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Tue, Oct 018:08 pm UTCOriole Park at Camden Yards
69 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Kansas City
Royals
KC
Last 5 ML
W/L89-79
ATS92-76
O/U70-93-5
FINAL SCORE
1
-
0
Baltimore
Orioles
BAL
Last 5 ML
W/L91-73
ATS85-79
O/U86-65-13
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
89-79
Win /Loss
91-73
92-76
Spread
85-79
70-93-5
Over / Under
86-65-13
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
KC @ BAL
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
KC @ BAL
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
KC @ BAL
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

12%
PUBLIC
88%
MONEY
17%
PUBLIC
83%
MONEY
Over99%
PUBLIC
Under1%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineKansas City +130
WIN
Unit1.0
+3381
93-55 in Last 148 MLB ML Picks
+1190
30-18 in Last 48 KC ML Picks
Zack's Analysis:

Sometimes the most dangerous postseason teams at least for a round are the teams that stumbled down the stretch. Over their final thirteen games Kansas City went just 4-9 overall. Yet, they have new life now and in Cole Ragans lone trip to Baltimore this season he gave up just one hit through six and a third innings. Additionally, Baltimore has not won a postseason game since 2014. Take the Royals as the underdog in game one.

Pick Made: Oct 01, 3:48 pm UTC on BetMGM
First 5 Innings - SpreadFirst 5 Innings Kansas City +0.5 -122
WIN
Unit0.25
Mike's Analysis:

There's a strong pitching matchup here with Corbin Burnes facing off against Cole Ragans. I see these teams as being much closer to equal than the market suggests, and I like the F5 runline market at +0.5 in these conditions, which favor pitching. We can cash this bet if the game is tied at the end of 5 innings. In 58.5% of simulations, I have the Royals either winning or tied at the end of 5, which implies that the line for Kansas City +0.5 should be -141.

Pick Made: Oct 01, 3:04 pm UTC on FanDuel
Money LineBaltimore -149
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1708
63-43-2 in Last 108 MLB Picks
+634
20-14 in Last 34 MLB ML Picks
+447
30-25 in Last 55 BAL ML Picks
Micah's Analysis:

The Orioles have won eight of the last 10 against the Royals and went 4-2 two against them this season with Corbin Burnes getting the Orioles two wins behind him. The Orioles failed miserably in the playoffs last year and I'm sure that's going to be a story going on this year but Burnes wasn't there last year and the Royals have been sluggish the last 2 weeks not hitting the ball. In their last 12 games, they hit an MLB worst .186, that's number 30 out of 30. In the last two weeks the Orioles have been the No. 4 hitting team in baseball batting .269. The Orioles are taking this series seriously. Corbin Burnes pitches well in game 1, Orioles win.

Pick Made: Oct 01, 12:49 am UTC on BetMGM
Money LineBaltimore -149
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1027.25
78-44 in Last 122 MLB ML Picks
+1477.25
64-31 in Last 95 BAL ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

This is why the Orioles traded for Corbin Burnes and they better win his start or they are in big trouble with so little pitching behind the soon-to-be free agent. The former NL Cy Young winner has a 1.29 ERA in his past six starts and has playoff experience from his Brewers days. Kansas City's Cole Ragans, who also has been great of late, has none. And the Royals were MLB's lowest-scoring team in September at 2.96 runs per game. It's possible that KC gets slugger Vinnie Pasquantino back, but he can't be 100 percent yet only a month or so after fracturing his right hand. I consider the starting pitchers/bullpens about a wash. This is simply backing the vastly superior lineup at home.

Pick Made: Sep 30, 9:16 pm UTC on BetMGM

Team Injuries

Kansas City Royals
Saturday, Jun 07, 2025
Avatar
2B
Harold Castro
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
RP
Sam Long
ElbowIl
Friday, Jun 06, 2025
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SP
Kyle Wright
ShoulderIl
Thursday, Jun 05, 2025
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RP
Hunter Harvey
ShoulderIl
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RP
Alec Marsh
ShoulderIl
Sunday, Jun 01, 2025
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CF
Diego Hernandez
UndisclosedIl
Friday, May 30, 2025
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RP
Lucas Erceg
BackIl
Tuesday, May 13, 2025
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SP
Anthony Simonelli
UndisclosedIl
Tuesday, May 06, 2025
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RF
Connor Scott
UndisclosedIl
Thursday, May 01, 2025
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RP
James McArthur
ElbowIl
Baltimore Orioles
Sunday, Jun 08, 2025
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RP
Keegan Akin
UndisclosedQuestionable
Saturday, Jun 07, 2025
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C
Gary Sanchez
WristIl
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CF
Cedric Mullins
HamstringIl
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3B
Jordan Westburg
HamstringIl
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SP
Alex Pham
ForearmIl
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SP
Carlos Tavera
UndisclosedIl
Friday, Jun 06, 2025
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1B
Ryan Mountcastle
HamstringIl
Wednesday, Jun 04, 2025
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RF
Tyler O'Neill
ShoulderIl
Avatar
SP
Kyle Bradish
ElbowIl
Sunday, Jun 01, 2025
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OF
Thomas Sosa
UndisclosedIl
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RP
Zach Fruit
LatIl
Saturday, May 31, 2025
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SP
Grayson Rodriguez
LatIl
Friday, May 30, 2025
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RP
Albert Suarez
ShoulderIl
Avatar
RP
Cody Poteet
ShoulderIl
Wednesday, May 21, 2025
Avatar
SP
Justin Armbruester
LatIl
Tuesday, May 20, 2025
Avatar
SS
Carter Young
UndisclosedIl
Tuesday, Apr 15, 2025
Avatar
SP
Tyler Wells
ElbowIl
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