Ole Miss led Texas 68-65 with three minutes left on Feb. 7 in Austin, Tex. The Longhorns ended the game on a 14-0 run, covering the 9.5-point spread in a 79-68 win. While Texas should advance in the SEC Tournament, this is too many points. The Longhorns have given up 84-plus points in five of their last six. Chis Beard's Rebels have played five close games in their last six outings (Florida excluded). Grab the points.

This is a must win game for Sean Miller's Texas team, who averages slightly under 85 points per game. The Longhorns have played 13 consecutive games where the totals have reached 146 or more points. Ole Miss averages 75.3 points per game and gives up 75.9 PPG. I see this as an 82-73 type of game, giving us some cushion to the over line.

This is a huge game for Texas, who most people have in the tournament right now, but just barely. That doesn't mean the Longhorns will win on Wednesday but we know they should be motivated. Ole Miss is finishing up an awful season under Chris Beard and Texas has numerous key edges in this matchup. The Horns should dominate the boards and live at the free throw line against an Ole Miss squad that fouls at the highest rate in the SEC. That's important if the spread comes into play because the Horns shoot 77% from the line. I'll back Texas to cover the 5.5. Bet up to 6.5