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Matt Howe
Matt Howe
Wiseguy
A 247Sports national writer, Matt co-hosts a daily college basketball betting podcast called The Sharp and the Square. He went 164-125 ATS (57 percent) last season. When betting college hoops, Matt focuses on market overreactions and regression trends. This is when he expects a team to revert back to its averages after overperforming. For Matt Howe media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
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Houston 72 @ Arizona 60 | 03/25 | 2:06 AM UTC

Arizona -1.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: I believe the market is too low on Arizona and too high on Houston at the moment. Arizona is off an emotional overtime win against TCU while Houston just beat Illinois by 15 points. The Wildcats will have the best player on the floor in Benedict Mathurin (17.8 PPG, 5.7 RPG) and a pair of big men in Azuolas Tubelis and Christian Koloko who should dominate the paint. I'm backing the team that's been better all season long in a buy low, sell high spot.

Texas Tech 73 @ Duke 78 | 03/25 | 2:00 AM UTC

Texas Tech PK

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Texas Tech has been a fantastic team against the spread this season, covering in 22 of 36 games (61.1%). They are also 9-2 ATS against ranked opponents and 15-4 ATS with two or three days off. A major advantage for the Red Raiders in this game will be their experience. Out of the six Texas Tech players who average over 25 minutes per game, four are seniors and two are juniors. Duke, on the other hand, relies on three freshmen two sophomores, and one junior who is playing in his first NCAA Tournament. I'm backing the better defensive team with the more experienced roster to win.

Michigan 55 @ Villanova 63 | 03/24 | 11:29 PM UTC

Villanova -5

WIN

ANALYSIS: I think this game will come down to coaching, and Villanova's Jay Wright is a far superior coach to Michigan's Juwan Howard. The Wildcats are undersized in the matchup, which is why I believe Jay Wright will draw up a perfect game plan for them to make things tough on Michigan big man Hunter Dickinson. I don't believe the Wolverines have the defensive ability to keep up with Villanova's high-powered offensive attack, and they struggle to defend the three-point line, something I expect Villanova to expose in a big way. Lay the five points with the better team and coach.

+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 NOVA ATS PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 MICH ATS PICKS

Memphis 64 @ Boise St. 53 | 03/17 | 5:45 PM UTC

Boise St. +3.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Memphis turns the ball over at an insane rate, ranking them near the bottom of all college basketball. Boise State ranks in the top 80 of forcing turnovers on defense, so I expect the Broncos to make things difficult for Memphis on offense. Boise State is a veteran team, with five of their top six players all seniors. With well over 60% of the public on Memphis, I will gladly take more than one possession worth of points with a tough Boise State who has battled against tough teams in the Mountain West all season. Memphis is 11-14-1 ATS as a favorite while Boise State is 7-2 ATS this season as an underdog.

Indiana 66 @ Wyoming 58 | 03/16 | 1:25 AM UTC

Wyoming +4

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The Cowboys are back in the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2015, this time in the play-in game against Indiana as a No. 12 seed. I like how Wyoming matches up with Indiana, as they can counter Indiana's best player, 6-foot-9 Trayce Jackson-Davis, with their own big man, Graham Ike. Checking in at 6-foot-9 and 252 pounds, Ike is averaging 19.6 points and 9.6 rebounds per game. The Cowboys also have senior guard Hunter Maldonado, a player who can do it all. Maldonado is averaging 18.4 points, 5.8 rebounds, 6.3 assists and 1.2 steals per game. Indiana also shoots under 70% from the free-throw line as a team, so with a close spread like this, I love the fact that Wyoming is getting over one full possession of points.