

Matt Severance
Severance Pays
Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past five NBA seasons, Matt has returned $4,931 to $100 bettors. Over the past four MLB seasons, Matt is up $1,681. He also has returned $1,437 to $100 players over the past three NFL seasons. In the 2025 college football season, Matt finished 76-53 (plus $960). Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
@jordanpaytonsn1Get Access ToALL PICKS FROM MATT & THE REST OF OUR EXPERTS
Matt's Picks
7 Live PicksBoth Utah and North Carolina are short-handed today. ...
Arizona must win for any playoff shot. ...
The Astros take the AL West with a victory. ...
The Braves have little to play for Sunday. ...
Let's go Boston! ...
Is this spread too high? ....
Drake Maye is backsliding. ...
All I ever ask for is tell me a team/player motivation. If I still lose on a motivated such, I can completely accept that. Don't likey but I accept it. Can't win them all. The Stros got me Friday and probably got many others. But now we are at potential AL West clinching time because Texas lost Friday as well. I do not trust the Rangers tonight at Minny or be in the same boat here. The AL West is like an all-skate; you know what I mean fellow roller skaters from the 80s/90s. What an awful division.
I am so thankful I found and became fluent in ChatGPT at least when it comes to player availability in soccer. I do go back and double-check everything to make sure so in reality it's taking me twice as long to make plays, but I want to be right. The Fire have a ton of guys out either for injury or international duty reasons -- there are a lot of guys league-wide out for that latter reason tonight. The big one missing for the Fire is Robert Lewandowski as Poland recalled him for national duty. He's third on the team with six goals despite only 11 games played. Charlotte isn't full strength, either, but doesn't appear nearly in as bad of shape.
Super-respect to Rays manager Kevin Cash as he's playing most his key guys even though Tampa Bay is locked into the AL's top seed. But the sliding Phillies are playing for their postseason lives now just a game up on surging Arizona. So this will be treated like a World Series Game 7 by Don Mattingly -- it's basically a bullpen day behind Aaron Nola, who won't be out there more than a couple of innings on short rest; his O/U outs total is only 6.5. All hands on deck I'd imagine to avoid a possible must-win scenario Sunday. The Snakes would win any tiebreaker.
Massively disappointed in Villanova today, so I'm aiming to get that FCS loss back. Most of the models that include FCS games have EWU by about a touchdown. First home game for the Eagles with students back. EWU leads the Big Sky with 94 first downs, averaging 23.0 per game. Head coach Aaron Best is 5-1 against Poly, with a 3-0 mark at home. Cal Poly lost its lone 2026 roadie by double digits at a pretty bad San Jose State team. The Mustangs have never won away in this series.
I've worked at sportsbooks previously so I am aware how different numbers can be from one to another, but the NWSL takes the cake. Just incredible differences via the books -- for instance, DraftKings has this at -220 for Draw No Bet. Wouldn't do that but am certainly fine with -165, and it's there at Caesars. I try to make the DNB soccer cutoff at -200 unless part of a parlay and this is solo. Washington is third in the table, seven points better than Angel City. Spirit star Trinity Rodman left the last game injured but she is not listed on the report for tonight or else this was a pass.



These two fought in Montel Jackson's UFC debut at UFC 227 and Ricky Simon won by unanimous decision. But Jackson has had the better career overall since then. The 34-year-old Simon looks rather shot with two wins in his past seven and he'll be at a nearly seven-inch reach disadvantage. The only chance Simon really would seem to have is to get this on the ground. Jackson is a monster for 135-pound bantamweight division. Tapology ranks Jackson eight spots better in the division.
Hey if the books keep wanting to give me this I will take it. L.A. is now locked into its playoff seed so this truly is a ridiculous moneyline price (around -335). I have not been great at MLB for a while but I absolutely love this again (won Friday). Can I honestly name more than five Giants who probably start today? No, it's like the Triple-A Isotopes lineup at this point (I haven't seen Simpsons in forever, shocked I pulled that). But now the Dodgers are in cruise control -- ask your granddad what that is in his old Buick. Which also had ashtrays everywhere. Being a kid in the 1970s was very cancerous ..
I actually considered a first-half play here, which is really not something I do. Just not wired to care about who is leading at halftime. But look up "Letdown Game" on Wikipedia and this should be at the top of the list. How Ole Miss is not mega-flat off the Lane Kiffin Bowl would shock me. Could be that Trinidad Chambliss -- Ferris State! -- is good enough to mask all that. But star tailback Kewan Lacy being downgraded to doubtful was the clincher for me.
