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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays

    Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past three MLB seasons, Matt is up $2,395 for $100 bettors. Over the past two NBA seasons, Matt has returned $3,215. And over the past three college basketball seasons, Matt is up $2,704. He went 103-89-2 (plus $665) in the 2023 college football season and 121-93-2 (plus $589) in the 2023 NFL season. Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    @jordanpaytonsn1
    LAST 9 CBB O/U PICKS
    +792.5
    RECORD: 8-1-0
    +792.5
    8-1 IN LAST 9 CBB O/U PICKS

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    Matt's Picks (3 Live)

    Mar 28 2024, 7:05 pm UTC
    League
    L.A. Angels
    @ Baltimore
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +1167.5
    39-17 in Last 56 BAL ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Corbin Burnes makes his first AL start for the Orioles on Thursday vs. the Angels. ...

    Pick Made: Tue 3:41 pm UTC
    Mar 28 2024, 8:10 pm UTC
    League
    Minnesota
    @ Kansas City
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +1769
    35-15 in Last 50 MIN ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Royals turn to ace Cole Ragans in their season opener. ...

    Pick Made: Tue 11:09 pm UTC
    Mar 29 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Vegas
    @ Winnipeg
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +567.5
    9-2 in Last 11 NHL Picks
    +365
    5-1 in Last 6 NHL ML Picks
    +697.5
    35-19 in Last 54 WPG ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Winnipeg looks to avoid rare B2B losses at home. ...

    Pick Made: Wed 9:52 pm UTC

    Matt's Past Picks

    Mar 28 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Houston
    132
    @ Oklahoma City
    126
    +1703.25
    130-76 in Last 206 NBA Picks
    +761
    23-13-1 in Last 37 HOU ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    I'm a tad surprised this only dropped from Thunder -6.5 to -4.5 with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ruled out. Yeah, the Rockets have been pretty bad overall on the road this season but also enter having won nine in a row overall and four of those away. They need every single W as they chase a play-in spot. It's the second of a B2B for OKC, which had to play to the buzzer Tuesday to beat New Orleans and then travel.

    Pick Made: Wed 7:23 pm UTC
    Mar 27 2024, 11:30 pm UTC
    League
    Boston
    1
    @ Tampa Bay
    3
    +567.5
    9-2 in Last 11 NHL Picks
    +365
    5-1 in Last 6 NHL ML Picks
    +1178.5
    59-33 in Last 92 TB ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Obviously Boston can beat anyone at anytime, but the B's played a very physical, back-and-forth game at Florida on Tuesday and while it's not impossible to sweep the Miami/Tampa Swing, it's pretty darn tough. The Lightning played without two of their best players Sunday in Brayden Point and Victor Hedman to conclude a trip but both are good to go here. Nikita Kucherov (2G, 3A) leads all Tampa Bay skaters in points vs. Boston this season. The Bolts are 6-1 in their past seven.

    Pick Made: Wed 3:51 pm UTC
    Mar 27 2024, 11:00 pm UTC
    League
    Golden St.
    101
    @ Orlando
    93
    +1703.25
    130-76 in Last 206 NBA Picks
    +1514
    83-40 in Last 123 NBA ML Picks
    +264
    15-6 in Last 21 GS ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Orlando certainly has the rest advantage having been off since Saturday, while it's the third road game in four nights for the Warriors -- although I doubt Steve Kerr rests anyone because the Dubs really can't afford to give away a game. The Magic have won 10 of 13 and they are duly motivated to avoid the play-in tournament. They have won five straight at home in the series.

    Pick Made: Wed 1:02 pm UTC
    Mar 27 2024, 11:00 pm UTC
    League
    Ottawa
    6
    @ Buffalo
    2
    +567.5
    9-2 in Last 11 NHL Picks
    +365
    5-1 in Last 6 NHL ML Picks
    Analysis:

    If the Sabres have any hopes of earning an East wild card spot, they simply can't lose here -- and it's not a great shot as it is. But this opens a five-game homestand and win all those, and maybe it's possible. Buffalo's Alex Tuch and Tage Thompson are each riding five-game point streaks, totaling seven points each in that span. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is 6-3 this month with a 2.58 GAA that is a bit skewed by allowing eight on March 21 in Edmonton. Ottawa is 3-8 in its past 11 away.

    Pick Made: Wed 1:09 pm UTC
    Mar 27 2024, 2:30 am UTC
    League
    Dallas
    6
    @ San Jose
    3
    +457.5
    9-3 in Last 12 NHL Picks
    +229.5
    91-69-3 in Last 163 NHL O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    It is backup Scott Wedgewood in net for Dallas, but he has been better than No. 1 Jake Oettinger for weeks, in all honesty, and is facing the co-worst offense in the league. Dallas has ruled out Tyler Seguin (49 points), which can only help Sharks netminder Mackenzie Blackwood.

    Pick Made: Tue 6:52 pm UTC
    Mar 27 2024, 2:00 am UTC
    League
    Dallas
    132
    @ Sacramento
    96
    +1703.25
    130-76 in Last 206 NBA Picks
    +1514
    83-40 in Last 123 NBA ML Picks
    +1171
    35-15 in Last 50 DAL ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Kinda thought Dallas might eventually list Luka Doncic as questionable today after he played 41 minutes on Monday in a win at Utah, so it's a tough road/road back-to-back for the Mavs. I still think he probably plays and that's why this ML didn't jump much but on the off chance he doesn't, we'll throw a sprinkle down. The Kings are in the second of a B2B as well but didn't have to travel and are 2-0 vs. the Mavs this year. They could earn a potentially huge tiebreaker with a win tonight.

    Pick Made: Tue 9:13 pm UTC
    Mar 27 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Calgary
    1
    @ Chicago
    3
    +1061.5
    30-14 in Last 44 NHL ATS Picks
    +316.5
    8-4 in Last 12 CHI ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    I will hammer Under 6.5 goals if FanDuel gives it to us. Calgary has lost three straight to end any longer-shot wild card hopes. Chicago was eliminated from playoff contention a long time ago but has won three of its past four at home. Getting the Hawks +1.5 for basically the same price as Flames moneyline is a no-brainer in my opinion even if it doesn't prove to be the right play. No. 1 Petr Mrazek is in net for Chicago.

    Pick Made: Tue 6:48 pm UTC
    Mar 27 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Vegas
    4
    @ Nashville
    5
    +567.5
    9-2 in Last 11 NHL Picks
    +365
    5-1 in Last 6 NHL ML Picks
    +618
    15-4 in Last 19 LV ML Picks
    Analysis:

    We are fading Vegas tonight in St. Louis (well, Blues puckline) and with No. 1 goaltender Adin Hill out injured, the Knights figure to have to use third stringer Jiri Patera in this one Tuesday. He's 1-3 with a 3.75 GAA. It also will be Vegas' third game in four nights. Nashville has won five straight and is rested.

    Pick Made: Mon 9:32 pm UTC
    Mar 26 2024, 11:30 pm UTC
    League
    Golden St.
    113
    @ Miami
    92
    +1703.25
    130-76 in Last 206 NBA Picks
    +1514
    83-40 in Last 123 NBA ML Picks
    +307
    41-20 in Last 61 MIA ML Picks
    Analysis:

    I don't even like the NBA at this point -- being in south Florida, I was rather looking forward to watching this but now Jimmy Butler is out for the Heat (along with Tyler Herro and Duncan Robinson). Patently absurd guys sitting out left and right when you know they could play. The Heat tend to have weird results regardless so a win would not shock me but have to take the Dubs against a starting Miami backcourt of likely Terry Rozier and Patty Mills. No Butler pushed this up 40 cents or so.

    Pick Made: Tue 9:57 pm UTC
    Mar 26 2024, 11:00 pm UTC
    League
    Philadelphia
    5
    @ N.Y. Rangers
    6
    +567.5
    9-2 in Last 11 NHL Picks
    +365
    5-1 in Last 6 NHL ML Picks
    +1599
    48-23 in Last 71 NYR ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Philadelphia ranks last in the NHL on the power play at 13.2% and while the team has been decent overall on the penalty kill this season, over the past nine games it's only at 68% -- that would be last in the league. This is Philly's seventh consecutive game against one of the top six clubs in the Eastern Conference standings and it has two wins in the previous six. New York has won six in a row in the series and has taken 10 of its past 12 at home this year. Peter Laviolette is one win away from the 800th in his career, which would make him the seventh coach in NHL history to reach the mark.

    Pick Made: Tue 4:33 pm UTC
    Mar 26 2024, 1:00 am UTC
    League
    Dallas
    115
    @ Utah
    105
    +1703.25
    130-76 in Last 206 NBA Picks
    +932.5
    17-9 in Last 26 UTA ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Really getting turned off by the NBA of late. Have you seen the spreads on tonight's board? Absurd. It's just not interesting to me when it's one good team playing a tanking one. The Jazz are playing like garbage but are finally healthy other than the suspended Kris Dunn. But mostly feels like a potential trap spot for the Mavs to start a five-game road trip and with the next four all much tougher -- including Tuesday night in Sacramento. All three meetings between these teams this season have been blowout wins for the home team.

    Pick Made: Mon 9:27 pm UTC
    Mar 26 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Vegas
    2
    @ St. Louis
    1
    +1061.5
    30-14 in Last 44 NHL ATS Picks
    +250
    3-0 in Last 3 STL ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Huge game in the Western Conference wild card race and first road game in 11 days for Vegas, which probably is without top-six defenseman Alex Pietrangelo (32 points) again. The Knights are basically a .500 team away. St. Louis is 6-1 in its past seven games. Jordan Kyrou enters off back-to-back three-point performances.

    Pick Made: Mon 1:05 pm UTC