ANALYSIS: McKinnon has not been an effective rusher lately, gaining just 43 yards on 24 carries in his last five games. He needed 11 carries to get to 25 yards against the Jaguars, and I can't see him getting that volume again in this matchup with his rushing attempt prop at 5.5. I'll bank on something like four carries for 12 yards from McKinnon as he does much more damage in the passing game.

ANALYSIS: Mahomes showed capable of getting to 300 yards against the Bengals while his receivers dropped like flies, so he's certainly someone you can never count out. But I think this number has gotten a bit inflated against the defense with the fewest passing yards allowed and lowest net yards per pass attempt mark in the regular season. With the Eagles secondary healthy, I can't see Mahomes getting this close to 300 yards.

ANALYSIS: Both QBs get a much-needed two weeks to recuperate, and we'll likely see better play from both than we had in the previous round. But outside of QB, the Eagles are likely to be the much healthier team, and it's anyone's guess which receivers the Chiefs will have available. They've survived all year without top-tier talent at the position, but even Patrick Mahomes would struggle to execute the offense with a stable full of practice-squadders. Throw in a few key injuries on defense and it's understandable while Philly is favored here. The Eagles have a much stronger O-line than the one the Chiefs beat up on last week, and they hold up well enough to give the Eagles a chance to keep playing from ahead.

ANALYSIS: The Bengals-Chiefs game has a higher chance of being a shootout with Patrick Mahomes practicing in full all week, which has caused the total to rise. Chase didn't get as much work as usual last week with the Bengals in control in the snow, but prior to that he had reached seven receptions in every one of his games since Week 4. The only time he didn't have double-digit targets in that stretch was against Cincinnati, but he still managed seven catches on eight targets there. The gameplan for Cincinnati should remain getting the ball out quick and into Chase's hands, and it'll be hard to stop him getting seven receptions.

ANALYSIS: The health of Patrick Mahomes has had an impact on the spread and total for this game, but with Andy Reid saying the injury isn't as bad as one Mahomes played through in 2019, we have to expect he'll be in there. He may not have his entire bag of tricks at his disposal, but the Chiefs have scored 24 points every week since the weird Titans game where they dominated statistically otherwise. On the other side, the Bengals have scored 27 in each of their three wins over the Chiefs, and the Titans are the only team since Week 8 to hold them under 22 points. Even with Mahomes' health, these two offenses should put this one into the 50s.