ANALYSIS:

ANALYSIS: Note: I'm playing any remaining NIT games at 0.5u instead of 1u. My simulations make the number 118.4 in this matchup between two teams that are better defensively than offensively. North Texas plays great defense and that has continued in the NIT where they've held both opponents to 55 or fewer points. The Mean Green love to play a very slow game where they rank outside the top 350 in pace of play. This should be a physical defensive battle that stays under. I'm on the u124 for 0.5u

ANALYSIS: Always shop around as I just played o134.5 which is a lot better than the 136's floating around at the moment. I think the opening number of 137 was far more appropriate, but we're seeing a ton of buying to the Under on many games after the hot start to the tournament. My simulations make this one 141 in a matchup with massive contrasting styles. Bama wants to play with a ton of pace while SDSU typically plays a little slower. Both teams play strong defense and will be able to generate turnovers that lead to points. Both teams are also quite strong at getting to the free throw line. This will be a highly competitive game that should see SDSU forced to play meaningfully above their average pace.

ANALYSIS: My sims make the total 144.3 in a matchup that features two teams who will find their way to the free throw line often. Arkansas is best team remaining in the tournament in terms of free throw attempt rate where they were a top five team in the country this season, but they're also one of the worst teams in defensive free throw rate. I'm projecting above average pace as I expect Arkansas to force tempo, and UConn will likely invite it due to a few individual matchups they will see. I'm on the Over here.

ANALYSIS: Shop this line while you can as I've played this -1.5 personally. Kentucky has a pretty clear rebounding edge in this game, and ranks as a top three team in terms of generating second chance points. Kansas State is very likely to struggle with foul trouble dealing with the size and strengths of this Kentucky team. It's been one heck of a season for K-State, but the run ends here. My sims make Kentucky -5.5 in this matchup.