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Sat 12/04 | 5:00 PM UTC | Arlington
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Baylor Bears 9-2, 7-4 ATS
BAYLOR +7
BAYLOR +220
Over 45
Okla. St. Cowboys 10-1, 9-1 ATS
OKLAST -7
OKLAST -270
Under 45

Expert Picks

Baylor 21 @ Okla. St. 16 | 12/04 | 5:00 PM UTC

Baylor +7

WIN

ANALYSIS: This number moves to -7 on the news that Baylor would start freshman Blake Shapen at QB in place of injured dual threat Gerry Bohanon. Although the Bears will miss the running threat and leadership of Bohanon, they beat Texas Tech last week behind a mistake-free performance from Shapen. Defense is where Baylor makes its living and the spread now represents some real value in a battle of the conference's top two defensive units. Take the points.

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Josh Nagel

Senior Analyst
+165 5-3 IN LAST 8 CFB PICKS
+331 11-7 IN LAST 18 BAYLOR ATS PICKS
+1150 16-4 IN LAST 20 OKLAST ATS PICKS

Season Splits

9-2, 7-4 ATS
10-1, 9-1 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
64%
7-4
9-1-1
90%
On Road or Neutral
LOCATION
On Road or Neutral
40%
2-3
5-0
100%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
75%
3-1
6-1-1
86%
When Spread was +5 to +9
SPREAD
When Spread was -9 to -5
100%
1-0
1-0
100%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
Favored on Road or Neutral
50%
1-1
2-0
100%
vs Teams That Win >70% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >70% of Games
67%
2-1
2-0-1
100%
vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG
80%
4-1
4-0
100%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
vs OKLAST
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BAYLOR
0%
0-1
1-0
100%