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Thu, Apr 035:05 pm UTCOriole Park at Camden Yards
81 F
Boston
Red Sox
BOS
Last 5 ML
W/L89-73
ATS84-78
O/U75-81-6
FINAL SCORE
8
-
4
Baltimore
Orioles
BAL
Last 5 ML
W/L75-87
ATS77-85
O/U65-92-5
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
89-73
Win /Loss
75-87
84-78
Spread
77-85
75-81-6
Over / Under
65-92-5
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
BOS @ BAL
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MONEYLINE
BOS @ BAL
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OVER / UNDER
BOS @ BAL
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16%
PUBLIC
84%
MONEY
41%
PUBLIC
59%
MONEY
Over95%
PUBLIC
Under5%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Earned Runs AllowedCharlie Morton Over 2.5 Total Earned Runs +120
WIN
Unit1.0
Jason's Analysis:

Charlie Morton is the third highest-paid player on the Orioles to eat innings, and with other starters already failing to get out of the 4th (like Morton in his first start), and with their RH bulk reliever on the IL, he might have to suck it up and watch that ERA keep ballooning even if his stuff is as bad as it was in Toronto. The dude faced 18 batters and allowed 12 hard hit balls. The Jays showed what you can do when you sit on his curve. When starters lose it in their 40s after contemplating retirement they tend to lose it all at once. I'm not sure he's going to love life in the AL East.

Pick Made: Apr 03, 2:04 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Outs RecordedCharlie Morton Under 16.5 Total Pitcher Outs -130
WIN
Unit1.0
+482
30-21 Last 51 MLB Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

FanDuel / DraftKings. Charlie Morton had an underwhelming Orioles debut, only mustering 3.1 innings pitched (7 hits and 4 earned runs) on 80-pitches. Even if he’s pushed to 90-95 pitches today, I don’t see him staying efficient enough against a Red Sox team that, despite not hitting much early, has registered the fourth most pitches per plate appearance thus far this season. With favorable hitting conditions on tap in Baltimore today, I like Morton to stay under this line.

Pick Made: Apr 03, 12:58 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Pitcher StrikeoutsTanner Houck Under 4.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts -122
LOSS
Unit1.0
+192
4-2 Last 6 MLB Player Props
Mike's Analysis:

I faded a 5th strikeout from Tanner Houck in his first start (u4.5 at -113), and I'm playing it again today u4.5 (-122). This number should be -146.

Pick Made: Apr 03, 12:40 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Outs RecordedTanner Houck Under 17.5 Total Pitcher Outs -125
WIN
Unit1.0
Thomas's Analysis:

Six innings is typically the cap with Tanner Houck. He has gone over 6.0 innings just once in his last 16 starts. I think the Orioles can get him out of there before he reaches that mark on Thursday. Houck's sweeper gives lefties problems but Baltimore can go to a predominately right-handed lineup like Wednesday when Cedric Mullins was the only lefty. I think this could be a high-scoring game. The weather is supposed to be in the 70s and Edwin Moscoso is a hitter's umpire. The over is 80-47 the last five seasons with Moscoso behind the plate. I'll take Houck to get pulled before he records 18 outs.

Pick Made: Apr 03, 5:10 am UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Boston Red Sox
Saturday, Jun 27, 2026
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2B
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
ForearmIl
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2B
Romy Gonzalez
ShoulderIl
Friday, Jun 26, 2026
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SP
Patrick Sandoval
BicepsIl
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2B
Marcelo Mayer
ForearmIl
Thursday, Jun 25, 2026
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RP
Jovani Moran
ElbowIl
Wednesday, Jun 24, 2026
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OF
Roman Anthony
FingerIl
Sunday, Jun 21, 2026
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SP
Johan Oviedo
ElbowIl
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1B
Triston Casas
AbdomenIl
Thursday, Jun 18, 2026
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2B
Nick Sogard
ObliqueIl
Friday, Jun 12, 2026
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RP
Garrett Crochet
ShoulderIl
Sunday, Jun 07, 2026
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SP
Kutter Crawford
ForearmIl
Thursday, Jun 04, 2026
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SS
Trevor Story
AbdomenIl
Friday, May 15, 2026
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SP
Tanner Houck
ElbowIl
Baltimore Orioles
Friday, Jun 26, 2026
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1B
Ryan Mountcastle
FootIl
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OF
Dylan Beavers
ObliqueIl
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RP
Yaramil Hiraldo
ShoulderIl
Wednesday, Jun 24, 2026
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SP
Dean Kremer
QuadricepsIl
Sunday, Jun 21, 2026
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2B
Jordan Westburg
ElbowIl
Saturday, Jun 20, 2026
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C
Adley Rutschman
ConcussionIl
Thursday, Jun 18, 2026
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SP
Chris Bassitt
BackIl
Tuesday, May 19, 2026
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RP
Colin Selby
ShoulderIl
Sunday, Apr 12, 2026
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RP
Felix Bautista
ShoulderIl
Wednesday, Apr 08, 2026
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SP
Zach Eflin
ElbowIl
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