

Larry Hartstein
The Maestro
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Larry combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed working for Pro Football Focus. Larry tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS (61 percent). He is coming off a 2025 NFL season in which he went 50-37 ATS (57.5 percent), putting him at 643-555 ATS alltime. For NFL Office Pool players, Larry picked every game straight-up the past two seasons and nailed nearly 70 percent of those picks. Larry also specializes in college basketball: Over the past seven seasons, he is 767-672-20 ATS (plus $2,297 for $100 players). In addition, Larry has posted two straight profitable NBA seasons, going 198-152 (plus $1,339 for $100 players). Larry appears regularly on CBS Sports HQ and CBS Sports Network and is a founding member of Early Edge. For Larry Hartstein media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
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Larry's Picks
2 Live PicksThe Vikings are the NFL's only undefeated team. ...
The Commanders had a bye, while the Eagles are traveling on a short week. ...
Dak Prescott has thrown for 271 or more yards in five of his last six matchups with the Eagles. On Monday, he'll face a Philly defense that's been strong against the run but weak versus the pass over the past three games. Philly's last three opponents averaged 296 passing yards. The Eagles won't have pass rusher Nolan Smith (concussion) or defensive back Michael Carter II (abdomen), while Jonathan Greenard and Jalyx Hunt are questionable with ankle injuries. Smith is tied for the team lead with three sacks. I would play this up 265.5.
CeeDee Lamb has been targeted 44 times the past three games. If he gets 10 targets Monday, he would take over the NFL lead in targets. The Eagles have been attacked repeatedly in the slot, where Lamb often lines up. Philly also has been stout against the run. Those factors should mean 10-plus targets for Lamb. I like him to make at least seven catches and would play this to -135.
This is a big number for OKC to be laying on the second night of a back-to-back. Jalen Williams suffered a severe leg injury in Sunday's win over the Clippers, while fellow starter Cason Wallace left with a shoulder injury. Look for Devin Booker, who's coming off a 43-point outburst Saturday and has gotten to the foul line 17 times in two games, to lead the way as the Suns keep it respectable.
Seattle got extra rest following its two-game skid vs. San Francisco and Denver. The Seahawks, who dominated the Broncos in the box score, should get a boost from the expected return of Zach Charbonnet. That should ease the pressure on Sam Darnold. Kansas City enters 5-0 but has played an easy schedule. This is a no-play for me at 3.
Sam Darnold continues to struggle with turnovers. However, this is a matchup in which Seattle will struggle to run the ball. It will be up to Darnold to sustain drives with accuracy. The Chiefs have faced the easiest set of passing offenses so far. Look for Darnold to complete at least 20 passes on Sunday Night Football. I would play this Over 20.5 for half a unit.
Tucker Kraft is the only tight end the Packers are using as a receiver, as he's drawn 20 targets the past three games. In what should be a shootout Sunday, Kraft will face a Lions' defense that gives up NFL highs of 10.2 catches and 13 targets per game to opposing tight ends. Moreover, opponents are throwing 64.9 percent of the time against Detroit -- the NFL's second-highest rate. Back Kraft to clear this prop total for the fourth straight game.
Kyren Williams ran 10 times for 50 yards in last week's stunning home loss to Arizona. With the Rams severely banged up at receiver, Williams should get a bigger workload against a Raiders' defense allowing 4.9 yards per carry. Williams has been efficient this season, averaging 4.9 yards per tote. Look for the Rams to lean on their run game as they seek to avoid a third straight loss.
Arizona comes off a massive upset while Denver squeaked by the Seahawks thanks to turnovers. The Broncos' offense has been dismal, but this should be a "breakout" spot in which they score in the 20s. The Cardinals have lost each of their home games by 24 points and haven't won at State Farm Stadium since Sept. 14, 2025. They enter on a 2-9 ATS skid at home. Outside linebacker Jonathon Cooper's return shouldhelp the Broncos, who hit Sam Darnold 17 times in their Week 6 win, put immense pressure on Jacoby Brissett.
The injury news is much better for the Falcons. They should be very competitive in this spot if they can avoid the two special teams fumbles that killed them last week. Look for Atlanta to lean on Bijan Robinson after not getting him enough touches in Week 6. Home teams with a rest advantage (SF is on a short week) are 10-1 ATS this season.
Drake London is coming off his first subpar game with Michael Penix, as he caught four of 10 targets for 62 yards. In the previous three games, London recorded 96 or more receiving yards. The 49ers play zone coverage more than 80 percent of the time, which benefits London immensely. Look for another big game from the ascending star.
Tee Higgins should be healthy out of the bye, and this is a great matchup. He leads Cincinnati in target share against two-high safety looks, which Baltimore plays at a very high rate. Back Higgins to clear this prop total for the fourth time in the past five games.
Baker Mayfield is set to return from his three-game absence, but it's not like he was playing well when healthy. In fact, he ranks 33rd in EPA per play and the Bucs posted a 38 percent success rate with Mayfield at quarterback. Mayfield will be playing without his starting right tackle and top wideout. Bryce Young (11 TD passes, 2 INTs) is playing at a much higher level. With the Panthers looking like they. have finally turned a corner, I bet them to cover less than a field goal.
Jalen Coker has been dynamite in the three full games he has played, racking up 138, 66 and 97 receiving yards. On Sunday he faces a Bucs' defense that plays single-high safety at the NFL's second-highest rate (65.1 percent of the time). Coker has feasted against that coverage and should get another big target share after drawing 13 targets in Week 6.








