David Kelly

The Hockey Guru

David Kelly is a Toronto-born hockey analyst with multiple advanced degrees. His academic work includes five years of empirical NHL research, including home/visiting team performance and penalty/power play effects on Over/Unders. In the 2017-18 season, Kelly nailed 57 percent of his picks and $100 bettors who followed him profited $3,429. During the 2017 NHL playoffs, Kelly correctly predicted 39 out of 50 Over/Unders, a stunning win rate of 78 percent. He continues to pursue innovative models of in-depth statistical analysis of the NHL. For David Kelly media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

10-4 IN LAST 14 NHL ATS PICKS | +753

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David's
Past Picks

UNDER 6 UNDER 6

Arizona 3 @ Edmonton 2
2/20
ARI 3 @ EDM 2
2/20
WIN
Tue 2/19

Darcy Kuemper and the Arizona Coyotes have one task tonight and that is to bottle up Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl. Do that and the ?Yotes can, and probably will, win the game. Along with that, goes a low scoring outcome. The Coyotes shut down Toronto over the weekend -- shutting down Edmonton seems relatively easy compared to that. Take the Under 6.0 tonight.

10-4 IN LAST 14 NHL ATS PICKS | +753

18-7-1 IN LAST 26 ARI O/U PICKS | +1073

OVER 5.5 OVER 5.5

Washington 3 @ Los Angeles 2
2/19
WAS 3 @ LA 2
2/19
LOSS
Tue 2/19

Washington is playing erratically and what team will show up tonight is anyone?s guess but the Capitals will score, L.A. will score and the line of 5.5 is a very light one. Alex Ovechkin has hit the 40 goal mark once again and now zeros in on 50. He can make a great dent in that quest tonight with any luck. Take the Over.

10-4 IN LAST 14 NHL ATS PICKS | +753

18-9-1 IN LAST 28 WAS O/U PICKS | +880

OVER 6 OVER 6

Philadelphia 3 @ Detroit 1
2/17
PHI 3 @ DET 1
2/17
LOSS
Sun 2/17

This game is a pickem in my book, the speed of the Red Wings and the home ice advantage will counteract the relatively good recent record of the Flyers. The Flyers eked out a 6-5 win in the first of this home/home series and expectations are for another free wheeler type of game. Take the Over.

10-4 IN LAST 14 NHL ATS PICKS | +753

3-0 IN LAST 3 PHI O/U PICKS | +300

Montreal +115 MON +115

Montreal 3 @ Florida 6
2/18
MON 3 @ FLA 6
2/18
LOSS
Sun 2/17

The Canadiens were soundly beaten in Tampa in their last meeting and Florida does play reasonably well at home, but I continue to harken back to the combined +\- numbers for the Panthers best players, Alex Barkov, Mike Hoffman and Jonathan Huberdeau is a -68. Couple that with the great net-minding Montreal is getting from Carey Price -- I predict a win for Montreal today.

10-4 IN LAST 14 NHL ATS PICKS | +753

13-7 IN LAST 20 MON ML PICKS | +554

Washington -1.5 WAS -1.5

Washington 2 @ Anaheim 5
2/18
WAS 2 @ ANA 5
2/18
LOSS
Sun 2/17

The cure for what is ailing Anaheim IS NOT the Washington Capitals. I fully expect Alex Ovechkin and company to exploit every weakness the Ducks have, which there are many. We know the Caps can fill it up any night and Anaheim has gone in the wrong direction. Every stat edge points to Washington.

10-4 IN LAST 14 NHL ATS PICKS | +753

3-1 IN LAST 4 ANA ATS PICKS | +278

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