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Thu, Oct 199:07 pm UTCChase Field
102 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Philadelphia
Phillies
PHI
Last 5 ML
W/L97-77
ATS64-73
O/U61-67-9
FINAL SCORE
1
-
2
Arizona
Diamondbacks
ARI
Last 5 ML
W/L94-85
ATS74-62
O/U57-73-6
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
97-77
Win /Loss
94-85
64-73
Spread
74-62
61-67-9
Over / Under
57-73-6
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
PHI @ ARI
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
PHI @ ARI
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
PHI @ ARI
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

78%
PUBLIC
22%
MONEY
60%
PUBLIC
40%
MONEY
Over64%
PUBLIC
Under36%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LinePhiladelphia -126
LOSS
Unit1.0
Alex's Analysis:

The Phillies are obviously playing great baseball as they head to Arizona up 2-0. Ranger Suarez has pitched very well in the postseason allowing just 1 ER in just under 9 IP. Suarez will be opposed by Brandon Pfaadt who has been shaky at best. I'll take the team with all the momentum and veteran leadership who are clearly peaking at the right time.

Pick Made: Oct 19, 8:45 pm UTC on FanDuel
Money LinePhiladelphia -135
LOSS
Unit1.0
+856
28-19 in Last 47 MLB ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

I had the Phillies in five in this series and logic dictates that I should just play the Phillies every game instead of trying to guess which game the Diamondbacks will win. They have the advantage here in pitching with Ranger Suarez looking really strong lately. He also threw seven scoreless earlier this season in Arizona. Brandon Pfaadt isn't as bad as his numbers look, but the Phillies can get to him. They are too good and too hot right now to stop.

Pick Made: Oct 19, 7:49 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LinePhiladelphia -124
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1062
16-6-1 in Last 23 MLB Picks
+829
10-2 in Last 12 MLB ML Picks
+463
5-1 in Last 6 PHI ML Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Not sure the D-backs are going to be able to make a series out of the NLCS, with Thursday an effective last-chance saloon. Torey Lovullo is using this as a semi-bullpen game with Brandon Pfaadt, who admittedly got the start in Game 3 of the Dodger series (D-backs win) but lifted in an apparent cautionary measure after 4 1/3 IP despite faring well (just 2 hits allowed); he didn't make it out of the third inning in the previous wild card game at Milwaukee. With Ranger Suarez a pleasant surprise for the Phils in the Braves series, pitching a solid five innings, and Philly a winner in his last five starts, maybe it's not the spot to start picking against the hot Phils.

Pick Made: Oct 19, 4:06 pm UTC on FanDuel
Money LinePhiladelphia -122
LOSS
Unit1.0
+927
107-82 in Last 189 MLB ML Picks
+468
9-4 in Last 13 PHI ML Picks
Larry's Analysis:

This is a tough task for rookie Brandon Pfaadt, facing a Phillies lineup that's homered 15 times in the past four games. Pfaadt allowed 22 homers in just 96 innings this season. I have more faith in Phillies lefty Ranger Suarez, who allowed one run over 8.2 innings in two NLDS starts versus the Braves. His ground-ball rate was over 54 percent in those outings. In his one start at Chase Field this season, Suarez tossed seven scoreless innings, fanning seven while allowing four hits. Back Philadelphia to put a stranglehold on this series.

Pick Made: Oct 19, 3:15 pm UTC on FanDuel
Money LinePhiladelphia -122
LOSS
Unit1.0
+313
92-57 in Last 149 MLB ML Picks
Mike's Analysis:

The Diamondbacks are in trouble. They will try to get back in this series with Brandon Pfaadt scheduled to start Game 3. During the regular season, Pfaadt had a 6.46 ERA and a 1.63 WHIP at home. Overall, he gave up 2.1 HR/9. The Diamondbacks were limited to a .711 OPS by left-handed pitchers and will be facing one in Ranger Suarez. Even with the series shifting to Arizona, I’m on the Phillies to win again.

Pick Made: Oct 19, 1:38 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadArizona +1.5 -140
WIN
Unit0.5
+1351
86-51 in Last 137 MLB ATS Picks
+1186.5
39-20-2 in Last 61 ARI ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

I see no reason to wait as the Arizona runline at home is essentially the same price as Phillies ML. If the Snakes have any shot in the series, they obviously have to win Thursday in only their second home game of this postseason and first home NLCS game since 2007. Brandon Pfaadt has been Pfvery good at times in the second half. Including his 4.1 shutout innings in the NLDS vs. the Dodgers, Pfaadt has allowed no runs in four of his past 10 appearances ... and been shelled in a few others. I don't need a win even though I tend to lean that Arizona gets Game 3. The Phils haven't left the East Coast(ish) since mid-September and are 42-41 away.

Pick Made: Oct 18, 3:54 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey

Team Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies
Friday, May 16, 2025
Avatar
SP
Aaron Nola
AnkleIl
Wednesday, May 14, 2025
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3B
Matt Kroon
UndisclosedIl
Sunday, Apr 13, 2025
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1B
Carson Taylor
UndisclosedIl
Arizona Diamondbacks
Sunday, May 18, 2025
Avatar
RP
Justin Martinez
ShoulderIl
Friday, May 16, 2025
Avatar
SP
Eduardo Rodriguez
ShoulderIl
Wednesday, May 14, 2025
Avatar
RP
A.J. Puk
ElbowIl
Wednesday, Apr 30, 2025
Avatar
SP
Brandon Bielak
UndisclosedIl
Monday, Apr 28, 2025
Avatar
SP
Blake Walston
ElbowIl
Wednesday, Mar 26, 2025
Avatar
SP
Jordan Montgomery
ElbowIl
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