This line looks fishy. Like two day old sushi bought from a gas station fishy. But I’ll pay to find out as I think the Dodgers can hold pace then get to the CWS pen

The Chicago White Sox may have just twenty one wins, but are a completely different team with Garrett Crochet on the mound. Crochet has a 6-6 overall record, and has had a minimum eight strikeouts over his last five starts. Look for the White Sox to take advantage of a Dodgers team traveling in from hosting the LA Angels on Sunday. Grab the White Sox.

I played the Dodgers -130 at SuperBook and it's still playable at the -135 across the market. I have LA winning 60 percent of simulations which implies a moneyline price of -150. Garrett Crochet has been good for the White Sox but the price point is inflated thanks to big performances against above average strikeout lineups in good pitching environments. James Paxton bounced back nicely with two strong starts after his poor outing in Pittsburgh. I'm on the Dodgers

The Dodgers' James Paxton has gone seven and six innings in his past two starts and faces obviously a horrible lineup here. The SL Model has Paxton at 5.5 innings.

Garrett Crochet will get all the attention in this series opener, for good reason. But I do wonder if the big lefty can juggle all the trade rumors and this huge increase in workload. Dodgers have some legit RH bats, and Crochet's ERA is a fairly pedestrian 4.14 on the road. For all his brilliance Pale Hose 7-9 in his starts. Dodgers show up big for Big Maple, James Paxton. They are 10-3 in his starts, with a +39 RD. 8 of those wins are by 4+ runs but we will play it safe on the ML here as LAD don't cover at home as much as we'd like. LAD 4-1 in Maple's 5 home starts with a +23 RD.