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Thu, Oct 0512:08 am UTCCitizens Bank Park
68 F
Miami
Marlins
MIA
Last 5 ML
W/L84-79
ATS55-67
O/U56-63-3
FINAL SCORE
1
-
7
Philadelphia
Phillies
PHI
Last 5 ML
W/L97-77
ATS64-73
O/U61-67-9
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
84-79
Win /Loss
97-77
55-67
Spread
64-73
56-63-3
Over / Under
61-67-9
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIA @ PHI
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
MIA @ PHI
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
MIA @ PHI
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

10%
PUBLIC
90%
MONEY
13%
PUBLIC
87%
MONEY
Over59%
PUBLIC
Under41%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Over / UnderOver 8 -105
PUSH
Unit1.0
+591
8-2-1 in Last 11 MLB Picks
+355
7-3-1 in Last 11 PHI O/U Picks
Kenny's Analysis:

I'm hoping the Phillies have Deja Vu all the way up to the point where they change last year's script to a World Series winner. We had the Phillies last night and like them tonight however the best play is over 8 runs tonight. Philly starter Aaron Nola will be facing the fish for the 4th time this year and he allowed four runs or more in all of the first 3 starts. Miami lefty Braxton Garrett is 50 innings over his career high this year and in both games against Philly allowed 3 runs in 5 innings. There is a good chance this game is 4-3 after five innings. Ah there is another bet. First five over four runs.

Pick Made: Oct 04, 8:22 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Point SpreadPhiladelphia -1.5 +143
WIN
Unit1.0
+423
21-17-1 in Last 39 MLB Picks
+653
8-2 in Last 10 MIA ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Philly is the Vibe Capital of the baseball world right now and it hasn't gotten annoying just yet. Team that with the Phillies being far more talented than the Marlins and it's hard to see Game 2 being much different than Game 1. The Phillies should've actually scored more runs, too, and they didn't even need the longball. The Marlins probably have a better chance of getting to Aaron Nola than they did Zack Wheeler, but I'm still confident in a multi-run win, so it's the run line (-1.5, +143).

Pick Made: Oct 04, 5:20 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LinePhiladelphia -160
WIN
Unit1.0
+313
92-57 in Last 149 MLB ML Picks
+505
13-5 in Last 18 MIA ML Picks
Mike's Analysis:

The Marlins looked overmatched in Game 1. After scoring the fifth-fewest runs during the regular season, they were limited to one run by Zack Wheeler and the Phillies’ bullpen. Another difficult matchup awaits them in Aaron Nola, who had a 3.29 ERA and 0.97 WHIP at home during the regular season. Don’t expect them to have enough firepower to extend this series.

Pick Made: Oct 04, 1:48 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LinePhiladelphia -142
WIN
Unit1.5
+802
50-32 in Last 82 PHI ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Will play 1.5 units on the Phillies like I did Tuesday as I believe they should finish off the punchless Marlins behind Aaron Nola on Wednesday even if he didn't have great 2023 numbers vs. Miami. He finished the year with back-to-back quality starts and was quite a bit better at home overall. The Fish's Braxton Garrett gave up three runs over five innings in each of his two starts vs. the Phillies this season and several of their batters have very good career splits off him.

Pick Made: Oct 04, 3:16 am UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Miami Marlins
Sunday, Apr 05, 2026
Avatar
DH
Christopher Morel
ObliqueIl
Wednesday, Mar 25, 2026
Avatar
CF
Esteury Ruiz
ObliqueIl
Avatar
RF
Kyle Stowers
HamstringIl
Avatar
SS
Maximo Acosta
ObliqueIl
Avatar
P
Adam Mazur
ElbowIl
Thursday, Feb 19, 2026
Avatar
RP
Ronny Henriquez
ElbowIl
Philadelphia Phillies
Sunday, Apr 05, 2026
Avatar
SP
Zack Wheeler
ShoulderIl
Wednesday, Apr 01, 2026
Avatar
RP
Orion Kerkering
HamstringIl
Wednesday, Mar 25, 2026
Avatar
P
Max Lazar
ObliqueIl
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