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Matt Severance

Severance Pays

Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past four NBA seasons, Matt has returned a whopping $6,634 to $100 bettors. That includes finishing 217-130-1 (plus $2,182) in the 2024-25 NBA season. Over the past four MLB seasons, Matt is up $1,681. And over the past five college basketball seasons, Matt is up $1,008. He also has excelled in two straight NFL seasons, returning $2,010 to $100 players, and is coming off an outstanding NHL season in which he went 235-155-21 (plus $2,022). Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

@jordanpaytonsn1
LAST 20 NFL ML PICKS
+288.5
RECORD: 13-7-0
+288.5
13-7 IN LAST 20 NFL ML PICKS

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Matt's Picks (6 Live)

Dec 20 2025, 3:00 am UTC
League
Dallas
@ Anaheim
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+839
26-13-5 in Last 44 NHL ATS Picks
+613.5
24-11-1 in Last 36 ANA ATS Picks
Analysis:

Are the Ducks undervalued vs. Dallas? ...

Pick Made: Fri 7:37 pm UTC on BetRivers
Dec 20 2025, 12:30 pm UTC
League
Chelsea
@ Newcastle United
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+363
8-4-1 in Last 13 EPL ATS Picks
Analysis:

Is the wrong team favored on Saturday? ...

Pick Made: 4:09 am UTC on BetRivers
Dec 20 2025, 3:00 pm UTC
League
West Ham United
@ Manchester City
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+363
8-4-1 in Last 13 EPL ATS Picks
Analysis:

Is Man City overvalued? ...

Pick Made: Fri 1:25 pm UTC on BetMGM
Dec 20 2025, 5:00 pm UTC
League
Miami (Fla.)
@ Texas A&M
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1126.5
62-39-1 in Last 102 NCAAF Picks
+989
31-18-1 in Last 50 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

Is the wrong team favored? ...

Pick Made: Dec 13, 6:04 pm UTC on Caesars
Dec 21 2025, 6:00 pm UTC
League
Tampa Bay
@ Carolina
Anytime TD ScorerSubscribers Only
Unit0.5
+154
24-15 in Last 39 NFL Player Props Picks
Analysis:

How will Rico Dowdle fare vs. the Bucs? ...

Pick Made: Wed 5:46 pm UTC on Caesars
Dec 31 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Michigan
@ Texas
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1126.5
62-39-1 in Last 102 NCAAF Picks
+989
31-18-1 in Last 50 NCAAF ATS Picks
+450
5-0 in Last 5 TEXAS ATS Picks
Analysis:

Will Bryce Underwood play for Michigan? ...

Pick Made: Dec 11, 6:18 pm UTC on DraftKings
Matt's Past Picks
Dec 20 2025, 12:00 am UTC
League
Philadelphia
116
@ New York
107
+281
7-3 in Last 10 NBA Picks
+244
4-1 in Last 5 NBA ATS Picks
+22
9-9 in Last 18 NY ATS Picks
Analysis:

Half-unit because I hate playing road teams, and I'm quite sure all those Knicks who sat out last night at Indiana will play, but I still think the team will be physically and mentally gassed from an incredibly hectic week. Maybe we get lucky and Jalen Brunson sits out. We cashed last night fading the Knicks, although Brunson won it brilliantly late. I refuse to mention a certain Sixers 7-foot former MVP with the initials JE, but he's questionable. Also the sun will rise in the East. Tell me something I don't know; I honestly don't even include that guy any longer in any prognostications it's so ridiculous. And the Sixers have been off since Sunday. So if rest means anything at all.

Pick Made: Fri 12:31 pm UTC on bet365
Dec 20 2025, 12:00 am UTC
League
Carolina
3
@ Florida
4
+839
26-13-5 in Last 44 NHL ATS Picks
+293
7-2-1 in Last 10 FLA ATS Picks
Analysis:

Do I think the Hurricanes are the better club right now? Yep, but I also say if you get the two-time champs +1 at home that you have to. Almost think the Cats will be offended being home dogs. But I'm slumping a bit across the board at the moment. Sometimes a built-in holiday day off or two isn't the worst thing to just reset. I'm not saying that I'm the Short Circuit robot -- Johnny 5 -- declaring "Malfunction! Need input!" but let's just say El DeBarge is from my hometown. "Who's Johnny?" How did a movie with El DeBarge, a lovable robot, Steve Guttenberg and Ally Sheedy not win an Oscar!?

Pick Made: Fri 12:03 pm UTC on BetRivers
Dec 19 2025, 7:30 pm UTC
League
Mönchengladbach
0
@ Borussia Dortmund
2
Over/UnderUnder 3.5 -160
WIN
Unit1.0
+350
4-1 in Last 5 BUND Picks
Analysis:

Coming close to dumping college hoops and focusing on soccer. At least in that sport I know who will play (usually). "I'm not bitter, you are. I know you are, but what am I?" Yep, I have been relegated to fifth-grade playground talk when it comes to college basketball. And I used relegated on purpose as we segue to the Beautiful Game. I generally like U3.5 when not the super-giants of European soccer. Both these sides (no way I type the visiting name, I'd hurt myself) apparently have major availability questions, but I can't learn about two CCSU guys ruled out until 5 minutes before a hoops tip? Yet I have more solid info on German soccer ... in German. This feels backward. "Danke schön."

Pick Made: Fri 4:21 am UTC on Caesars
Dec 19 2025, 4:00 pm UTC
League
Kennesaw St.
6
@ W. Michigan
41
+1126.5
62-39-1 in Last 102 NCAAF Picks
+989
31-18-1 in Last 50 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

Man, this hurts me and I'm only doing a half-unit. So proud of Western, its best team since the Fighting Flecks of 2016. And I told myself, and perhaps I talk to myself way too much, that I bet I get an alumni/donation letter now. Sure enough Tuesday. I'm sure my $25 will find the next five-star QB. Or one-star and his lunch at Pizza Hut. It's basically the hook why I am playing this. WMU might be slightly better, but KSU has been pretty darn impressive. No apparent major opt-outs or transfers on either side. Western by a late field goal and life is good.

Pick Made: Fri 5:57 am UTC on FanDuel
Dec 19 2025, 3:00 am UTC
League
Dallas
5
@ San Jose
3
+839
26-13-5 in Last 44 NHL ATS Picks
+559.5
17-7 in Last 24 SJ ATS Picks
Analysis:

Do you remember the 80s? I'm sure many of you not even born, but back then you earned bank to buy something, for some reason, that had Vuarnet on it (or Girbaud). It was just French cool. I have no idea what's cool now, but I expect to have some Vuarnet money with this. Are the Sharks the cash cow they were earlier in the year? No, but we are all over this. San Jose is 24-10 ATS and "Après la pluie, le beau temps." I hope that means I desire a grilled cheese with pickles inside. It does metaphorically ... and now that's happening in next 24 hours. "Florida Man dies after having forgotten to check his cheese is 4 years past date."

Pick Made: Thu 6:11 am UTC on BetMGM
Dec 19 2025, 1:15 am UTC
League
L.A. Rams
37
@ Seattle
38
+98
4-3 in Last 7 NFL Picks
Analysis:

Yeah after watching SportsCenter -- which is about unwatchable at this point; I'd rather have a root canal without anesthetic than watch that 5 p.m. High Five version -- guess we have to go Under with winds and rain. Not that I was unaware but sometimes you kinda have to see the conditions for yourself. And surely no Davante Adams for L.A. These teams combined for 40 points in ideal indoor conditions in LA earlier in the year. I don't care who wins other than if it helps the Bears; I'd much rather avoid Matthew Stafford and face Sam Darnold (DUH!) in the playoffs. Shoot, I'd rather avoid Matthew McConaughey (Interstellar version) and prefer to face Sam Darnold is what I think of Mr. Ghosts.

Pick Made: Thu 11:12 pm UTC on BetRivers
Dec 19 2025, 1:00 am UTC
League
Houston
128
@ New Orleans
133
Analysis:

Zion was limited to 27 minutes in his return from (another) injury on Sunday in Chicago and came off the bench but still scored 18. I'd expect him to start tonight and get at least 30 minutes. Our model has him at 22.1 points. I know Kevin Durant is one of Williamson's idols, so he should be duly motivated against KD. I never say I love a prop because it can be not relevant at all to the game result and obviously injuries, foul trouble can happen. But this does seem low to me.

Pick Made: Thu 1:02 pm UTC on BetRivers
Dec 19 2025, 12:00 am UTC
League
Fairfield
84
@ CCSU
70
+65
3-2 in Last 5 FAIR ML Picks
Analysis:

Big number, yes, but I think it should be -250 if the right CCSU team shows up -- so I'll go ahead and bet to win on this. The Blue Devils already own wins at power schools Boston College and Rutgers. Not saying those are Final Four teams, but pretty impressive for an NEC school. And CCSU is 3-0 at home, scoring triple digits in each. Granted, against teams like Godolkin U (actually they might be invincible), Charmin College (the Softies) and Beefaroni State (want one of those T-shirts). When scoring 70+ points under coach Patrick Sellers, who has built a nice program, CCSU is 26-1 in its past 27. Fairfield allows 75.5 and has surrendered at least 70 in all but one road game.

Pick Made: Thu 12:07 pm UTC on DraftKings
Dec 19 2025, 12:00 am UTC
League
Temple
68
@ Davidson
63
Analysis:

Tip at 7:05 and this just became I think a good play as Temple is down three regulars in Gavin Griffiths, Swish Gilyard and AJ Smith. Now I'm hammering this. Short and sweet.

Pick Made: Thu 11:36 pm UTC on Caesars
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