Bruce's Past Picks
This is a curiously high total at Sutter Health Park unless the wind is blowing out (?) at Sacramento tonight. Especially considering how consistent A's starter Osvaldo Bido has been this season. Though he's usually good for only five innings, Bido's numbers have been remarkably consistent...1, 2, 2, and 2 runs allowed, and in none of Bido's five starts has the eventual scoreline exceeded nine runs. Meanwhile, expect vet Patrick Corbin (solid 5 1/3 IP vs. Angels in last start, allowing just one run) to post some better numbers this season with a much better Rangers defense behind him than the one he was working with in Washington the past few seasons. Play Rangers-A's Under.
Get ready for the "Battle of the Beltways" tonight in DC. We're wondering if we have a "reputation vs reality" price in this lid-lifter. To favor the Orioles on the road, even if it's just 35 or so miles from home, with Dean Kremer (8.16 ERA) on the mound, looks like a "reputation" price from the past two seasons. The Birds are swimming below .500 (9-12) and their rotation has been awful with an ERA near six. The Nats effectively have the same record (9-13) but note how well Mitchell Parker has fared at home, 2-0 with an 0.73 ERA in two starts. Play Nationals on the Money Line.
Keep an eye on the Mariners, just off of another winning series and now on an 8-2 run into Fenway Park. Tuesday starter Bryce Miller is still working until only the fifth inning or so. However, his last two starts have been more than encouraging for Dan Wilson, allowing just one run and five hits, while striking out 13 combined against the Rangers and Reds. Meanwhile, Brayan Bello makes his first start of the season for the Red Sox after coming off of the DL, and now the schedule starts to get a bit more serious after seven games vs. the lowly Chisox in the preceding ten days (Boston just 4-3 in those). Play Mariners on Money Line.
A buy signal, perhaps, on the Braves? The weekend sweep of the Twins might be a sign of life. Tonight is a chance for Spencer Schwellenbach to redeem himself from a poor effort last week at Toronto and pick up where he left off at Truist Field, noting his 0.64 ERA in two starts at home. Meanwhile, the Cards hit Atlanta in reverse, getting swept four at Citi Field by the Mets, with the offense scoring only nine runs across the four losses. Erick Fedde is off of two solid on the hill, but his run support is in question these days, and the St. Louis bullpen picked up losses two of the last three days vs. the Mets. Play Braves on the Run Line.
Pitching is keying this recent Mets uprising. The staff has allowed just nine runs in a 4-game uptick that's put New York atop the NL East. Tylor Megill is one of those in the rotation who is performing well with a 1.40 ERA, and not having allowed a run in two starts at Citi Field, and Carlos Mendoza didn't even have to use closer Edwin Diaz (spotless in his last three appearances) to close out the Sunday win over the Cards. Meanwhile, Aaron Nola (0-4, 6.65 ERA, 1.66 WHIP) is off to a slow start for the Phils, who have also struggled a bit on the road, where they've lost in five of their last seven. Play Mets on the Money Line.
A rematch of the 1984 World Series here as the Pads seek a better result. Salvaging the finale of the weekend series in Houston was a positive, though losing Luis Arraez (likely only for the short-term) after a scary collision is a concern. Whatever, a nice price on what has been one of the hottest teams in the bigs, and Randy Vasquez has been solid in his four starts, as his 1.74 ERA suggests. We've been mostly going with the Tigers but make an exception today, also because starter Keider Montero did not impress in his 2025 debut last Wednesday, surrendering five runs (with three homers) in 5 IP during a loss to Milwaukee. Play Padres on the Money Line.
The Dodgers know how to take advantage of soft spots in their schedule, such as intimidated teams into Chavez Ravine. On the road, however, LA is at risk of dropping its third straight road series if it can't win on Sunday in Arlington. Adolis Garcia took Kirby Yates deep on Saturday to level this weekend set for the Rangers, who gladly send staff ace Tyler Mahle (3-0, 0.92 ERA, 0.86 WHIP) to the mound in the rubber match. Meanwhile, Dave Roberts starts with Tyler Glasnow, who has looked vulnerable during his last two starts for the Blue, both losses (vs. the Phils and Cubs) while allowing 7 runs across 8 IP (7.88 ERA) while walking six along the way. Play Rangers on Money Line
The Mets' bandwagon is filling up as they're poised to complete a weekend sweep of the Cards at Citi Field. After the bullpen blew a save on Friday night, the relievers were sharp again on Saturday, spinning three shutout innings while not allowing a hit, and Edwin Diaz getting another save. For Sunday, flamethrower Clay Holmes is off of his best stint of the season when allowing the Twins just 1 run across 5 IP, and striking out 18 across 10 1/3 IP in his last two starts. Granted, Sonny Gray spun seven shutout innings for the Cards against the Astros last Monday, but while losing 4 of 5, the Redbirds have been blanked twice and scored just nine runs. Play Mets on Run Line
What a difference the schedule can make! Ask the Royals, who by this time last April had already feasted upon the Chisox and beaten them six times, catapulting KC off to a fast start. No Pale Hose yet this season, instead sitting 8-14 into Sunday with six straight losses, and the offense sputtering, scoring just 11 times that span. Now they must face reigning AL Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal, who hasn't allowed a run across 13 IP while winning his last two starts (vs the Yanks and Brewers), allowing just 8 hits along the way, striking out 15 with no walks. It's asking an awful lot of Royals counterpart Michael Wacha (0-3, 4.31 ERA) to keep pace. Play Tigers on Run Line
Even after snapping a four-game skid last night, the Angels offense continues to sputter. Across the past five games, the Halos have scored only 12 runs, and Mike Trout continues to struggle, just 1 for 18 across these past five games, with nary an RBI. The Angels have, however, continued to get good pitching, and local product Kyle Hendricks makes his first Big A start in a long career that has finally landed him with his hometown team. Hendricks struggled in his last start at Houston after two solid previous efforts, not too different than Giants counterpart Landon Roupp. Bob Melvin's team had few good at-bats on Friday after SF had delivered seven consecutive over results into this weekend set. Play Giants-Angels Under
Nothing if not formful, these Astros, yet to win back-to-back this season while alternating wins and losses across their last 13. So maybe look against Houston after Friday's 6-4 win, but there are practical reasons to prefer the Padres, still in the midst of a sizzling 15-5 start despite last night's result. San Diego's Michael King looks a potential NL Cy Young contender, and King has done nothing to dispel that notion, already 3-0 and off of a complete game, 2-hit shutout of the Rockies. Rookie Cam Smith helped Houston with a pair of homers last night, and some of the same might be needed to aid starter Hayden Wesneski, who's already allowed five homers in just 18 IP. Play padres on Money Line
Brandon Young from AAA Norfolk will make his first MLB appearance on Saturday, getting the call up to the O's after Zach Elfin went on the DL. Young spun a 2,76 ERA in three starts at Norfolk and completes a winding journey to the bigs, but note it's also a desperate Birds rotation at the moment, with a subpar 5.09 ERA, one of the worst in the bigs. The Baltimore task is daunting on Saturday as Cincy's Hunter Greene has been blowing away opposing batters, not allowing a run in his last two starts and posting an 0.98 ERA and 0.58 WHIP thru four starts into Saturday. The Reds also romped 8-3 in the series opener on Friday night. Play Reds on Money Line
There can be no mistaking what looks to be an early "sell" sign flashing on the Angels. The losing streak is now at four after getting swept out at Texas, and while the pitching has been better than expected, the offense has stalled, just ten runs scored in the slump. The recurring Halos issue, always swinging for the fences, is now biting them hard, especially with Mike Trout (2 for 15 at the plate in the four-game skid, with no homers) cooling down. Meanwhile, the Giants are 9-4 away in their very positive start to the season, and Logan Webb (2.63 ERA) likely to get more support than Halos counterpart Tyler Anderson. Play Giants on Run Line.
If it were up to the A's, they would have stayed in Chicago and kept playing the Chisox after beating them three straight (by a combined 23-4 score). Yet, road trips anywhere don't seem to be bothering Mark Kotsay's crew, now 7-3 as a visitor. Watch rookie hurler, JT Ginn, who impressed in his first start of 2025 last Saturday vs. the Mets, allowing just 1 run in 5 1/3 and picking up the win as the A's prevailed 3-1. Bullpen work has also been solid for Kotsay; relievers didn't allow a run in 10 1/3 IP vs. the Hose. The Brewers are more of a challenge than the Chisox, but the A's offer value at these sorts of prices. Play A's on Money Line.
Pitching has highlighted the Mets' current 10-4 uptick, with Friday starter David Peterson contributing his share. In his last three starts, Peterson has a 2.70 ERA, and Carlos Mendoza is also happier with his bullpen lately, especially with three shutout innings last night and Edwin Diaz picking up his fourth save of the season in the 4-1 win over the Cards. Meanwhile, it has been a bumpy start to the season to say the least for St Louis starter Miles Mikolas, with a 9.00 ERA in three starts, and he didn't fare much better in two starts vs. the Mets last season, posting a 7.45 ERA in two starts, with Mets batters hitting .364 against him in the process. Play Mets on Run Line