I like this matchup for the A's today with Gage Jump on the mound. Jump has allowed just four runs over his last three outings (18.1 innings) with the A's winning all three. Jose Soriano is off his best performance of the season against Tampa Bay but he sported a 5.28 ERA in his previous eight outings. That start was also cut short because of chest tightness and leg soreness. If Soriano gets the call tonight, he could be on a short leash, especially considering the Angels might deal him before the trade deadline. Both teams have bad bullpens, but I like Jump to pitch deeper into the game, whether it's Soriano or someone else. I'll back the A's for a Half Unit.

The Nationals have been one of the surprises in MLB this season and took Game 1 over the Giants 4-3 on Monday. I like Washington again on Tuesday with Adrian Houser on the mound for San Francisco tonight. The Nats pounded Houser for seven hits and five runs back in April and he hasn't reached the 5th inning in his last three starts. That should allow Washington to feast on the vulnerable Giants' bullpen. The Nats counter with lefty Andrew Alvarez, who sports a 2.25 ERA in his six career starts. I'd back Washington at anything -110 or better tonight.

The Yankees are without Aaron Judge and while it's obvious he is a huge loss, it could be even bigger on Friday night. Judge has owned Boston starter Sonny Gray, batting .417 against him in his career. Gray has allowed one run or less in four of his last five starts and not surprisingly, the Red Sox are 4-1 in those games. With Gray pitching well and Ryan Weathers allowing five runs in two of his last three outings, I'll take the +125 with Boston.

The Royals saw their 5-game winning streak end on Wednesday but I like Kansas City to bounce back with Seth Lugo on the mound. Lugo has owned this current Cleveland lineup, holding them to a .188 average in 80 career at-bats. He should continue to have success against a Guardians' team that is hitting just .217 versus right-handed pitchers with 211 strikeouts this season. Meanwhile, Cleveland has been a profitable fade with Slade Cecconi on the mound. The Guardians are 1-6 in his seven starts and Cecconi has a road ERA of over 7.00. I'll back KC at home with a big edge in starting pitching.

I played the Phillies with this same pitching matchup on Wednesday but the game got rained out. Now Cristopher Sanchez and Logan Webb will square off in the first game of a double-header. I'll run it back with Philadelphia. Sanchez is coming off his worst outing of the season versus the Cubs where he gave up six runs in 5.1 innings. However, in his five prior starts, Sanchez allowed just five earned runs over 28.1 innings. I expect Sanchez to rebound here and Logan Webb has pitched better at home than on the road. The Phillies go 2-0 under new skipper Don Mattingly.

The Giants won the first two games of this series and I think we are getting some early value at -143 with Robbie Ray on the mound Sunday. Ray has allowed two runs or fewer in all four starts this season. The Nationals counter with Miles Mikolas and his 11.49 ERA. That number is a little skewed because he gave up 11 runs to the Dodgers but San Francisco hits lefties pretty hard, so I see Mikolas' struggles continuing here. The other issue for Washington is Mikolas isn't pitching deep into games. That means the Giants should get plenty of chances to tee off on a Nationals' bullpen that ranks last in the NL with a 5.81 ERA. Take SF to get the sweep.

Half Unit. I'm going to fade German Marquez here. Marquez has allowed five home runs in his first three starts and I think he will struggle facing a hot Angels lineup that has put up at least seven runs in five of their last six games. Marquez had one really strong outing against the Pirates but allowed four runs in each of his two other starts. I think we see a similar stat line tonight.

I like the Under in the Royals-Yankees game tonight at 8.5 or 8. Michael Wacha has strong numbers against the current Yankees' lineup, holding them to a .154 average in 130 plate appearances. Aaron Judge has really struggled against Wacha, going 3-for-24 (.125) with 12 strikeouts. Games started by Cam Schlittler have gone under this total seven times in his last eight outings dating back to last year. The Royals' bullpen is always a concern but I expect both starters to have success Friday night.

I like the Mariners in this spot with Bryan Woo on the mound. Michael King has been good through three starts but I do expect some regression and the Mariners' bats are hot right now, scoring 29 runs over their last four games. I took Seattle on Friday mentioning they lost a bunch of games by one run and that the breaks would start going their way soon. Since then, the Mariners won four straight over the Astros and I like them to stay hot on Tuesday.

This line is still 5.5 at BetMGM. It's 6.5 at plus money at most other books. I would take the over at either number. Nathan Eovaldi has posted seven strikeouts in two of his first three starts this season. I also like that after two rough outings he looked much better in his last start against Seattle where he allowed just two runs over 6.0 innings. This A's lineup has already struck out 109 times versus right-handed pitchers this season. I think Eovaldi gets to at least seven K's for the third time in four starts. Play up to 6.5.

I expected the Mariners to start the season hot but that hasn't happened. Seattle is just 4-9 and enters Friday's matchup with Houston losers of five straight. However, four of those losses have come by one run and I expect the breaks to start going the Mariners' way soon. Houston has lost four straight themselves, allowing 35 runs over that stretch. Look for Seattle's bats to get going tonight and Emerson Hancock to do enough on the mound after two quality starts where he allowed just one run over 12.2 innings.

Fading Minnesota starter Bailey Ober has been one of the most profitable wagers in any sport recently. Going back to last season, the Twins are just 3-15 in Ober's last 18 starts. Minnesota will need Ober to eat up some innings here because the Twins used four relievers in Thursday's 5-1 win over Kansas City. Rays' starter Joe Boyle had a promising first outing, allowing just three hits and two runs over 6.0 innings vs. St. Louis. I like Tampa's bats to get going after scoring only seven runs in its three-game series against the Brewers.

I'm taking a shot with Gunnar Henderson over 1.5 total bases Wednesday at plus money. Henderson has had success against Nathan Eovaldi with seven hits in 10 career at-bats. He's recorded seven total bases in his last two games and with the wind blowing out at Camden Yards today, I like Henderson's chances to go over this total.

Justin Verlander is making his first start with the Tigers in 3,134 days. While that's a great story, I'm going to fade the 43-year-old on the road. The Tigers played on Sunday and used a couple of key relief pitchers, while Arizona has a rested bullpen after getting the day off. Michael Soroka is healthy and if he can eat up 5 or 6 innings on Monday, the Diamondbacks should be in good shape once the game gets into the bullpens.

Nick Pivetta is someone I'm looking to fade on the road this season but still like him at home in a pitcher friendly park early in the year. Toss in Tarik Skubal on the other side and San Diego still sporting one of MLB's better bullpens, and I think we get under seven runs in the opener.