Dallas beat the Preds in Nashville early in the year but then Nashville got their revenge with not just one win in Dallas but TWO. Dallas is playing great hockey (6-1 last seven) with Jake Ottinger in goal and Nashville is having the two-step mishaps just 2-6 their last eight games. The price is to big to lay at -160 so we ill go the route of laying 1.5 goals to get a price..
I sure hope the Oiler are singing the Blues after tonight's game. Edmonton came one game short of an all-time NHL regular season winning streak. The Oilers did not play very many good teams during the streak and were handled easily by Vegas 3-1. Edmonton's power ratings obvously continued to rise during the winning streak and I don't just think but know they are overrated. St Louis has won 7 of their last nine games. This price is just too big to pass up.
Jack Hughes is back with a goal in his last two games. Hughes missed more than a month and returned after the all-star break. It took a couple of games to get back up to speed. The Kings had a nice win out of the break with their new coach but crushed the next one in Buffalo 7-0. The do have the embarrassment factor and I do think they will play a much better game, I think the Devils are the better team at home.
The good news for San Jose is that they've been off 13 days, which means they have not lost a game in almost two weeks. Off 13 days isn't really good news. The bad news is they've been without their 2nd best offensive player Logan Couture for most of the season but now their best player Tomas Hertl is now out. This is a big mismatch from team to goale. Connor Hellebuyck is one of the best in the business.
Andrei Vasilevskiy lost 7-3 on his last trip to Boston. Since then his goals per game allowed is 2.55. Boston has gone under in six of their last seven games and five straight at home. This game should be a battle of two great defenses. Fan Duel has the lone 6.5. I'm still very strong under 6.
I'm expecting the Wild to start Marc-Andre Fleury against the Golden Knights but still love the under if Filip Gustavsson starts. Fleury just beat his first organization the Pittsburgh Penguins. Minnesota has gone under in four straight games. VGK is 11-4-1 under in their last 16 games. Jack Eichel is still out for Vegas and they maybe without captain Mark Stone who has an illness.
Montreal will go with backup goalie Jake Allen, who is having a horrendous season. Allen is 5-12 with a 3.43 GA/G average and .901 save %. Allen is going against his old team the St Louis Blues and he has a 2-1 record but he game up at least four goals in all three games. Jordan Binnington is in goal for the Blues, Binnington had a 2.10 GA/G average in January. Montreal won both games last year, give the Blues 25 cents for revenge. My model has St Louis -140.
Winnipeg has gone under in nine of their last 10 games. The Jets offense has been non-existent over their last five games, scoring just four goals. Their defense has been steady all year with goalie Connor Hellebuyck. Pittsburgh is 7-1 under their last eight games. These two just played in Pittsburgh on February 6th with the Penguins winning 3-0.
The VGK lost earlier this year to Arizona 2-0. That loss was during a 3-8 run for the Vegas Golden Knights. Since the middle of January the VGK is 6-2. Looking for revenge and getting even on the season gives us a focused team. Let's add in the fact that Arizona hasn't played in 11 days. I bet the Knights for a double bet.
Vancouver and Boston led their respective conference in points. Vancouver has 73 points after 50 games while the Bruins have 71 points in 50 games. Vancouver is 13-6 over their last 19 games while the Bruins are 6-4 over their last 10 home games.
Boston's median price at home in the first half was -175.
Winnipeg is 11-2 under their last 13 games. Combined the teams are 18-4 under! Penguin goalie Tristan Jarry has a 2.53.GA/G and .913 save %. The Jets All-Star goalie Connor Hellebuyck has a 2.20 GA/G and incrediable .940 save %. I played 1.5 units on the under.
Philadelphia goalie Samuel Ersson has a 2.60 GA/G, the Flyers are 7-4-1 under their last 12 games.Florida goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky has a 2.51 GA/G and .910 save %. Five of his last nine games he allowed 2 goals or less and in seven of his last nine he allowed three goals or less. Florida is 17-5-1 under their last 23 games. Fan Duel has 6.5 under -140. I'll pay the lower juice. Under 6
The Red Wings are still getting no respect even after a 9-3 record to start 2024. BTW Ottawa is 5-9 in 2024. The Wings have 57 pts in 49 games or 1.16 pts per game. Ottawa has 40 pts in 46 games or .87 pts per game. Just off pts per game (a simple rating system) Detroit should be the favorite on neutral ice. The agrument is how much is how ice worth between 30 to 50 cents. So if we say Detroit (1.16-0.87) is 29 cents better and add 30 cents for home ice we have -159. Now I've rated every player on both teams to get my power rating, my model has Detroit-200. I bet 1.5 units on the Wings.
I've been leaning on the Detroit Red Wings for several weeks now. I like their solid goaltender Alex Lyon (2.52 goals against) and their offensive leaders in center Dylan Larkin, RW Alex DeBrincat, LW Lucas Raymond and scoring defensemen Shayne Gostisbehere. The Red Wings have nine players with 10 goals or more and 11 player with 20 points or more. I hated ot bet against the Stanley Cup Champs but they are off a big win last night in Madison Square Garden. The Red Wings are 8-3 in 2024.