Simulation Picks

Expert Picks

Nov 22 2025, 7:30 pm ET

Golden Bears

10

@ Cardinal

31

Point SpreadCalifornia -3.5 -105

LOSS

Unit1.0

Josh Nagel

Senior Analyst

Profile →

Josh's Analysis:

We've been burned a couple times this years by the Bears via bad beat, including their pick-6 on the final play against Virginia when they appeared to have the cover (+6) locked up. But their road upset of Louisville (+20) shows the ceiling of this team and, if a reasonable version of this clubs shows up Saturday, it should have stubborn but undermanned Stanford outclassed by a decent margin.

Pick Made: Nov 22, 9:23 am ET on MGM

Team Injuries

All Games

ALL

All Games

40%

4-6

3-7

30%

On Road

LOCATION

At Home

60%

3-2

2-2

50%

As Favorite

STATUS

As Underdog or PK

25%

1-3

3-6

33%

When Spread was -5.5 to -1.5

SPREAD

When Spread was +1.5 to +5.5

0%

0-0

0-1

0%

As Road Favorite

LOCATION & STATUS

As Home Underdog

50%

1-1

2-1

67%

vs Teams That Win <50% of Games

OPP WIN%

vs Teams That Win 50-70% of Games

33%

1-2

2-2

50%

vs Teams Allowing 25 to 32 PPG

OPP DEFENSE

vs Teams Allowing 25 to 32 PPG

25%

1-3

1-1

50%

After >8 Days Off

REST

After >8 Days Off

40%

4-6

3-7

30%

vs STNFRD

HEAD TO HEAD

vs CAL

0%

0-0

0%

OPPONENT	W/L	ATS	ML	O/U
SMU11/29/2025	35-38WIN	+13.5WIN	+407WIN	53.5OVER
@STNFRD11/22/2025	10-31LOSS	-4.5LOSS	-191LOSS	47.5UNDER
@LVILLE11/08/2025	29-26WIN	+18.5WIN	+750WIN	49.5OVER
UVA11/01/2025	31-21LOSS	+5.5LOSS	+190LOSS	52.5UNDER
@VATECH10/24/2025	34-42LOSS	+6.5LOSS	+185LOSS	50.5OVER

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