ANALYSIS: I'm also going to play the Cowboys on the moneyline. This game is priced as if this a true road game for Dallas against a team with significant home field advantage. This will be more like a home game for Dallas than it will the Chargers in LA. I make the Cowboys -1.1 points better in what I'm going to call a neutral site game against the Chargers. Dak was fantastic in week 1, and should continue that success in a better matchup. Look for some success with Zeke and Pollard to really open things up for Dak, Cooper, Lamb and the tight ends.

ANALYSIS: This game is priced as if this a true road game for Dallas against a team with significant home field advantage. This will be more like a home game for Dallas than it will the Chargers in LA. I make the Cowboys -1.1 points better in what I'm going to call a neutral site game against the Chargers. Dak was fantastic in week 1, and should continue that success in a better matchup. Look for some success with Zeke and Pollard to really open things up for Dak, Cooper, Lamb and the tight ends. Take the points.

ANALYSIS: My model suggests this total is about 4.6 points short of where it should be for these two teams. CMU surrendered 30 points per game in a weak MAC league and now they face a hungry Tigers team looking for their first win of the season. LSU can score, obviosuly, but they're also a little vulnerable on defense through the air. CMU will obviously have to throw a lot in this game which ultimately extends the game pretty significantly at the college level. The Over is the top play here.

ANALYSIS: This is a MUST win game for the Bearcats if they hope to have any chance at the College Football playoff. Not only is this a must win, but they really need a convincing road win against a power 5 school. Look for them to rely heavily on their defense, especially the elite secondary, to make life difficult for Michael Penix. Penix hasn't been great since returning from the ACL injury, and I think he will struggle to connect down field in this one. I make Cincinnati -7.8 points better here as I think their playoff dreams live for another two week until they face Notre Dame.

ANALYSIS: This line appears to match the off-season hype for the Browns, and discounts the improvements on the Chiefs offensive line. My model makes Kansas City 6.4 better on a neutral field, and 8.7 points better at Arrowhead Stadium. Look for a healthy Chiefs team to start the season on the right foot with a 7+ point victory in front of the home crowd.