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Thu, Oct 0512:08 am UTCCitizens Bank Park
68 F
Miami
Marlins
MIA
Last 5 ML
W/L84-79
ATS55-67
O/U56-63-3
FINAL SCORE
1
-
7
Philadelphia
Phillies
PHI
Last 5 ML
W/L97-77
ATS64-73
O/U61-67-9
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
84-79
Win /Loss
97-77
55-67
Spread
64-73
56-63-3
Over / Under
61-67-9
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIA @ PHI
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MONEYLINE
MIA @ PHI
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
MIA @ PHI
Subscribers Only

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10%
PUBLIC
90%
MONEY
13%
PUBLIC
87%
MONEY
Over59%
PUBLIC
Under41%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Over / UnderOver 8 -105
PUSH
Unit1.0
+591
8-2-1 in Last 11 MLB Picks
+355
7-3-1 in Last 11 PHI O/U Picks
Kenny's Analysis:

I'm hoping the Phillies have Deja Vu all the way up to the point where they change last year's script to a World Series winner. We had the Phillies last night and like them tonight however the best play is over 8 runs tonight. Philly starter Aaron Nola will be facing the fish for the 4th time this year and he allowed four runs or more in all of the first 3 starts. Miami lefty Braxton Garrett is 50 innings over his career high this year and in both games against Philly allowed 3 runs in 5 innings. There is a good chance this game is 4-3 after five innings. Ah there is another bet. First five over four runs.

Pick Made: Oct 04, 8:22 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Point SpreadPhiladelphia -1.5 +143
WIN
Unit1.0
+423
21-17-1 in Last 39 MLB Picks
+653
8-2 in Last 10 MIA ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Philly is the Vibe Capital of the baseball world right now and it hasn't gotten annoying just yet. Team that with the Phillies being far more talented than the Marlins and it's hard to see Game 2 being much different than Game 1. The Phillies should've actually scored more runs, too, and they didn't even need the longball. The Marlins probably have a better chance of getting to Aaron Nola than they did Zack Wheeler, but I'm still confident in a multi-run win, so it's the run line (-1.5, +143).

Pick Made: Oct 04, 5:20 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LinePhiladelphia -160
WIN
Unit1.0
+313
92-57 in Last 149 MLB ML Picks
+505
13-5 in Last 18 MIA ML Picks
Mike's Analysis:

The Marlins looked overmatched in Game 1. After scoring the fifth-fewest runs during the regular season, they were limited to one run by Zack Wheeler and the Phillies’ bullpen. Another difficult matchup awaits them in Aaron Nola, who had a 3.29 ERA and 0.97 WHIP at home during the regular season. Don’t expect them to have enough firepower to extend this series.

Pick Made: Oct 04, 1:48 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LinePhiladelphia -142
WIN
Unit1.5
+871
50-31 in Last 81 PHI ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Will play 1.5 units on the Phillies like I did Tuesday as I believe they should finish off the punchless Marlins behind Aaron Nola on Wednesday even if he didn't have great 2023 numbers vs. Miami. He finished the year with back-to-back quality starts and was quite a bit better at home overall. The Fish's Braxton Garrett gave up three runs over five innings in each of his two starts vs. the Phillies this season and several of their batters have very good career splits off him.

Pick Made: Oct 04, 3:16 am UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Miami Marlins
Sunday, Nov 30, 2025
Avatar
SP
Max Meyer
HipProbable
Tuesday, Nov 11, 2025
Avatar
SP
Braxton Garrett
ElbowProbable
Wednesday, Oct 08, 2025
Avatar
CF
Dane Myers
KneeProbable
Avatar
P
Ryan Gusto
ShoulderProbable
Philadelphia Phillies
Thursday, Nov 06, 2025
Avatar
SP
Zack Wheeler
ShoulderProbable
Wednesday, Nov 05, 2025
Avatar
CF
Johan Rojas
QuadricepsProbable
Tuesday, Oct 28, 2025
Avatar
1B
Carson Taylor
UndisclosedIl
Friday, Oct 17, 2025
Avatar
3B
Otto Kemp
KneecapProbable
Wednesday, Oct 08, 2025
Avatar
RP
Jose Alvarado
ForearmProbable
Wednesday, Oct 01, 2025
Avatar
CF
Marcus Lee Sang
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
SP
Moises Chace
ElbowIl
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