Zack's Past Picks
Portal defects hit San Diego hard this season, as they have gone just 4-20 on the season. Losses have mounted as they go into tonight’s matchup against Pacific on a ten game losing streak. Throughout the losses they have been competitive with close losses against Santa Clara, Loyola Marymount, and Washington State. They even showed resilience in what looked to be a blowout loss last week against Pepperdine. Take the Torreros who are being over adjusted ATS due to their losing streak and road spot at Pacific.
The LeMoyne Dolphins will go into their third straight road game tonight against St. Francis. They come in on a three game losing streak, where they have struggled in second halves. This came to light in their latest loss against Wagner where they led at halftime. Expect LeMoyne to step it up against a St. Francis team that has had a full week off of action.
Exactly two weeks ago, Lafayette went on the road and dismantled Loyola Maryland 80-59. The twenty one point win was the Leopards best win on the season over a division one school. It was a game where the big run occurred right before halftime, and the Greyhounds weren't able to recover. Look for a stronger effort defensively as that was the most points any team scored in-conference against Loyola. Grab the points here.
Out in the Mountain West Boise State remains a fixture with upperclassmen deluxe. Tonight look for UNLV to counter that in a must win spot. After a big win over a formerly ranked Utah State team, they have dropped four games in a row. Take the Rebels to at least cover as a home underdog.
In a conference with sixteen teams it can be hard to identify a mini sleeper. BYU may be that as they have turned the page after a demoralizing overtime loss to Utah. Since they have won four straight games with excellent offense. Take them tonight as Arizona comes down to Earth after a scorching stretch.
Saint Louis is coming off two big home games in which they rode the emotional wave of a great win over VCU, only to falter in a televised spot against Dayton. Now they will play three of four games on the road, starting with tonight’s matchup against UMass. The Minutemen may be 10-12 but they have grown in-conference winning four out of their last five games. Take UMass to protect their home floor as the slight underdog.
Iowa State just a week ago last Monday was on the verge of a win at Arizona. With Caleb Love sending in a beyond half court shot, the Cyclones lost in overtime. That loss spilled over into a pathetic showing Saturday at home against Kansas State. Look for the Cyclones to regroup against a Kansas team that is showing the inability to compete for forty minutes.
Out in the SWAC Alabama State has had consecutive poor losses. Last Monday they had a poor second half defensive effort against Texas Southern, and Saturday nearly dug themselves a huge hole against Bethune Cookman. They showed fight in nearly coming back Saturday, and I expect that effort to carry over on the road against Florida A&M and end the Rattlers five game winning streak.
Southeast Louisiana has had a home stretch that is going into its fourth straight tonight. That has lifted their value a bit to high tonight based on winning seven of their last eight games. Lamar with their depth and steady guard play is one of the few Southland conference teams that can combat the Saturday to Monday road elements in-conference. Take the Cardinal who swept won both matchups last season.
In the Southern Conference Furman has a stand out 17-5 record. That is not indicative of their struggles in-conference where they are 5-4 overall. Coming off a win against the top Southern Conference team in Samford, look for Furman to focus on ending their inconsistencies on the road. Over their last four road games they have went 1-3 ATS, but clamped the Bucs defensively in the final five minutes of their January 15th victory.
A matchup over the years that tends to be low scoring and close is Wofford versus UNC Greensboro. Expect that to be the case once again as the two already had a two point decision earlier this season, 68-66. Wofford also has not lost three straight games since losing to Duke in their fourth game of the season on November 6th. Grab the value here with the Terriers.
Saint Louis is coming off a huge victory over a VCU team that had been 16-4, and defeated them prior in conference play. Sometimes that big victory can lead to a slow start the following game. Dayton is in a dire spot off a twenty two point road loss Tuesday against St. Bonaventure. Expect Dayton to get back to the level we saw in non-conference when they defeated UConn and Marquette. Grab the points with the Flyers.
Out in the Patriot League, American has rose their market with five straight wins overall. During the process they ended a season long road winless streak where they have now won consecutive games. Lafayette off an embarrassing 86-47 loss should be poised for an all around effort at home. They played five of their last seven on the road, and should be rejuvenated on their home court.
For years when it comes to SWAC play it’s been a dominant run for Texas Southern. Once again they are showcasing value in the betting market with a five game conference winning streak. Tonight will be a tricky spot for the Tigers as they are coming off an overtime win Saturday. Alabama State is also eager to end a six game losing streak to the Tigers. Lay the small number here.
Despite winning four out of their last five games, Portland State is not garnering love from the oddsmakers. Their heavy guard line up can tend to struggle in the Thursday to Saturday quick conference turn around in Big Sky play. Expect the focus meter for Idaho State to be extremely high after a let down loss Thursday at Sacramento State.