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Matt Severance

Severance Pays

Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past four NBA seasons, Matt has returned a whopping $6,634 to $100 bettors. That includes finishing 217-130-1 (plus $2,182) in the 2024-25 NBA season. Over the past four MLB seasons, Matt is up $1,681. And over the past five college basketball seasons, Matt is up $1,008. He also has excelled in two straight NFL seasons, returning $2,010 to $100 players, and is coming off an outstanding NHL season in which he went 235-155-21 (plus $2,022). Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

@jordanpaytonsn1
LAST 20 NFL ML PICKS
+288.5
RECORD: 13-7-0
+288.5
13-7 IN LAST 20 NFL ML PICKS

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Matt's Picks (4 Live)

Dec 21 2025, 12:00 am UTC
League
Boston
@ Toronto
Money LineSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+418.5
21-16 in Last 37 NBA ML Picks
+1044
33-16 in Last 49 BOS ML Picks
Analysis:

Jaylen Brown is likely out for Boston in Toronto. ...

Pick Made: Dec 20, 9:02 pm UTC on bet365
Dec 21 2025, 12:30 am UTC
League
Illinois St.
@ Villanova
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit0.5
+1226.5
63-39-1 in Last 103 NCAAF Picks
+1089
32-18-1 in Last 51 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

Villanova hosts an FCS semifinal. ...

Pick Made: Dec 20, 7:58 pm UTC on FanDuel
Dec 21 2025, 6:00 pm UTC
League
Tampa Bay
@ Carolina
Anytime TD ScorerSubscribers Only
Unit0.5
+154
24-15 in Last 39 NFL Player Props Picks
Analysis:

How will Rico Dowdle fare vs. the Bucs? ...

Pick Made: Dec 17, 5:46 pm UTC on Caesars
Dec 31 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Michigan
@ Texas
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1226.5
63-39-1 in Last 103 NCAAF Picks
+1089
32-18-1 in Last 51 NCAAF ATS Picks
+450
5-0 in Last 5 TEXAS ATS Picks
Analysis:

Will Bryce Underwood play for Michigan? ...

Pick Made: Dec 11, 6:18 pm UTC on DraftKings
Matt's Past Picks
Dec 20 2025, 5:30 pm UTC
League
Philadelphia
4
@ N.Y. Rangers
5
+493.5
35-23-5 in Last 63 NHL Picks
+387
5-1 in Last 6 NHL ML Picks
+444.5
52-34 in Last 86 NYR ML Picks
Analysis:

I had not planned to play this, but the Flyers have ruled out No. 1 goalie Dan "Darth" Vladar. The former Calgary No. 2 has been excellent this year and stole the starting job from today's starter in Samuel Ersson (3.05 GAA). Which sounds a lot like Ershon and makes me think of the criminally underrated "The Other Guys." Truly love that movie. I also now want a glacier water with cucumber because it accents the water in such a way ... lol. In addition, Philly is without center Christian Dvorak (23 points, plus-8). Yeah, this got interesting real fast, although the Rangers for some reason are really struggling at home. Otherwise this should be probably -180.

Pick Made: Dec 20, 4:57 pm UTC on BetRivers
Dec 20 2025, 5:00 pm UTC
League
Miami (Fla.)
10
@ Texas A&M
3
+1226.5
63-39-1 in Last 103 NCAAF Picks
+1089
32-18-1 in Last 51 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

I generally make plays with my brain and not heart .. but will make an exception for this one. I honestly believe Miami is one of the top-five most talented teams in the country if Mario Cristobal would just get out of his own way sometimes. At a neutral site, I'd crush this. But it's not. Obviously weather forecasts are tricky this far out. It looks rather nice in College Station down the road. Cold and I'm not doing this. Because the Canes are like the Dolphins. Fish out of water so to speak.

Pick Made: Dec 13, 6:04 pm UTC on Caesars
Dec 20 2025, 3:00 pm UTC
League
West Ham United
0
@ Manchester City
3
SpreadWest Ham United +2.5 -182
LOSS
Unit1.0
+281
9-5-1 in Last 15 EPL ATS Picks
Analysis:

Obviously juiced but an outlier number at our books. West Ham has not lost a match in any competition by at least three goals since Sept. 13 and has drawn its past three away. Quick turnaround for the Citizens as they beat Brentford 2-0 on Wednesday in the Carabao Cup. In all competitions, Man City would have covered this twice in the past eight. Pep Guardiola's squad has some availability concerns, too. See in America I'd just say on the IR or whatnot. But in Love Actually-land (it's Christmas and that's a Top-5 all-time flick) guys might be hurt, suspended or with national teams. Many EPL clubs, including City, are missing a guy or two due to them playing in the Africa Cup of Nations.

Pick Made: Dec 19, 1:25 pm UTC on BetMGM
Dec 20 2025, 12:30 pm UTC
League
Chelsea
2
@ Newcastle United
2
SpreadNewcastle United +0.25 -143
WIN
Unit1.0
+281
9-5-1 in Last 15 EPL ATS Picks
Analysis:

I seriously don't know what world this is. Earth-616 per Marvel but I'm a Superman/Batman guy so I'll just say Metropolis/Gotham. I can't get much right currently other than soccer. If you had repeated that line to me 18 months ago ... I'd have said they would have remade Breakfast Club before I believed that (don't you dare!). You know, I like math (says the writer). I tend to do well on lower-scoring sports for that reason because my dome thinks a bit differently. "It is only in the mysterious equations of love that any logical reasons can be found." I'm not sure if that's relevant here, but my pattern seems to be working in this sport at least. Have learned to profit off draws.

Pick Made: Dec 20, 4:09 am UTC on BetRivers
Dec 20 2025, 3:00 am UTC
League
Dallas
8
@ Anaheim
3
+647
26-14-5 in Last 45 NHL ATS Picks
+421.5
24-12-1 in Last 37 ANA ATS Picks
Analysis:

Look, I am a very careful bettor because I play a lot. So I am fine paying this somewhat outrageous amount simply to avoid the stress and gastrointestinal discomfort that overtime/shootout would provide. I'm actually not kidding. I feel physically ill in OT (or extra innings) with stress because know I will lose. Sure feels that way. Do I think the Ducks win outright here with Dallas in the second of a B2B? Of course I think a great chance, I only play for draws in soccer. Perhaps tie no bet at -115 or I have to say Ducks +140 in regulation is not terrible. I want protection. Even at 82 cents.

Pick Made: Dec 19, 7:37 pm UTC on BetRivers
Dec 20 2025, 12:00 am UTC
League
Philadelphia
116
@ New York
107
+281
7-3 in Last 10 NBA Picks
+244
4-1 in Last 5 NBA ATS Picks
+22
9-9 in Last 18 NY ATS Picks
Analysis:

Half-unit because I hate playing road teams, and I'm quite sure all those Knicks who sat out last night at Indiana will play, but I still think the team will be physically and mentally gassed from an incredibly hectic week. Maybe we get lucky and Jalen Brunson sits out. We cashed last night fading the Knicks, although Brunson won it brilliantly late. I refuse to mention a certain Sixers 7-foot former MVP with the initials JE, but he's questionable. Also the sun will rise in the East. Tell me something I don't know; I honestly don't even include that guy any longer in any prognostications it's so ridiculous. And the Sixers have been off since Sunday. So if rest means anything at all.

Pick Made: Dec 19, 12:31 pm UTC on bet365
Dec 20 2025, 12:00 am UTC
League
Carolina
3
@ Florida
4
+647
26-14-5 in Last 45 NHL ATS Picks
+293
7-2-1 in Last 10 FLA ATS Picks
Analysis:

Do I think the Hurricanes are the better club right now? Yep, but I also say if you get the two-time champs +1 at home that you have to. Almost think the Cats will be offended being home dogs. But I'm slumping a bit across the board at the moment. Sometimes a built-in holiday day off or two isn't the worst thing to just reset. I'm not saying that I'm the Short Circuit robot -- Johnny 5 -- declaring "Malfunction! Need input!" but let's just say El DeBarge is from my hometown. "Who's Johnny?" How did a movie with El DeBarge, a lovable robot, Steve Guttenberg and Ally Sheedy not win an Oscar!?

Pick Made: Dec 19, 12:03 pm UTC on BetRivers
Dec 19 2025, 7:30 pm UTC
League
Mönchengladbach
0
@ Borussia Dortmund
2
Over/UnderUnder 3.5 -160
WIN
Unit1.0
+350
4-1 in Last 5 BUND Picks
Analysis:

Coming close to dumping college hoops and focusing on soccer. At least in that sport I know who will play (usually). "I'm not bitter, you are. I know you are, but what am I?" Yep, I have been relegated to fifth-grade playground talk when it comes to college basketball. And I used relegated on purpose as we segue to the Beautiful Game. I generally like U3.5 when not the super-giants of European soccer. Both these sides (no way I type the visiting name, I'd hurt myself) apparently have major availability questions, but I can't learn about two CCSU guys ruled out until 5 minutes before a hoops tip? Yet I have more solid info on German soccer ... in German. This feels backward. "Danke schön."

Pick Made: Dec 19, 4:21 am UTC on Caesars
Dec 19 2025, 4:00 pm UTC
League
Kennesaw St.
6
@ W. Michigan
41
+1226.5
63-39-1 in Last 103 NCAAF Picks
+1089
32-18-1 in Last 51 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

Man, this hurts me and I'm only doing a half-unit. So proud of Western, its best team since the Fighting Flecks of 2016. And I told myself, and perhaps I talk to myself way too much, that I bet I get an alumni/donation letter now. Sure enough Tuesday. I'm sure my $25 will find the next five-star QB. Or one-star and his lunch at Pizza Hut. It's basically the hook why I am playing this. WMU might be slightly better, but KSU has been pretty darn impressive. No apparent major opt-outs or transfers on either side. Western by a late field goal and life is good.

Pick Made: Dec 19, 5:57 am UTC on FanDuel
Dec 19 2025, 3:00 am UTC
League
Dallas
5
@ San Jose
3
+647
26-14-5 in Last 45 NHL ATS Picks
+559.5
17-7 in Last 24 SJ ATS Picks
Analysis:

Do you remember the 80s? I'm sure many of you not even born, but back then you earned bank to buy something, for some reason, that had Vuarnet on it (or Girbaud). It was just French cool. I have no idea what's cool now, but I expect to have some Vuarnet money with this. Are the Sharks the cash cow they were earlier in the year? No, but we are all over this. San Jose is 24-10 ATS and "Après la pluie, le beau temps." I hope that means I desire a grilled cheese with pickles inside. It does metaphorically ... and now that's happening in next 24 hours. "Florida Man dies after having forgotten to check his cheese is 4 years past date."

Pick Made: Dec 18, 6:11 am UTC on BetMGM
Dec 19 2025, 1:15 am UTC
League
L.A. Rams
37
@ Seattle
38
+98
4-3 in Last 7 NFL Picks
Analysis:

Yeah after watching SportsCenter -- which is about unwatchable at this point; I'd rather have a root canal without anesthetic than watch that 5 p.m. High Five version -- guess we have to go Under with winds and rain. Not that I was unaware but sometimes you kinda have to see the conditions for yourself. And surely no Davante Adams for L.A. These teams combined for 40 points in ideal indoor conditions in LA earlier in the year. I don't care who wins other than if it helps the Bears; I'd much rather avoid Matthew Stafford and face Sam Darnold (DUH!) in the playoffs. Shoot, I'd rather avoid Matthew McConaughey (Interstellar version) and prefer to face Sam Darnold is what I think of Mr. Ghosts.

Pick Made: Dec 18, 11:12 pm UTC on BetRivers
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