The Rebels just upset New Mexico at the Pit, they've already beaten Fresno State and play Nevada, their biggest rival next. I think Fresno gives them a battle to the wire at home with a chance to win straight up. I took the plus five for 1.5 units.
Auburn loves to run and press full court. South Carolina plays extremely slow. The Gamecocks to have revenge from last year's home loss. I'll take the hot South Carolina team plus the points.
Do you remember Shaheen Holloway's NCAA Tournament run with St. Peter's. His team ran clock to shorten games and they played great defense. Both teams are a combined 26-20 under. The Pirates are 5-2 under in true road games. Villanova plays very slow with great transistion defense. I have their offense ranked 68th but their defense ranked 24th. Nova is 7-5 under at home, My model h.as this total 118. I bet a double play.
These two schools are 236 miles apart. Southern Illinois won the first meeeting 71-64, but there was just 58 possessions. Both teams play extremely slow on offense, both teams have very good defenses and Illinois State struggles to score. Illinois State has gone under in nine straight games.
Cal Baptist is now 7-4 in conference after a 1-3 start. Utah Tech beat the Lancers in Riverside back in early December. Cal Baptist ranks fourth offensively and 2nd on defene in the conference. Utah Tech ranks dead last on offense in the conference.
I'm backing Louisville as I like what I saw in their last game versus Florida State. The Cardinals are nos 6-2 ATS their last eight games. Kenny Payne's team was 4-24 last year so they basically have revenge against everyone and that includes Syracuse. Louisville has won 7 games so fare this year so Payne has improved his team.
Houston is and always will be a very good under team under Kelvin Sampson. The Cougs are 9-3 under at home and 114-8 under overall. Houston has the #1 defense and their pace is in the bottom 40 of college basketball. Their defense is so good it fores opponents deeper into the shot clock. OSU Head Coach Mike Boynton teaches solid defensive fundimentals but his offense is stuck in the early 2000's. It has been four years since they had an offense inside the top 100. The Cowboys are without 2nd leading scorer Bryce Thompson due to a shoulder injury. Under for one unit.
Maryland and Rutgers rank 13th and 14th in Big 10 offensive efficiency in conference games. However, they rank 1st and 2nd defensively in the conference but even better both defenses rank in the top 6 of all college teams. My model has this total at 112. I bet two units on the under.
Eastern Washingon has a 2 game lead for first place in the Big Sky Conference, the good but could be bad. I've seen teams with 2 or 3 game leads have let up situations. The Eagles will be playing their third straight road game in five days. They beat Portland State back in late December by 34-points. The Vikings were off 10 days going into that game. Portland State has lost eight straight games to Eastern Washington. The Vikings are playing much better basketball now then back in late December, early January. They are 8-1 at home this year and 3-1 ATS their last four home games. Take the home dog for 1.5 units.
Idaho is playing their 3rd straight road game in five days. From Bozema to Missoula to Sacramento. I think both Montana teams took Idaho lightly as they covered both games breaking a 0-7 ATS streak. Sacrmento State lost to Idaho at home last year and at Idaho earlier this year. I think they are fresh and focused for Idaho. One Unit
I sure hope this contest is a battle. When I'm betting under I love closely contested games, I do worry about the game going into... (Don't even think about that). We all know have solid of an under team Virginia is but did you know Miami has been a good under team on the road. Their pace at thome is 74 but on the road it is 68. They are 4-2 under in true road games. Virginia's defense has them on a six-game winning streak. My model has this total at 112. 1.5 unit bet
Nebraska is +6.5 units at home and -3.5 units on the road, that is the 10th largest difference between home and road units. Wake Forest has the worst at 13.5 unit difference. Nebraska is also off the huge 2nd half comeback to upset Wisconsin in their last game The Illini is on a 12-3-1 ATS run! I'm playing Illinois for 1.5 units
Florida State is having a much better season after last year's disaterous 9-23 season. Off a home loss to North Carolina, I really think the Seminoles will be very focused. FSU has won and covered their last thee away games. Louisville is 6-15 ATS on the season including 3-9 ATS at home. Take a very motivated Seminole team.for 1.5 units.
I love this Colorado team with three big time scores in KJ Simpson (19.2), Tristan da Silva (15.6) and Cody Williams (14.7). Utah has been without PG Rollie Worster the last five games and 6t man Lawson Lovering, a 7-1 back up center. The Utes are 2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS with both players out. Colorado is at full strength and one game out of first place in the Pac 12. Take the Buffs+3
Richmond is having a great year at 8-0 in the Atlantic 10 Conference, a half of a game ahead of Dayton. VCU is in 4th place at 5-3. VCU won both games last year. This is another rivalry game that I love to play under. Both teams have a slow pace, Richmond has the best defense in the conferense and an average offense. VCU is a better defensive team. VCU is 5-1 under their last 6 and Richmond is 7-4 under their last 11. Big game! under 135.5 for 1.5 units.
