The Seattle Seahawks continue to win in blowout fashion. A concern in the prop market are weak opponents taking away the need to move the football in second halves. Sam Darnold’s last three home starts he is averaging just 173 yards passing. Take the under on Barner’s receiving yards.
A wide receiver option that has gone completely MIA is Ricky Pearsall. There are a combination of reasons for that occurring, as in each of Pearsall’s last three games he has had a whopping twenty yards total receiving. Part of that was due to Pearsall returning to action from injury, but also the offense adjusting going back to Brock Purdy at quarterback. With Christian McCaffrey dinged up, look for others to step up in the offense today. Take Pearsall’s over.
The New Orleans Saints under Tyler Shough have two of their three wins this season in divisional games. One of the wins came at Carolina when Shough had a couple of huge broken play connections with tight end Juwan Johnson. The 92 yards was a season high for Johnson, but expect the Panthers to be more prepared off a bye week for Shough’s ability to extend play. Grab the under on Johnson.
The Denver Broncos have a ten game winning streak, and even better a twelve game home winning streak dating back to last season. Still, weekly it appears they are surviving to get victories and will face a Packers team that’s offense is starting to hit its stride. Under Matt LaFleur since 2019, the Packers are 21-4 in the month of December. Take the Packers.
Kansas City certainly is not a playoff worthy team with their performance this season. With their playoff hopes pretty much dashed, I think we see a pride element on Sunday against a divisional opponent in the LA Chargers. LA is coming off an overtime win against Philadelphia, and the offense is hindered with Justin Herbert playing hurt. Take the Chiefs here.
The Miami Dolphins have won three straight games and one can’t argue their ATS success in the division this season. They covered in both matchups against Buffalo, including an outright win. They got their first win of the season against the Jets on Monday Night Football, and had a break away De’Vone Achane touchdown against the Patriots brought back with a foot out of bounds. Even with that, the Jets have been a bit under valued at home recently. They’ve won each of their last two home games, and the prior two home games their opponent scored just thirteen points. Grab the points here with the Jets.
Earlier in the week I gave the Atlanta Falcons an outside chance to pull off an upset Sunday if Drake London was available. With him out I have opposite views. Yes, Sam Darnold has had issues protecting the football in two out of his last three games, but Atlanta is coming off a bad stinging loss to the New York Jets. It’s the type of loss that takes away the fight on a losing season. Although each of their last four losses have been by six points or less, take Seattle to deliver in a big way.
Before their bye week the LA Chargers Justin Herbert had a woeful game against the Jacksonville Jaguars. He threw for just eighty one yards as Quentin Johnston was held without a catch, and Ladd McConkey had just thirteen yards receiving. In their first matchup against the Raiders, Coach Jim Harbaugh valued time of possession and to the sticks offense. Look for Ladd McConkey to be the recipient of that game plan today as he has a couple of catches, mixed with one big gainer.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensively have scored just one offensive touchdown each of the last three games. With Geno Smith it’s no secret that the guys he wants to throw the football to are Tyler Lockett, Brock Bowers, and Tre Tucker. Tucker has had eight and ten targets each of the last two games. Look for Tucker to break his 1-4 stretch in the prop market over the last five games, as he clears his over tonight.
There is not a more rock bottom moment in the NFL season than the Las Vegas Raiders. Losing in the fashion that they have all season long, but the last two weeks have been brutal. A prime time blowout home loss to the Dallas Cowboys, and then as a favorite blown out by the Browns who were starting Sheduer Sanders for the first time on the season. After the firing of Chip Kelly look for enough wrinkles from the offense to stay in the game against a Chargers team that did not show much before their bye week against the Jaguars. Grab the points with the Raiders.
The Atlanta Falcons once were 3-2, have now dropped five straight games. Each of their last three were extremely close calls losing to the Patriots by a point, and consecutive overtime losses. For Kirk Cousins the mentality changes, from a backup spot start to knowing he is going to finish out the season for the Falcons. Both matchups last season against the Saints were decided by a field goal or less. One of Cousins last 300 yard games was at New Orleans last November. Take Atlanta in what should come down to the final drive.
All season long the Philadelphia Eagles have picked and chooses when to unleash Jalen Hurts arm. He broke out in a big way in wins against the Minnesota Vikings and the second matchup against the Giants. When Hurts arm is on display it’s not a surprise that DeVonta Smith has benefitted. After just one catch for eight yards against the Lions, look for Smith to get back on track. Play his over against Dallas.
When it comes to JJ McCarthy the growing pains have been on display virtually every start. It’s caused a severe market dip in props associated around him and the Minnesota Vikings. Jordan Addison in three out of his last four games has failed to surpass 35 yards, and his high during that stretch is 48. As great as the Packers defense is, there is some give on the perimeter. Take Addison to have enough to surpass his yardage prop.
The Philadelphia Eagles we’ve seen the extreme red flags with the offense before just two seasons ago. Last week’s defensive win does not mask the ten points the offense put up, which is the fewest under Jalen Hurts in a game he started and finished. Now we are seeing the lowest home spread offering for the Eagles over the last couple of seasons. Take Detroit as the offense continues to find rhythm with Dan Campbell as play caller.
Jakobi Myers had an instant impact in his first game with Jacksonville last week with forty one yards. It was his best performance since week three, as he went under his yardage prop his last four games with the Raiders. A plus for Myers is he has seen the Chargers defense already this season with the Raiders in week two and had sixty eight receiving yards. Take Myers to clear his yardage prop for a second straight game.