It's the First Four of the NCAA Tournament from Dayton, Ohio, featuring NC State and Texas. The Longhorns won the last meeting 102-97 on November 26th, and I'm thinking the over might be the way to go again here. I made the total 172; the send-out was 162.5, and it's down to 158.5, making it appear I have almost 14 points of value. Neither team is playing their best brand of basketball, with Texas winning only one of their last six and NC State winning twice in their last nine. But for the season, both teams were over the total squads, with Texas going 19-12 to the over and NC State 21-12 to the over. Just the over for me here.

Both of these teams average nearly 84 points per game, so I feel like we're unlikely to see a low scoring game from Dayton on Tuesday night. In 14 of the last 15 NC State games, at least one team has reached 81+ points. In 6 of the last 8 Texas games, one team has reached at least 84 points. I see both teams topping 80 here and putting on a wildly entertaining contest, though I slightly lean Wolfpack here outright.