Simulation Picks

Expert Picks

Oct 04 2025, 7:30 pm ET

Buffaloes

21

@ Horned Frogs

35

Point SpreadTCU -13.5 -115

WIN

Unit1.0

Thomas Casale

Casale on Campus

Profile →

+266

5-2-1 in Last 8 NCAAF Picks

+66

3-2-1 in Last 6 NCAAF ATS Picks

Thomas's Analysis:

I was waiting to see if this number dropped below two touchdowns and it did at 13.5, so I'll bite. I think Colorado is going to be a good fade on the road this season. In their one game away from home, the Buffs lost by 16 to Houston. I expect a similar outcome here with TCU and QB Josh Hoover returning home after blowing the game late at Arizona State last week. Look for a big bounce back game from Hoover on Saturday. Try to get -14 or less to prevent against any backdoor situations.

Pick Made: Sep 29, 9:56 pm ET on MGM

Team Injuries

All Games

ALL

All Games

60%

3-2

2-1-1

67%

On Road

LOCATION

At Home

0%

0-1

1-1

50%

As Underdog or PK

STATUS

As Favorite

33%

1-2

2-1

67%

When Spread was +11.5 to +15.5

SPREAD

When Spread was -15.5 to -11.5

0%

0-0

0%

As Road Underdog

LOCATION & STATUS

As Home Favorite

0%

0-1

1-1

50%

vs Teams That Win >70% of Games

OPP WIN%

vs Teams That Win <50% of Games

67%

2-1

0-1

0%

vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG

OPP DEFENSE

vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG

75%

3-1

1-0-1

100%

After <=8 Days Off

REST

After <=8 Days Off

0%

0-0

0%

vs TCU

HEAD TO HEAD

vs COLO

0%

0-0

0%

OPPONENT	W/L	ATS	ML	O/U
@KSTATE11/29/2025	14-24LOSS	+16.5WIN	+665LOSS	49.5UNDER
ARIZST11/22/2025	42-17LOSS	+7.0LOSS	+211LOSS	47.5OVER
@WVU11/08/2025	22-29LOSS	+6.5LOSS	+201LOSS	51.5UNDER
ARIZ11/01/2025	52-17LOSS	+3.5LOSS	+153LOSS	52.5OVER
@UTAH10/25/2025	7-53LOSS	+14.0LOSS	+451LOSS	49.5OVER

Simulation Picks

Team Injuries

Season Game Logs

Simulation Picks

Expert Picks

Team Injuries

Season Splits

Season Splits

Expert Picks

Simulation Picks

Team Injuries

Simulation Picks

Expert Picks

Team Injuries

Season Splits

Sportsline Newsletter

Season Splits

Expert Picks