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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
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LA is 16-17 on the road and will face a Rangers team that's 21-9 at home. After losing two of three to the Rays, the Rangers will be eager to get back to their winning ways. Texas has been top five in OPS vs LHP all season and the Angels roll with Tyler Anderson, a lefty who's pitching to a career-low strikeout rate and career-high walk rate. Anderson has lasted more than five innings only twice in his last six outings and a 5.65 ERA is backed up by a 5.05 expected ERA. I'm not convinced Dane Dunning is as good as his numbers say, but the Rangers bullpen should be at near full strength behind him.
The Rangers have the second best record in baseball at home. They are particularly good against lefties, winning their last five at Choctaw Stadium. With the Angels sending struggling lefty Tyler Anderson to the bump, I’ll back Texas.
The Rangers have lost three of their last four but they got Over the total in their last three. The Rangers season average score is 6.2 to 3.9 and it’s helped them get Over at a 37-26-1 clip. I think we have the perfect starters tonight to make this a high-scoring game with Tyler Anderson getting Over in his last five starts and allowing 10 runs between his last two starts. Over is the top play in this game.
The Rangers have the second-best record in baseball, which has been aided by them going 21-9 at home. They have scored the most runs in baseball and have a great matchup against Tyler Anderson to stay hot at the plate. His 5.62 ERA is supported by a 5.14 FIP and he has a 10.7 percent walk rate that has resulted in a 1.60 WHIP. His strikeout rate is also just 14.5 percent. Expect the Rangers to slug their way to a win here.
The Angels have won six of seven but did most of that damage at home. They are 16-17 on the road and Texas is 21-9 at home. Rangers starter Dane Dunning has started to show some cracks but is 3-0 with a 2.63 ERA at home and threw five shutout innings in Anaheim on May 5. Counterpart Tyler Anderson (3-1, 5.62) has allowed 10 runs over his past two starts. Rangers star Corey Seager has great splits off the lefty and might be worth a prop look. Texas has won its past five at home vs. lefties.
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