Braves rookie Didier Fuentes throws very hard and has a bright future, but he might not be ready for the majors. He's 0-3 with a 9.00 ERA in three starts, allowing a 53.5 percent hard-hit rate. The Athletics rank 10th in OPS against right-handed pitching (.736) and I like their chances to knock out Fuentes before he completes five innings.

Chris Bassitt owns a 2.78 career ERA versus the White Sox, and current White Sox own a collective .578 OPS against him. I like Bassitt to pitch well like he did when he faced Chicago on June 22 (6 innings, 1 run). White Sox starter Aaron Civale has a career-low K rate of 17.3 percent and is backed by a poor defense. He's giving up a career-worst expected slugging percentage of .465. I bet the Jays on the run line in the first five innings.

Cristopher Sanchez struck out 12 Giants when he faced San Francisco in April. He owns a career-high strikeout rate of 26.2 percent, and he typically goes deep into games. This is a good matchup because of how badly the Giants struggle against left-handed pitching. San Fran has fanned 30 times the past three games and I bet Sanchez to ring up at least six batters.

Rays starter Shane Baz averages 96.8 mph on his fastball and is in one of the best grooves of his career, as he's fanned 20 batters and walked two over his past two starts. He's registered at least six strikeouts in four straight starts, including a poor June 20 home outing against these same Tigers. He lasted just 5.1 innings that night but still got six strikeouts. In his most recent start, against the Athletics, Baz had an elite CSW (called strike plus whiff) rate of 38 percent. As great as the Tigers are, they strike out at the 10th-highest rate in MLB.

Royals starter Michael Lorenzen has gotten worse each month. He posted a 3.48 ERA in April, a 5.34 ERA in May and a 6.31 ERA last month. Current Mariners own a collective .949 OPS against him. While Emerson Hancock has been spotty, the Royals have only won one of their last nine games. They rank 27th in OPS against right-handed pitching.

Shop around because there are much better prices available. Forty-year-old Max Scherzer makes his third start of the season after lasting five innings and 83 pitches last time out vs. Cleveland. I bet him to record at least one out in the sixth Monday, because the Blue Jays' bullpen is severely taxed. Scherzer, who appears over his thumb injury, said the only issue he had against the Guardians was rust.

The Cards have won 10 of 13 as they begin a series in Pittsburgh. Pirates starter Andrew Heaney has been much better at home, but St. Louis starter Erick Fedde has been much better on the road this season. Fedde tossed six scoreless innings in this same ballpark in April. Back the better team as a small dog.

Frankie Montas looked sharp in his season debut, tossing five scoreless innings against Atlanta with five strikeouts and no walks. He can limit this suddenly resurgent Pittsburgh offense. Pirates rookie Mike Burrows also should do his part after a confidence-building outing last time out vs. Milwaukee. This price is juicy so I would also consider Under 5 at -115 or better.

Nathan Eovaldi hasn't started in a month due to right triceps fatigue. While he's been amazing this season, he did allow five hits and three runs (two earned) in his April 13 start at Seattle. The Mariners rank fifth in OPS over the past 15 days (.786). Eovaldi owns a 5.31 career ERA in 12 starts against Seattle. Look for Texas' ace to give up at least four hits in his return.

Rays starter Ryan Pepiot has struck out 35 batters in four June starts covering 24.2 innings. That's a 37.2 percent strikeout rate. On Friday, he faces an Orioles lineup that he dominated on June 16. In that matchup, Pepiot fanned 11 Orioles over eight innings of one-run ball. This number has moved to 6.5 at several books, and I'm good playing it there for a half-unit.

The Mets' Frankie Montas makes his season debut after dealing with a strained lat in his throwing shoulder. The 32-year-old wasn't exactly sharp in his rehab outings, posting a 12.05 ERA, but New York is in dire need of starters. The Braves are 4-0 against the Mets and Spencer Strider appears to have regained his old form.

Nationals lefty Mitchell Parker is allowing a ridiculous 50 percent hard-hit rate, and he has not thrown more than 87 pitches in seven straight starts. In limited at-bats, the Padres own a collective .931 OPS against Parker. Jackson Merrill has returned, making the San Diego lineup tougher to navigate. Look for Parker to stay Under this prop total for the ninth time in his last 11 starts.

Working with pitching coach Barry Enright, Angels' 24-year-old starter Jack Kochanowicz has tweaked the grip on his changeup and the results are evident. He fanned eight Yankees last time out, in 5.1 innings. On Monday he faces a Red Sox team that strikes out at the third-highest rate. In addition, Boston averages an MLB-high 10.18 strikeouts on the road after fanning 11 times at San Francisco on Sunday. I grabbed the plus-money on Kochanowicz to rack up at least five strikeouts.

Lefty David Peterson has been brilliant since returning from hip surgery last season. This year, he's posted a 2.60 ERA while routinely pitching deep into games. Peterson has gone at least six innings in seven of his last eight games, the exception coming at home vs. Colorado. He faces a Phillies team that typically hits lefties well but has struggled in that category recently. I also like how Peterson matches up with the lineup Philly announced. Look for him to complete six innings on Sunday Night Baseball.

Miles Mikolas' ceiling is 18 outs, as he has yet to go longer than that this season. He faced the Reds earlier this season and was brilliant, but still only pitched 5.1 innings. Now Cincinnati enters this matchup hot against right-handed pitching, with the fifth-best offensive numbers over the past 15 games. With the excessive heat in St. Louis, I bet against Mikolas lasting six full innings.