David Kelly

The Hockey Guru

David Kelly is a Toronto-born hockey analyst with multiple advanced degrees. His academic work includes five years of empirical NHL research, including home/visiting team performance and penalty/power play effects on Over/Unders. In the 2017-18 season, Kelly nailed 57 percent of his picks and $100 bettors who followed him profited $3,429. During the 2017 NHL playoffs, Kelly correctly predicted 39 out of 50 Over/Unders, a stunning win rate of 78 percent. He continues to pursue innovative models of in-depth statistical analysis of the NHL. For David Kelly media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

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David's
Picks

St. Louis -119 STL -119

Boston 5 @ St. Louis 1
6/10
BOS 5 @ STL 1
6/10
LOSS
Sun 6/9

The season should end tonight as the Blues will close it out at home. This will be a rough affair, fueled by adrenaline and should the Blues prevail they can give the keys to the city to goalie Jordan Bininngton, without whom the Blues collectively would have started their summer vacay six weeks ago. As it stands, summer should officially start tomorrow in Missouri.

8-5 IN LAST 13 BOS ML PICKS | +205

OVER 5.5 OVER 5.5

Boston 2 @ St. Louis 4
6/04
BOS 2 @ STL 4
6/04
WIN
Mon 6/3

Well that was a surprise. I predicted goals would be free-flowing, but what I couldn't predict was that they would be all coming from Boston and its vaunted power play. If St. Louis can stay out of the penalty box, the Blues have a chance. If Jordan Binnington can rebound after he uncharacteristically let in several very soft goals then the Blues have a chance. If the Blues can physically dominate the Bruins like they did in game 2 then they have a chance. Can they? We will see. Either way the score will go over 5.5 as the tempo will be fast and furious. Take the Over.

18-11-1 IN LAST 30 BOS O/U PICKS | +648

OVER 5 OVER 5

Boston 7 @ St. Louis 2
6/02
BOS 7 @ STL 2
6/02
WIN
Sat 6/1

As bad as the Blues played in Game 1, they dominated the Bruins in Game 2 in perhaps the most physical contest of the entire playoffs. If St. Louis repeats that effort, Boston is in for a long night. The Bruins have to answer tonight if they can; their defense must hold up to the expected Blues bombardment. I believe goals will come in this pivotal match, so take the Over.

18-11-1 IN LAST 30 BOS O/U PICKS | +648

Boston -171 BOS -171

St. Louis 3 @ Boston 2
5/30
STL 3 @ BOS 2
5/30
LOSS
Wed 5/29

When a team is only able to manage 20 shots on goal in the entire game, one has to wonder what they'll do next to right the ship? St. Louis managed just three shots in the 2nd period after taking an early lead on Boston. The Blues then went into a coma in all aspects of the game. I've read they'll fix this mess but it seems unlikely that the Bruins will take their foot off the accelerator, especially at home. Stakes are high, up 2-0 after tonight will spell doom for the Blues and Boston knows it. Expect the Bruins to play a punishing game, win or lose, the Blues will know they were in a meat grinder. Boston will prevail, the only question will be how much will be left of the Blues spirit after tonight. My guess is that St. Louis will be singing the Blues all the way home. Take Boston to win.

8-5 IN LAST 13 BOS ML PICKS | +205

Boston -149 BOS -149

St. Louis 2 @ Boston 4
5/28
STL 2 @ BOS 4
5/28
WIN
Mon 5/27

Tonight, the quest for the Stanley Cup begins in Boston, but we need to get one thing straight right off the bat: this is not a series of goaltenders; this is a series of defense. This playoff season, Boston goalie Tuukka Rask couldn?t have had anything go easier for him because of the stellar play of the Bruins defense. St. Louis goalie Jordan Binnington is the reason the Blues are here, but tonight he gets thrown to the wolves in Beantown. If Boston?s defense continues to play like it has been playing, someone might have to wake up Rask after the game to tell him it?s over. Boston wins tonight, and I look for the Bruins to take this series in five.

8-5 IN LAST 13 BOS ML PICKS | +205

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