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    Mon, Jul 0110:45 pm UTCNationals Park
    79 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    New York
    Mets
    NYM
    Last 5 ML
    W/L49-46
    ATS47-45
    O/U52-40-3
    FINAL SCORE
    9
    -
    7
    Washington
    Nationals
    WAS
    Last 5 ML
    W/L44-53
    ATS54-43
    O/U47-46-4
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ML
    49-46
    Win /Loss
    44-53
    47-45
    Spread
    54-43
    52-40-3
    Over / Under
    47-46-4
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
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    RF
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    RP
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    RP
    Key Injuries
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    1B
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    SP
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    2B
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    NYM @ WAS
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    NYM @ WAS
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    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    NYM @ WAS
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    88%
    PUBLIC
    12%
    MONEY
    69%
    PUBLIC
    31%
    MONEY
    Over92%
    PUBLIC
    Under8%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Over / UnderUNDER 8.5 -112
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +747
    19-11-1 in Last 31 MLB O/U Picks
    Bob's Analysis:

    New York is 10-0-1 to the over against divisional opponents on the road. Over the past month, the Mets are hitting .350 with a 1.114 OPS against lefties on the road. Then why is the total juiced to the under? Mackenzie Gore faced New York in early June, allowing six runs in 4.1 innings. Since that start, Gore has allowed four runs at home in 17 innings. David Peterson pitches better on the road, 2.84 ERA, and the Nationals haven’t fared well against lefties this season, hitting .230 with a .636 OPS. The obvious play is the over with New York’s offense, so we’ll take the contrarian route.

    Pick Made: Jul 01, 8:45 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Avatar
    Total Pitcher StrikeoutsMacKenzie Gore Under 6.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts -189
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Erik's Analysis:

    Not often I fully align with several of my fellow experts but man this one is attractive. I commend others for getting it cheaper but still…until it’s lowered “everyone in the pool”

    Pick Made: Jul 01, 7:24 pm UTC on Caesars
    Over / UnderOVER 8 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +2212
    42-18-2 in Last 62 MLB O/U Picks
    +500
    5-0 in Last 5 WAS O/U Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    The Mets have bludgeoned their way back into the NL playoff picture, with only one scoreline in their last 12 landing below eight runs, so we don't mind giving the "total" a hard look. In the past week, it's also been a homer barrage for New York, with Brandon Nimmo going deep again on Sunday against Houston. The Mets have recorded 44 runs over their last six contests. Nine or more runs were scored in all three games between these teams in Washington last month, and Washington's MacKenzie Gore has struggled lately (6.30 ERA over his last two starts).

    Pick Made: Jul 01, 6:01 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
    Money LineN.Y. Mets -112
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1329
    126-115-2 in Last 243 MLB Picks
    +499
    39-35 in Last 74 MLB ML Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    New York's surge began four weeks ago with a three-game sweep in Washington. Although the Mets have slipped back below .500 after losing the last two against Houston over the weekend, the indicators are still good, especially when going with David Peterson. They won all four of his June starts, including one at Nationals Park in which he allowed just two runs over 6 2/3 innings. Meanwhile, Washington's MacKenzie Gore had a pretty bumpy June, posting a 5.13 ERA. He was knocked around by the Mets on June 7, when he yielded six runs on seven hits and four walks in 4 1/3 innings of an eventual 8-7 loss.

    Pick Made: Jul 01, 5:56 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Total Pitcher StrikeoutsMacKenzie Gore Under 6.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts -147
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1454.5
    85-60 in Last 145 MLB Player Props Picks
    Angelo's Analysis:

    Joining my colleague Propstarz here, as a small slate has provided limited options. We played the under on Framber Valdez against this Mets lineup Saturday and you have to keep fading strikeouts for lefties facing New York right now. JD Martinez was almost a problem for us vs. Valdez, as he struck out twice, but the rest of the lineup only accounted for three strikeouts from 24 batters faced. They put up 10 hits and six runs in that effort, and MacKenzie Gore is at risk of a similar fate here. The Mets did have to travel and Gore has some fairly solid strikeout metrics but I still think the line should be 5.5 so I'll take the under.

    Pick Made: Jul 01, 1:06 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Pitcher StrikeoutsMacKenzie Gore Under 6.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts -147
    LOSS
    Unit2.0
    +2938
    189-127 in Last 316 MLB Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    This looks like a fantastic spot to fade MacKenzie Gore who is having a fine season but has no business opening at 6.5 Ks, especially considering the matchup is against a scorching Mets lineup. Speaking up New Yorks lineup, they sports the 5th lowest K rate, in addition to the 4th highest OPS against opposing southpaw hurlers. I would also offer that Gore's strikeout numbers are fairly predictable in that he tends to pile up good results against teams with top 10 K Rates and struggles against the stingier lineups. The Mets also have excellent lifetime numbers including a start in early June where Gore went just 4.1 IP and struck out 2 batters. This checks all the boxes for me.

    Pick Made: Jul 01, 2:08 am UTC on Caesars

    Team Injuries

    New York Mets
    Thursday, Jul 18, 2024
    Avatar
    RP
    Sean Reid-Foley
    ShoulderIl
    Wednesday, Jul 17, 2024
    Avatar
    SP
    Kodai Senga
    ShoulderIl
    Sunday, Jul 14, 2024
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    RF
    Starling Marte
    KneeIl
    Saturday, Jul 13, 2024
    Avatar
    RP
    Drew Smith
    ElbowIl
    Thursday, Jul 11, 2024
    Avatar
    RP
    Reed Garrett
    ElbowIl
    Sunday, Jun 30, 2024
    Avatar
    RP
    Brooks Raley
    ElbowIl
    Wednesday, Jun 05, 2024
    Avatar
    RP
    Shintaro Fujinami
    ShoulderIl
    Wednesday, Feb 14, 2024
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    2B
    Ronny Mauricio
    KneeIl
    Washington Nationals
    Friday, Jul 19, 2024
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    SP
    Trevor Williams
    ElbowIl
    Thursday, Jul 18, 2024
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    SP
    Cade Cavalli
    ElbowIl
    Tuesday, Jul 16, 2024
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    1B
    Joey Gallo
    HamstringIl
    Sunday, Jul 14, 2024
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    2B
    Luis Garcia
    ShoulderProbable
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    RP
    Jose Ferrer
    ShoulderIl
    Friday, Jul 05, 2024
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    SP
    Josiah Gray
    ElbowIl
    Sunday, Mar 24, 2024
    Avatar
    RP
    Mason Thompson
    ElbowIl