The Over had been undefeated in the series until Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber’s injuries. We now have seen consecutive games go well Under the total. But look for the Phillies' lineup to perform better after having a couple of games to adjust without their top performers. Additionally, the Marlins have been great at scoring runs from the seventh inning on in this series. Take the Over.

The Marlins have surprisingly won two of the first three games in this series, but they're especially bad against left-handed pitching and now have to deal with Ranger Suarez (10-2, 1.83 ERA). Even with the Phillies missing several big bats, I like them to improve to 19-10 on the run line following a loss.

Apologies -- accidentally had Over 3.5 earned runs originally on this play. I'll never play that most likely. The winds are blowing out some at CBP in Philadelphia but that Phillies lineup just isn't the same against a righty pitcher like Miami's Yonny Chirinos without Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber. Chrinos has been solid in two starts thus far and is basically only a five-inning pitcher so that should help our cause here. The SL Model has Chirinos allowing 2.8 ER.

The Marlins have seen their strikeout rate spike after trading away Luis Arraez and at +125 on Fanduel, this is worth a half unit shot. Miami's recent performances vs. lefties don't provide much confidence that they'll be a stingy matchup either, as four of the last five lefties to start against them went for nine-plus strikeouts. Suarez doesn't have eye popping underlying strikeout numbers but the Marlins should provide him with an opportunity to work deeper into the game here. Once the odds hit +100 or worse, I'd probably pass on this one.