Will have to double down on this game -- I would have surely played this moneyline very early in the morning, but back then it was nearly -200 so I opted for the total. Not sure why it dropped so much. Winnipeg is on a nine-game skid and been getting beaten worse and worse of late (23-7 in the past four).

Only 6.5 on our board Tuesday for Jets-Canadiens and the model has this as the lowest-scoring game of the night with only 5.3 total goals scored. The Habs can light the net but are still a bit banged up led by Nick Suzuki still out. This is mostly on goalie Jacob Fowler and his 1.84 GAA. Winnipeg has lost nine straight and scored more than three goals just twice in that span.

Thought the Sharks would be a lot better than they are, but they should still take care of a bad Flames team that is 1-5-0 away. Calgary goalie Dustin Wolf has been terrible everywhere with a 4.39 GAA and .847 SV. The model has San Jose by almost a full goal. Can't beat the price.

Happy Halloween! My wife goes utterly bananas on this "holiday" and I have to say it works for me. No, I will not dress up as Shrek (Snoopy maybe, Michael Myers for sure) but you be you and I'll enjoy it. Quite sure I currently own more gummy worms than any other Floridian (Charlie Brown sigh). I think it might be fade the Lightning time as superstar Nikita Kucherov out of somewhat nowhere demanded a shocking trade. He may well play tonight, but that's obviously going to throw the whole team into turmoil. This surprises me, as I'm fairly tied into the Lightning from my Tampa days and still two friends who cover them. Surprised them.

Going to eat this number. Would I prefer -1 but do -1.5? Think you know the answer. The Jets are in the second of a back-to-back and just everything is against them in free-fall. This would be a shocking upset. I think it's fair to say you will see this as a leg in Friday's premium newsletter Parlay of the Day ... but I'll at least throw this out now so you can manipulate how choose. Regulation line is -135 and that'd be absolutely my call. But not in parlay. No reason to take that out. I'm fine solo as no team does the Tampa/South Florida double well. Even good teams. Toughest swing in hockey, Winnipeg is terrible regardless and now on its third-string goalie.

Really getting irked with these outrageous +1.5 prices -- some sites will offer +0.5 in regulation essentially as an Asian line, and I think that would be swell here to knock this way down. Soccer betting (which is working) is starting to seep into my hockey brain. But for these purposes, is what it is. The Sabres are banged up and playing a third straight roadie. Model essentially has a draw -- that works.

Not much of a fan of either goalie in Spencer Knight and John Gibson, but these are two of the worst offensive teams in the NHL and arguably Detroit's top guy in that regard, center Dylan Larkin, is out amid rumors he has finally gotten his trade wish or is close. Hopefully to the Blackhawks! Larkin has six points in 10 games. In two early season games without him, the Wings totaled two goals and lost both.

Wow, a 7 and it's not involving the Avalanche or Oilers. Both these clubs are pretty solid offensively but not world-changing. My one concern is that it might be Mammoth backup Sebastian Cossa's turn and he has a 3.21 GAA. But let's hope not. Doesn't much matter who is in net for the Pens -- probably Arturs Silovs and his 2.88 G AA -- as they are pretty thin at forward due to injury, etc., although Sidney Crosby is fine. The model has 6.7 goals scored and I'm fully prepared to push at a 3-3 regulation draw.

I would so prefer +1.5, but that's around -205. Gosh I miss +1 for just this insurance scenario even if I obviously lean a Seattle win. Toronto is massively banged up with the latest out being trade acquisition Kirill Marchenko, who has been great with six goals, eight assists and eight power-play points. End of a homestand for Seattle, and it should be Philipp Grubauer's turn in net, which is much preferred to Joey Daccord. PG is 4-1-1 with a 2.77 GAA.

To be clear, the Devils are good enough to beat anyone -- especially now with Connor Hellebuyck. But he was in net last night for the upset win in Dallas, so it will be the mediocre Jake Allen tonight in Denver. And it's pretty rare to get the Avalanche this cheaply at home. They have been off since Saturday. Also a payback spot for a 4-3 loss in Newark on Oct. 20.

The Senators are pretty good with Linus Ullmark but he's on injured reserve. Backup Samuel Ersson has not been good at 0-3 with a 4.59 GAA. Top blueliner Thomas Chabot also is hurt. The Golden Knights will have star forward Mitch Marner in the lineup Tuesday. He had missed the past two for the birth of his son, and the Knights lost both (three in a row overall).

Think you are just fine on the regulation line of Oilers -115 as the Red Wings are giving Czech Michal Postava his first NHL start in net with No. 1 goalie Daniil Tarasov banged up. Postava has made one appearance this season and allowed a goal on eight shots in relief last Thursday in Vancouver. Big ask to make your first NHL start in Edmonton against Connor McDavid & Leon Draisaitl. The Wings have a single win in four roadies and this is the end of a four-game trip. Edmonton ideally plays angry after being embarrassed on home ice by Toronto on Saturday.

Leafs are the better team and have won four in a row but are pretty banged up led by John Tavares among those out. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky has been just average with a 3.10 GAA. Calgary isn't very good overall but has won three in a row at home. The Flames are certainly do in this series having dropped eight in a row but I'm good with a one-goal loss.

Will take the Blackhawks winnings and throw into this. Vancouver is awful and has dropped nine in a row but has been off since Thursday and is getting healthier. Minnesota played last night in Seattle and thus starts meh backup Calvin Pickard in net. He allowed five goals in a loss at Winnipeg in his only start thus far.

Third roadie in four nights for Florida, which dropped the first two by a combined score of 9-1. The Cats really miss injured goalie Jacob Markstrom as today's starter Akira Schmid has a 4.07 GAA in three away outings. Some other guys still out too. My Blackhawks have been disappointing but now pretty healthy at least and have only played once in the past week. All three wins on the year are at home.