

Matt Severance
Severance Pays
Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past five NBA seasons, Matt has returned $4,931 to $100 bettors. Over the past four MLB seasons, Matt is up $1,681. He also has returned $1,437 to $100 players over the past three NFL seasons. In the 2025 college football season, Matt finished 76-53 (plus $960). Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
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Matt's Picks
5 Live PicksIs this price wrong? ...


Can Jai Herbert pull the upset? ...
The Panthers finally play their home opener. ...
The Seahawks have Brock Purdy's number. ...
Will weather affect Georgia-Alabama? ...
In my humble opinion, there are five absolutely must-see campuses/sites in college football (including party time): Notre Dame, the Big House, the Shoe, USC at the Coliseum and Nebraska (I know, but they sure take football seriously in Lincoln and they rock after wins). Honorable mention: Gainesville, UCLA (Rose Bowl), Tuscaloosa, East Lansing and UDub. Amazing place Washington's campus. But it should be a typical Iowa game. If the opponent scores 20, it's over. And the Hawkeyes' QB is injured.
Oh how I hate Florida State. That saying I believe was born in Ann Arbor and involved Ohio State, but it's applicable here. I utterly despise the Seminoles but if I thought they would make me money, I would put that aside. Don't think so tonight. Louisville has underachieved but also a bit unlucky: All three losses by 3 points. In the spring on lookahead lines, UofL was -6.5. I'm not gonna mess around with 3.5. No way.
OK, well, this is assuming both No. 1 goalies are in. Got massacred on Thursday when the Mammoth decided to have some fun and basically lie and play a backup I barely heard of. This is why I never go to Utah. I am pretty confident we get both No. 1s here in Joey Daccord and John Gibson. Two meh offenses. In the NHL, always wait for goalie confirmation. Got that sweet reminder ....
Man, it is weird how much I have missed Euro soccer. I want to say a lot here, but let's be honest: It's mostly having an afternoon reason to care. I believe this draws and that's just fine for these purposes. The first games back from European competition, it's just never sure who is available. It seems the visitors have a lot more issues there, but my Spanish is about College 101: Lapiz.
The models seem to love Bucky Irving tonight with the presumption that the Bucs will try and run, run, run behind undrafted rookie QB Jalon Daniels in his first road start. Irving has topped this in two of four games and didn't miss by much in the other two. The fear would be the Cowboys getting out to a big lead and rendering the Tampa Bay run meaningless. Let's hope the Bucs receive the opening kickoff. Our model has Irving at 76 yards. Dallas is second-to-last in the NFL in allowing 150.3 YPG on the ground.
This feels a good 25 cents low for Thursday so I'll grab it now with No. 1 Ilya Sorokin already confirmed in net for the Islanders. The Russian has been spectacular in allowing just two goals on 63 shots so far. The Hawks won't be very good with Connor Bedard and he's still out. And so is another top-six forward in Teuvo Teravainen (2A). Chicago is 0-3 away, outscored 15-5, and this is a one-game trip that players hate. You are probably fine with the 60-minute line to bring this down or -1. I'm going to up the wager to 1.5 units at this number.
I like a fair amount of NHL tonight. Always prefer teams in their home opener and the Sens finally play theirs. No. 1 goalie Linus Ullmark has been confirmed off a minor issue and he has been lights out at 2-0 with a 1.20 GAA and .949 SV. The Flyers are winless in four and starting backup Joseph Woll, who has allowed three goals in both outings. Philadelphia has been outshot an by an incredible 82 shots on goal. That's second-worst in league history through four games. I wouldn't play 60-minute line but would -1.
Our only book with 6.5 and as you can see it may flip to 5.5 soon. Both No. 1 goalies are set to play and both have been very good: Karel Vejmelka (2.02 GAA) for Utah and Jeremy Swayman (2.30 GAA) for Boston. The Bruins have had just one game in four top this number and that in OT. The Mammoth also have had just one in four top 6.5 goals. They might be without excellent offensive blueliner Mikhail Sergachev (1G, 5A -- second on team with six points) after he left Tuesday's game injured. Per usual, I think only a 3-3 regulation tie gets us.
I mean it's preseason but why are the Cavs getting 4 at home when they are playing all their guys? So are the Celtics, but they also have to weave in some new additions like Paul George and Mitchell Robinson while starting life without Jaylen Brown. When the scrubs come in, we get a look at Cleveland second-round rookie Meleek Thomas, who led the NBA Summer League in scoring (27.3 PPG).
I would much prefer +1.5 but that's north of -200; I'd even take +1 to avoid the fear of an overtime loss but not offered. So we roll the dice on a good ML dog price anyways. The Ducks are unbeaten, and the Oilers are missing a ton of injured guys but not Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl. Edmonton goalie Devon Levi has allowed eight goals on 42 shots. Counterpart Lukas Dostal has been much better with a 2.43 GAA and .918 SV.

