throwing the loss to the Jaguars out and treating Indianapolis as the red-hot team they really are. This is going to be a great AFC South game that will be decided by less than a field goal. My data (throwing out last week) indicates these teams are nearly identical on a neutral field. I have home field worth 2.8 points for the this Texans unit in a division game. The sharp betting market tends to agree with my numbers since 55 percent of spread tickets are on the Texans, but 61% of the spread dollars are on the Colts. Take the points!

11-6-2 IN LAST 19 NFL PICKS | +457

Detroit +8.5 DET +8.5

Detroit 92 @ Milwaukee 115
12/06
DET 92 @ MIL 115
12/06
LOSS
Wed 12/5

How will the Pistons mathcup with Giannis is the obvious question, but the overlooked question is how will the Bucks handle Drummond and Blake? My simulations make the Pistons +5.5 road underdogs against this Milwaukee team, indicating good value at the current number. Sharp bettors agree as 53 percent of spread bets are on the Bucks, while 72 percent of the spread dollars are on the Pistons with the points.

2-1 IN LAST 3 NBA ATS PICKS | +89

Chicago +8 CHI +8

Chicago 90 @ Indiana 96
12/05
CHI 90 @ IND 96
12/05
WIN
Tue 12/4

The day after a coach is fired in-season is typically a great spot to back a struggling team. Fortunately we get the Bulls on the road so the number is even more inflated. I've bumped the Bulls just slightly in the model to account for the new "energy" in this spot. I make the Bulls +5 underdogs against the Pacers without Oladipo. The sharp betting market agrees with my model as 57 percent of spread bets are on the Pacers, while 75 percent of the spread dollars are on the Bulls. Give me all of those points.

2-1 IN LAST 3 NBA ATS PICKS | +89

Toronto -2 TOR -2

Toronto 124 @ Utah 111
11/06
TOR 124 @ UTA 111
11/06
WIN
Mon 11/5

The Raptors are on the second night of a road back-to-back but that's not much of a concern for me at this point in the season. I'm expecting Kawhi Leonard to return to the lineup tonight after sitting for rest against the Lakers. The loss of Donovan Mitchell is going to really hurt the Jazz ability to score enough points in this one. Laying the road chalk on a back-to-back rarely works out, but this Raptors team is different.

2-1 IN LAST 3 NBA ATS PICKS | +89

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