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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays

    Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past three MLB seasons, Matt is up $2,395 for $100 bettors. Over the past two NBA seasons, Matt has returned $3,215. And over the past four college basketball seasons, Matt is up $887. He went 103-89-2 (plus $665) in the 2023 college football season and 121-93-2 (plus $589) in the 2023 NFL season. Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    @jordanpaytonsn1
    LAST 260 NBA PICKS
    +2694.25
    RECORD: 163-97-0
    # 3 NBA EXPERT
    +2694.25
    163-97 IN LAST 260 NBA PICKS

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    Matt's Picks (4 Live)

    May 09 2024, 5:10 pm UTC
    League
    Arizona
    @ Cincinnati
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +1835.25
    136-73-1 in Last 210 MLB Picks
    +824
    29-15 in Last 44 ARI ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Reds try to avoid the sweep Thursday behind Hunter Greene. ...

    Pick Made: 1:35 am UTC
    May 10 2024, 1:30 am UTC
    League
    Dallas
    @ Oklahoma City
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +2694.25
    163-97 in Last 260 NBA Picks
    +2545
    105-49 in Last 154 NBA ML Picks
    +1138.5
    36-16 in Last 52 DAL ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Thunder try for a 2-0 lead over the Mavericks. ...

    Pick Made: Wed 1:38 pm UTC
    May 10 2024, 11:00 pm UTC
    League
    New York
    @ Indiana
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +2694.25
    163-97 in Last 260 NBA Picks
    +2545
    105-49 in Last 154 NBA ML Picks
    +1085
    46-23 in Last 69 NY ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Knicks could be very short-handed in Indianapolis. ...

    Pick Made: 3:12 am UTC
    May 11 2024, 1:30 am UTC
    League
    Denver
    @ Minnesota
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +2694.25
    163-97 in Last 260 NBA Picks
    +2545
    105-49 in Last 154 NBA ML Picks
    +1162
    25-7 in Last 32 DEN ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Can the Timberwolves go up 3-0 on the Nuggets? ...

    Pick Made: Tue 9:13 pm UTC

    Matt's Past Picks

    May 09 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Indiana
    121
    @ New York
    130
    +800.5
    33-16 in Last 49 NBA Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    I mean, good for Brunson if he scores 40 again but come on? What a crazy number. Maybe a box-and-one on him Rick Carlisle? Picket fence? Oh wait, that's Hoosiers and good for someone like Brunson. One cold quarter, one tweaked ankle and this is a win. And JB "only" had 22 points through three quarters in Game 1. Don't all these minutes have to take a toll eventually?

    Pick Made: Wed 4:10 am UTC
    May 08 2024, 11:30 pm UTC
    League
    Boston
    1
    @ Florida
    6
    +146
    33-20 in Last 53 NHL Picks
    +135
    3-1 in Last 4 NHL ML Picks
    +229
    6-3 in Last 9 FLA ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Totally kicking myself for Game 1 as I had Bruins locked and loaded at +1.5 ... and then changed my mind at the last second and took Florida ML. If this were an MLB game, Boston +1.5 would be priced very reasonably and I'd totally play it here. But -190? I expect the Panthers to shake off any rust they had in the opener. But no result surprises me at this point in the postseason. My NHL betting interest definitely goes down this time of year because it's almost impossible to find value on the main game odds. Props are a different story.

    Pick Made: Wed 8:17 pm UTC
    May 08 2024, 11:05 pm UTC
    League
    Houston
    4
    @ N.Y. Yankees
    9
    +1835.25
    136-73-1 in Last 210 MLB Picks
    +789.25
    53-31 in Last 84 MLB ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Yankees are rolling and their entire bullpen should be available if needed behind Carlos Rodon, who is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA at home. But the only reason I'm playing this is struggling Houston rookie pitcher Spencer Arrighetti (0-3, 8.27 ERA), who might be ticketed back to the minors afterward.

    Pick Made: Wed 8:32 pm UTC
    May 08 2024, 10:45 pm UTC
    League
    Baltimore
    7
    @ Washington
    6
    +622.25
    28-7 in Last 35 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Is Nats rookie Mitchell Parker (2.53 ERA) really this good? The lefty has gone at least five in three of his four outings and the Orioles have never seen him. If Parker keeps avoiding walks (only four in 21.1 innings), we should get five innings here obviously barring the O's shelling him -- which is certainly possible.

    Pick Made: Wed 2:29 pm UTC
    May 08 2024, 10:40 pm UTC
    League
    Arizona
    4
    @ Cincinnati
    3
    +622.25
    28-7 in Last 35 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    We'll go right back to this after winning on it last night as Carroll is leading off again for the Snakes and starting to get hot with five hits in his past three and back-to-back games scoring a run. He's 2-for-3 career off Reds starter Graham Ashcraft.

    Pick Made: Wed 6:57 pm UTC
    May 08 2024, 7:00 pm UTC
    League
    Bayern Munich
    1
    @ Real Madrid
    2
    Money LineReal Madrid -105
    WIN
    Unit2.0
    +285
    4-1 in Last 5 CHLG Picks
    +135
    2-1 in Last 3 CHLG ML Picks
    Analysis:

    All of our soccer experts like Real Madrid at home, so who am I to argue? This season at Bernabéu, Los Blancos are unbeaten in La Liga action (15 wins, two draws). They have scored 43 goals and conceded just nine times. Madrid also has not lost a Champions League home game since the 2022 quarters vs. Chelsea. The winner would advance as the teams drew last week, and Real Madrid is the overall favorite to win the Champions League. Who really wants an all-German final? (well, besides Germans)

    Pick Made: Wed 5:12 pm UTC
    May 08 2024, 6:20 pm UTC
    League
    San Diego
    3
    @ Chi. Cubs
    0
    +1835.25
    136-73-1 in Last 210 MLB Picks
    +648.25
    18-5-1 in Last 24 MLB O/U Picks
    +311
    8-3 in Last 11 SD O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    I saw DraftKings had the only 9 on our board (mostly 8s) but now see that it's clearly an alt total at this price. Since I rarely get the opportunity to play these on here, we'll do it anyways. Wind is blowing in slightly at Wrigley and two very good starting pitchers in Dylan Cease (2.55 ERA) and Hayden Wesneski, whose 0.54 ERA is obviously flukish but hopefully he keeps it going one more game.

    Pick Made: Wed 1:26 pm UTC
    May 08 2024, 6:10 pm UTC
    League
    Milwaukee
    4
    @ Kansas City
    6
    +1835.25
    136-73-1 in Last 210 MLB Picks
    +648.25
    18-5-1 in Last 24 MLB O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    So back in the day (two weeks ago or so), I generally wouldn't play a lookahead total in an outdoor game. But now with our menu I can see where value is and only one book has 9 (should be 8.5), so we'll take it. Feels like one of those I doubt we lose but might push. KC pitcher Brady Singer is having his breakout season and has a 1.59 ERA in two day starts.

    Pick Made: Wed 3:13 am UTC
    May 08 2024, 4:35 pm UTC
    League
    L.A. Angels
    5
    @ Pittsburgh
    4
    +1835.25
    136-73-1 in Last 210 MLB Picks
    +789.25
    53-31 in Last 84 MLB ML Picks
    +636.5
    43-24 in Last 67 PIT ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Sixth straight road game for the Halos (without a day off) on a getaway day Wednesday, so I expect a few regulars to sit -- although with Mike Trout injured and Anthony Rendon simply not giving a crap and "injured" too, would you even notice? No wonder Shohei Ohtani moved up the street. The Angels are blasting the Pirates tonight as I write this, but I prefer that in this case.

    Pick Made: Wed 12:28 am UTC
    May 08 2024, 1:30 am UTC
    League
    Dallas
    95
    @ Oklahoma City
    117
    +2694.25
    163-97 in Last 260 NBA Picks
    +2545
    105-49 in Last 154 NBA ML Picks
    +1138.5
    36-16 in Last 52 DAL ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Generally need a reason not to back a home team in the NBA playoffs and I don't really see one here. Definitely might be some rust on the Thunder, but they are fully healthy and the Mavs aren't. Luka Doncic probably is sitting right now due to his knee if it were the regular season. Lu Dort could give him some problems defensively. Not that impressed with the Mavs beating the Clippers considering Kawhi Leonard was on one leg for the two games of the six he did play. Certainly doesn't mean Dallas won't win tonight, but Oklahoma City took three of four in the season series.

    Pick Made: Tue 11:58 am UTC
    May 08 2024, 12:40 am UTC
    League
    San Francisco
    5
    @ Colorado
    0
    +1835.25
    136-73-1 in Last 210 MLB Picks
    +949
    41-31 in Last 72 COL ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Giants are playing now in Philadelphia and then have to fly, what, 70 percent across the country? SF has only six road wins. Lefty Kyle Harrison looks like a future ace but Tuesday will be his first-ever start in the bandbox that is Coors Field. The Rox are off today. Can't bet a ton as Colorado starting pitcher Dakota Hudson has been pretty bad, but I like everything else about this for the home side.

    Pick Made: Mon 9:49 pm UTC