Delaware’s stats against Vanderbilt look better than they should because they padded them during late fourth-quarter garbage time. On regular downs, Delaware gave up pressure on more than 40% of pass attempts and couldn’t get their run game going between the tackles. Meanwhile, Coastal Carolina not only held their own at West Virginia, but also rolled over Fordham. The Chanticleers have a +0.75 Net YPP, a 68% pass-blocking win rate, and a +2 sack differential. Delaware lags behind with a +0.15 Net YPP, a 59% pass-blocking win rate, and a -4 sack differential. When adjusting for strength of schedule, Coastal Carolina’s control at the line of scrimmage stands out even more. I’d also take a shot on the Chanticleers to win outright.
