Expert Picks

Brazil creates ample scoring opportunities with the likes of Vinicius Jr. leading the charge. A Seleção enters this match with a 9.42 xG, the most in the World Cup through the Round of 32. Meanwhile, Norway has scored in all four of their World Cup games, and Erling Haaland has 5 goals on 70 touches. Over 2.5 goals has also hit in all four of Norway's fixtures in this competition, a trend I expect to continue when they take on Brazil on Sunday.

I’m betting the over here and I’m not too afraid to do it. I originally liked both teams to score, but that number has moved too far, and I have a hard time believing we don’t see three goals in this match. Both teams to score has hit in 10 of the last 11 Norway matches, and that makes sense. This is a team with a dynamite attack led by Erling Haaland and a midfield that can back it up. The issue is they prioritize attacking over defending. On the other side, Brazil have Vini Jr who can change a match with one moment, but they’ve had defensive issues as well. I see 2-1 either way, with 3-0 also possible.

This should be an entertaining game between two high-scoring teams. Over 2.5 goals has paid off in all four of Norway’s games so far at this tournament, as they’re extremely dangerous in attack, but they struggle in defense. Over 2.5 goals has also landed in Brazil's last three matches, and the Seleção should be able to expose Norway's defensive weaknesses.