Who needs the points? Michigan beat Alabama by getting pressure on Jalen Milroe. Even with the pressure they were able to make a fourth quarter comeback and win in overtime. However, the Huskies have the best offensive line in the country and it showed as Penix went untouched in the Sugar Bowl against a really good Texas defensive line. Michael Penix Jr made every throw necessary and looked perfect in the Sugar Bowl. Michigan hasn't faced a quarterback at this level. Even if star running back Dillon Johnson can't go, expect Penix to carry the Huskies the glory. Take Washington on the money line.
No trends are telling you to take Michigan, but sometimes it's not about the trends. The Wolverines are the best team in the country with the best team in the country. The Crimson Tide haven't had to play a low-scoring, grind-it-out kind of game this season. The Wolverines defense will make the stops that Georgia wasn't able to in the SEC Championship. Expect Blake Corum to run wild as Michigan moves on to the Championship.
Iowa has hit the Under in eight straight games, even at historically low totals. The Volunteers have only scored a total of 17 points in their last two games vs ranked opponents. This game will be a slow paced, defensive battle. Take the Under.
The Arizona Wildcats are the best three-loss team I've ever seen. Since Freshman Noah Fifta took over, the Wildcats are 7-1 ATS and have won six straight games. The Wildcats have covered seven straight games vs ranked opponents, the longest active streak in FBS. The Sooners have struggled since their win over the Longhorns. With Dillon Gabriel's status for this game up in the air with him in the transfer portal, great time to hop on this.
The lowest total ever in college football, sign me up for the under. Iowa has hit the under in six straight games with some of the lowest totals ever. They've also hit the under in five straight road games. The Cornhuskers offense is terrible. The weather is a mess in Lincoln. Expect a disgusting offensive output by both teams. Bet the Under and watch something else.
This pick is out of principle. The total is low for a reason. The Hawkeyes are built for low-scoring football and we'll see it again in this game. They have one of the best defenses in the country and one of the worst offenses. This game will be very slow and a puntfest. Take the under.
The Wildcats are a very good team as they proved beating Washington State by 38 in their last game. They are 6-1 ATS this season, which is tied for the best in FBS. They are a great defensive team and should be able to slow down the Beavers throughout the game. The Beavers defense has struggled on the road. The Wildcats have scored 40+ points in back-to-back games and have a good chance to make it three straight. Take the Wildcats.
The Bobcats have been great as they have been able to run the ball up and down the field all season. The Trojans have struggled to stop the run this season. The Bobcats will be able to control the pace and should have a huge advantage in time of possession. The wrong team is favored. Take the Bobcats to "upset" the Trojans.
The Utah Utes have won 18 straight home games and are now underdogs against the Oregon Ducks. The Utes defense is elite and should be able to slow down the Ducks. This is the first time the Utes are home underdogs since 2018. Getting the Utes at home at almost 2/1 is amazing.
This will be the Bulldogs first game since the Brock Bowers injury. Bowers was the most important piece to the Bulldogs offense. The Gators are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs AP-top 5 opponents. The Bulldogs are just 1-5-1 ATS this season. Florida will be able to keep this game close and cover this big spread. Take the points.
The Blue Devils starting quarterback Riley Leonard is a game-time decision. If he is able to go, the Blue Devils will cover this line easily. Even if Leonard doesn't play, this spread is too big. The Seminoles are an overrated team who has struggled throughout this season. They only beat Boston College by two and Clemson had a 29-yard field goal to win that they missed. Take the Blue Devils to keep this game close.
This is the lowest total since at least 2000 but there is good reason why. These are two of the worst offenses in the Big Ten, maybe even the country. They rank 3rd and 4th to last in passing yards per game only ahead of Navy and Air Force who have elite rushing offenses. This will be a windy day in Iowa which will make the offenses even worse. Expect an unbelievably low final score. Take the under.
The Buckeyes have much better skill players than the Nittany Lions as they have the best wide receiver in the country in Marvin Harrison Jr. The Buckeyes are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games. This will be the first test for the Nittany Lions and Drew Allar. The Buckeyes flex their muscles and win this game easy.
I can't put my finger on it but there is something about this team that I LOVE. They might be the best rushing team in the nation as they have scored 19 rushing touchdowns, 2nd in FBS behind Air Force. They score a rushing touchdown every 9.3 rushes, by far the best in FBS. The Ragin' Cajuns struggle at stopping the run. This can make for a long game for them. Very surprised to get the Bobcats at plus money and I'm loving it.
The Cougars are coming off of a bye week to visit the unranked Bruins. The Cougars are 10-1 in their last 11 conference games vs unranked opponents. The Bruins are not a good team. They are solid defensively but they are terrible offensively. Cameron Ward is amazing and should make this Bruins defense look like a high school team. Take the Cougars.